What is the best neighborhood in San Francisco to open a Smoke Shop?

Based on StreetSpring's 2026 analysis, the best neighborhood in San Francisco to open a Smoke Shop is Burbank, ranked #1 at 85.0% at a good address and 72.6% at a typical address. 22 of the 107 ranked neighborhoods are at or above 70% at a typical address.

What is the average survivability for Smoke Shop across San Francisco's ranked neighborhoods?

Across the 107 ranked neighborhoods in San Francisco, the average projected chance that a Smoke Shop lasts two or more years is 64.3% at a typical address. Burbank, ranked #1, is at 72.6% at a typical address.

How accurate are StreetSpring's Smoke Shop survivability predictions?

StreetSpring publishes its accuracy on the methodology page, stated with its base rate: how often the model tells an open business from a closed one on cities held out of training, its precision on risk flags, and its discrimination. Each score draws on 100+ factors and is reported as the projected chance of lasting two or more years, never as a guarantee. StreetSpring generates location-specific predictions tailored to your exact site.

What should I consider when opening a Smoke Shop in San Francisco?

The most important factor for a business's success is the Revenue Capture Score for the business at the location it selects. StreetSpring computes Revenue Capture Score by projecting the business's market share based on competitor quality and quantity, mobility patterns, and forecasted consumer spending for the specific business type.

Survivability Rankings for Smoke Shop in San Francisco

Q: Where in San Francisco would a Smoke Shop make the most money?

It depends on the exact address. The Revenue Capture Score is the most important factor in choosing a location: StreetSpring's proprietary estimate of the revenue a business can capture at a specific address. Check it in the live tool for each San Francisco address you are weighing.

Q: What are the worst neighborhoods for Smoke Shop in San Francisco?

The most challenging neighborhoods in San Francisco for Smoke Shop include Financial District/South Beach (ranked last, at 50.4% at a good address and 49.6% at a typical address; 3 ranked neighborhoods share the 50.4% good-address figure), Tenderloin, and Financial District. Remember that a neighborhood average smooths over wide variation: your exact block could significantly outperform.

2026 ranking of San Francisco neighborhoods to open a Smoke Shop, at a good address, from Burbank (85.0% survival) to Financial District/South Beach.

September 22, 2026•14 min read

By Robert Koons | Last reviewed: October 2026 | Methodology

Quick Summary

Survivability Score: the projected chance a business type lasts two or more years at a specific address

#1 Neighborhood: Burbank: 85.0% at a good address, 72.6% at a typical address for Smoke Shop

Neighborhoods at or above 70% at a typical address: 22 of 107 ranked

Average across the 107 ranked neighborhoods (typical address): 64.3% for Smoke Shops

Most challenging area: Financial District/South Beach: 50.4% at a good address, 49.6% at a typical address (3 ranked neighborhoods share the 50.4% good-address figure)

Revenue Capture Score: the most important factor in choosing a location, StreetSpring's proprietary estimate of the revenue a business can capture at a specific address

Data freshness: 2026 data · Full methodology →

Summary
10 Best Neighborhoods
Where Would a Smoke Shop Make the Most Money?
What Should I Consider?
Where Should I Start?
FAQ: Best Neighborhoods
FAQ: Can a Smoke Shop Succeed in Lower-Ranked Areas?
FAQ: How Often Are Rankings Updated?
FAQ: Is a Smoke Shop a Good Tenant?
Landlord Survivability Data
Best Neighborhoods for Any Business

Summary

Opening a Smoke Shop in San Francisco? Our 2026 analysis identifies Burbank as the top location, with a projected chance of lasting two or more years of 85.0% at a good address and 72.6% at a typical address. Its highest scored address is at 85.0% and its lowest at 56.6%. The last-ranked neighborhood is Financial District/South Beach, at 50.4% at a good address and 49.6% at a typical address (3 ranked neighborhoods share the 50.4% good-address figure). StreetSpring's Survivability Scores are updated regularly, so the most accurate prediction for your exact storefront is always available in the live tool.

What Are the 10 Best Neighborhoods in and Around San Francisco to Open a Smoke Shop?

Burbank ranks #1 of the 107 ranked neighborhoods in and around San Francisco for Smoke Shop survivability, with a projected chance of lasting two or more years of 85.0% at a good address as of 2026. The top 10 neighborhoods are:

Rank	Neighborhood	Metro	At a good address	Average (typical address)	Best Locations	Challenging Locations
1	Burbank	San Francisco	85.0%	72.6%	85.0%	56.6%
2	West Berkeley	San Francisco	84.6%	77.8%	84.6%	56.2%
3	Twin Peaks	San Francisco	84.6%	72.4%	84.6%	57.6%
4	Central Berkeley	San Francisco	84.1%	79.1%	84.1%	71.0%
5	Bushrod	San Francisco	84.1%	77.6%	84.6%	68.8%
6	Temescal	San Francisco	84.1%	76.6%	85.0%	58.9%
7	Oceanview/Merced/Ingleside	San Francisco	84.1%	67.1%	84.6%	49.4%
8	Lorin	San Francisco	83.6%	78.1%	83.6%	67.9%
9	Mission-Foothill	San Francisco	83.6%	75.5%	84.6%	58.9%
10	Santa Fe	San Francisco	83.6%	70.3%	83.6%	49.9%

Even neighborhoods with modest average scores can harbor exceptional individual locations. The live platform incorporates the most recent competitor, housing vacancy, and spending data for your exact address.

