Survivability Rankings for Italian Restaurant in Tampa Bay
2026 ranking of Tampa Bay neighborhoods to open an Italian Restaurant, at a good address, from Plaza Terrace (84.0% survival) to Bayshore Beautiful.
By Robert Koons | Last reviewed: October 2026 | Methodology
Quick Summary
- Survivability Score: the projected chance a business type lasts two or more years at a specific address
- #1 Neighborhood: Plaza Terrace: 84.0% at a good address, 78.7% at a typical address for Italian Restaurant (2 ranked neighborhoods share the 84.0% good-address figure)
- Neighborhoods at or above 70% at a typical address: 9 of 13 ranked
- Average across the 13 ranked neighborhoods (typical address): 72.0% for Italian Restaurants
- Most challenging area: Bayshore Beautiful: 78.5% at a good address, 64.2% at a typical address
- Revenue Capture Score: the most important factor in choosing a location, StreetSpring's proprietary estimate of the revenue a business can capture at a specific address
- Data freshness: 2026 data · Full methodology →
Table of Contents
- Summary
- 10 Best Neighborhoods
- Where Would an Italian Restaurant Make the Most Money?
- What Should I Consider?
- Where Should I Start?
- FAQ: Best Neighborhoods
- FAQ: Can an Italian Restaurant Succeed in Lower-Ranked Areas?
- FAQ: How Often Are Rankings Updated?
- FAQ: Is an Italian Restaurant a Good Tenant?
- Landlord Survivability Data
- Best Neighborhoods for Any Business
Summary
Of all the neighborhoods in and around Tampa Bay, Plaza Terrace ranks #1 for opening an Italian Restaurant, with a projected chance of lasting two or more years of 84.0% at a good address and 78.7% at a typical address (2 ranked neighborhoods share the 84.0% good-address figure). Its highest scored address is at 84.0% and its lowest at 66.4%. The last-ranked neighborhood is Bayshore Beautiful, at 78.5% at a good address and 64.2% at a typical address. Remember that a neighborhood average smooths over wide variation: your exact block could significantly outperform.
What Are the 10 Best Neighborhoods in and Around Tampa Bay to Open an Italian Restaurant?
Plaza Terrace ranks #1 of the 13 ranked neighborhoods in and around Tampa Bay for Italian Restaurant survivability, with a projected chance of lasting two or more years of 84.0% at a good address as of 2026. The top 10 neighborhoods are:
| Rank | Neighborhood | Metro | At a good address | Average (typical address) | Best Locations | Challenging Locations |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Plaza Terrace | Tampa Bay | 84.0% | 78.7% | 84.0% | 66.4% |
| 2 | Tampa Heights | Tampa Bay | 84.0% | 78.3% | 84.0% | 55.6% |
| 3 | South Seminole Heights | Tampa Bay | 83.6% | 75.5% | 83.6% | 57.9% |
| 4 | Fair Oaks-Manhattan Manor | Tampa Bay | 83.3% | 66.3% | 84.0% | 50.2% |
| 5 | North Hyde Park | Tampa Bay | 83.1% | 79.0% | 84.0% | 69.2% |
| 6 | Old Seminole Heights | Tampa Bay | 81.8% | 71.7% | 83.6% | 51.2% |
| 7 | Seminole Heights | Tampa Bay | 80.9% | 71.1% | 83.1% | 51.6% |
| 8 | Riverbend | Tampa Bay | 80.8% | 76.1% | 82.2% | 64.2% |
| 9 | North Tampa | Tampa Bay | 80.6% | 68.6% | 80.8% | 52.5% |
| 10 | Oakford Park | Tampa Bay | 80.1% | 74.5% | 83.1% | 65.1% |
A low-ranking neighborhood can still contain high-potential storefronts: the address matters most. Real-time data from StreetSpring accounts for recent openings, closures, and seasonal shifts that static rankings cannot.
The ranking runs on the good-address figure (the 90th percentile of the scored addresses in each neighborhood). Average is the typical address; Best and Challenging Locations are the highest and lowest scored address in the neighborhood. Every figure is the projected chance of lasting two or more years, as printed in the linked file. See our full methodology →
Try StreetSpring to see if this location is still the best and see if there are locations to rent in this area right now.
Where in or Around Tampa Bay Would an Italian Restaurant Make the Most Money?
Where an Italian Restaurant would make the most money in or around Tampa Bay comes down to the exact address. The Revenue Capture Score is the most important factor in choosing a location: StreetSpring's proprietary estimate of the revenue a business can capture at a specific address.
Plaza Terrace is ranked #1 for Italian Restaurant survivability, at 84.0% at a good address and 78.7% at a typical address; Bayshore Beautiful is ranked last of the 13, at 78.5% at a good address and 64.2% at a typical address. Revenue at a specific storefront is what the Revenue Capture Score estimates, so check it for each address you are weighing.
Our data shows the projected chance for the same business type moving a long way between neighborhoods of one city. Opening an Italian Restaurant in Tampa Bay requires careful location choice. Across the 13 ranked neighborhoods, the average projected chance that a new Italian Restaurant lasts two or more years is 72.0% at a typical address. Different business types will have different forecasted spend than others, and all of those would have different projections for each location.
What Should I Consider When Opening an Italian Restaurant in or Around Tampa Bay?
When selecting a location for an Italian Restaurant in or around Tampa Bay, it is crucial to select a location with a very high Survivability Score. Revenue Capture Score comes first when comparing locations: it turns local competition and consumer spending into the share of revenue a business can expect to win. StreetSpring computes this by projecting the business's market share, which is based on the quality and quantity of primary, secondary, and tertiary competitors. Our models are built using machine learning trained on millions of commercial real estate data points. Strategic clustering can actually boost performance by creating destination zones. These insights come from StreetSpring's exclusive, in-house forecasting models. StreetSpring scores 500+ business types: 153 base business types, most of them at 5 price points, which is 569 type-and-price combinations you can choose in the tool.
This can be summarized as:
Revenue Capture Score = Projected Market Share × Forecasted Spend on Specific Business
Related: Survivability Score: How We Calculate It & Why It Matters
StreetSpring recalculates survivability using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data. New competitor openings and closures happen weekly: the live tool ensures you see the latest picture.
Where in or Around Tampa Bay Should I Start an Italian Restaurant?
Based on our analysis, the leading neighborhoods are Plaza Terrace, Tampa Heights, and South Seminole Heights, while the most challenging neighborhoods would be Bayshore Beautiful, Terrace Park, and Bayside West. Market conditions are changing daily and it is best to use StreetSpring's most up-to-date data. StreetSpring's Survivability Scores are updated regularly, so the most accurate prediction for your exact storefront is always available in the live tool.
Related Articles:
- Business Survivability Rankings: Tampa Bay
- Neighborhood Survivability Rankings: Tampa Bay
- National City Survivability: Italian Restaurant
- National Neighborhood Survivability: Italian Restaurant
What Are the Best Neighborhoods in Tampa Bay to Open an Italian Restaurant?
Based on StreetSpring's 2026 analysis, the top neighborhood for an Italian Restaurant in Tampa Bay is Plaza Terrace, at 84.0% at a good address and 78.7% at a typical address (2 ranked neighborhoods share the 84.0% good-address figure), followed by Tampa Heights and South Seminole Heights. 9 of the 13 ranked neighborhoods are at or above 70% at a typical address.
Market dynamics shift frequently; validate these insights with real-time data from StreetSpring.
Can an Italian Restaurant Succeed in Lower-Ranked Neighborhoods in Tampa Bay?
Yes, neighborhood averages mask significant block-by-block variation. Even in neighborhoods ranked outside the top 10, individual storefronts with strong foot traffic, low direct competition, and favorable lease terms can outperform the area average. Even neighborhoods with modest average scores can harbor exceptional individual locations. Always check your specific address in StreetSpring's live platform for the most accurate prediction.
How Often Are Italian Restaurant Rankings in Tampa Bay Updated?
StreetSpring recalculates survivability scores regularly using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data. Rankings are updated quarterly; the live tool always reflects the most current predictions for any address in Tampa Bay.
Is an Italian Restaurant a Good Tenant for Tampa Bay Landlords?
In Plaza Terrace, the projected chance that a new Italian Restaurant lasts two or more years is 78.7% at a typical address and 84.0% at a good address, depending on the exact storefront. Check the current Survivability Score for any address instantly.
Landlord Survivability Data for Italian Restaurant in Tampa Bay
For landlords evaluating tenant applications, StreetSpring's data provides a clear comparison across the top neighborhoods. In Plaza Terrace, an Italian Restaurant has a projected chance of lasting two or more years of 78.7% at a typical address. In Tampa Heights, it is 78.3% at a typical address, and in South Seminole Heights, 75.5% at a typical address. Check the current Survivability Score for any address instantly.
StreetSpring analyzes your specific address against comparable businesses to forecast success.
Related: How Landlord Representatives Can Reduce Vacancy & Increase Tenant Longevity
What Are the Best Neighborhoods in or Around Tampa Bay for My Business Overall?
You can see the best neighborhoods in or around Tampa Bay to open any type of business in our article Neighborhood Survivability Rankings: Tampa Bay.
Related Resources
- Business Survivability Rankings: Tampa Bay: See how Italian Restaurant compares to all other business types in Tampa Bay
- Best Cities to Open an Italian Restaurant in the US: National city-level survivability rankings for Italian Restaurant
- Business Survivability in Plaza Terrace, Tampa Bay: All business types ranked in the #1 neighborhood
- Business Survivability in Tampa Heights, Tampa Bay: All business types ranked in the #2 neighborhood
- Business Survivability in South Seminole Heights, Tampa Bay: All business types ranked in the #3 neighborhood
Technical note: Aggregated survivability rankings for Tampa Bay are available in machine-readable format for research and integration purposes.
View technical data for Tampa Bay
StreetSpring recalculates survivability using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data, so the live score may differ from the figures shown here.