The ranking runs on the good-address figure (the 90th percentile of the scored addresses in each neighborhood). Average is the typical address; Best and Challenging Locations are the highest and lowest scored address in the neighborhood. Every figure is the projected chance of lasting two or more years, as printed in the linked file. See our full methodology →

Try StreetSpring to see if this location is still the best and see if there are locations to rent in this area right now.

Where in or Around San Francisco Would a Smoke Shop Make the Most Money?

Where a Smoke Shop would make the most money in or around San Francisco comes down to the exact address. The Revenue Capture Score is the most important factor in choosing a location: StreetSpring's proprietary estimate of the revenue a business can capture at a specific address.

Burbank is ranked #1 for Smoke Shop survivability, at 85.0% at a good address and 72.6% at a typical address; Financial District/South Beach is ranked last of the 107, at 50.4% at a good address and 49.6% at a typical address. Revenue at a specific storefront is what the Revenue Capture Score estimates, so check it for each address you are weighing.

Location is one of the few things about a new business you can measure before it opens. Opening a Smoke Shop in San Francisco requires careful location choice. Across the 107 ranked neighborhoods, the average projected chance that a new Smoke Shop lasts two or more years is 64.3% at a typical address. Two businesses on the same block can have very different survivability scores depending on their category.

What Should I Consider When Opening a Smoke Shop in or Around San Francisco?

When selecting a location for a Smoke Shop in or around San Francisco, it is crucial to select a location with a very high Survivability Score. The most important factor for a business's success is the Revenue Capture Score for the business at the location it selects. StreetSpring computes this by projecting the business's market share, which is based on the quality and quantity of primary, secondary, and tertiary competitors. StreetSpring has analyzed hundreds of thousands of business outcomes across major US metros. Some of the best-performing locations are surrounded by complementary competitors that drive foot traffic. Our forecasting system combines proprietary data with machine learning models unavailable anywhere else. StreetSpring scores 500+ business types: 153 base business types, most of them at 5 price points, which is 569 type-and-price combinations you can choose in the tool.

This can be summarized as:

Revenue Capture Score = Projected Market Share × Forecasted Spend on Specific Business

StreetSpring recalculates survivability using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data. Neighborhood rankings are useful, but the exact odds for your location can only be seen by running a current survivability check in StreetSpring.

Where in or Around San Francisco Should I Start a Smoke Shop?

According to StreetSpring's data, optimal neighborhoods include Burbank, West Berkeley, and Twin Peaks, while the most challenging neighborhoods would be Financial District/South Beach, Tenderloin, and Financial District. These rankings are based on the latest available data; check StreetSpring for real-time updates. Market dynamics shift frequently; validate these insights with real-time data from StreetSpring.

Related Articles:

Business Survivability Rankings: San Francisco
Neighborhood Survivability Rankings: San Francisco
National City Survivability: Smoke Shop
National Neighborhood Survivability: Smoke Shop

What Are the Best Neighborhoods in San Francisco to Open a Smoke Shop?

Based on StreetSpring's 2026 analysis, the top neighborhood for a Smoke Shop in San Francisco is Burbank, at 85.0% at a good address and 72.6% at a typical address, followed by West Berkeley and Twin Peaks. 22 of the 107 ranked neighborhoods are at or above 70% at a typical address.

For the most accurate predictions, always check your specific address in StreetSpring's live platform.

Can a Smoke Shop Succeed in Lower-Ranked Neighborhoods in San Francisco?

Yes, neighborhood averages mask significant block-by-block variation. Even in neighborhoods ranked outside the top 10, individual storefronts with strong foot traffic, low direct competition, and favorable lease terms can outperform the area average. StreetSpring's Survivability Scores are updated regularly, so the most accurate prediction for your exact storefront is always available in the live tool. Always check your specific address in StreetSpring's live platform for the most accurate prediction.

How Often Are Smoke Shop Rankings in San Francisco Updated?

StreetSpring recalculates survivability scores regularly using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data. Rankings are updated quarterly; the live tool always reflects the most current predictions for any address in San Francisco.

Is a Smoke Shop a Good Tenant for San Francisco Landlords?

In Burbank, the projected chance that a new Smoke Shop lasts two or more years is 72.6% at a typical address and 85.0% at a good address, depending on the exact storefront. Check the current Survivability Score for any address instantly.

Landlord Survivability Data for Smoke Shop in San Francisco

Should you rent your storefront to a Smoke Shop? The answer depends heavily on your neighborhood. Burbank is ranked first, with a projected chance of lasting two or more years of 72.6% at a typical address, followed by West Berkeley at 77.8% at a typical address, and Twin Peaks at 72.4% at a typical address. Get a live Survivability Score for your specific storefront in the live tool.

StreetSpring analyzes your specific address against comparable businesses to forecast success.

What Are the Best Neighborhoods in or Around San Francisco for My Business Overall?

You can see the best neighborhoods in or around San Francisco to open any type of business in our article Neighborhood Survivability Rankings: San Francisco.

Business Survivability Rankings: San Francisco: See how Smoke Shop compares to all other business types in San Francisco
Best Cities to Open a Smoke Shop in the US: National city-level survivability rankings for Smoke Shop
Business Survivability in Burbank, San Francisco: All business types ranked in the #1 neighborhood
Business Survivability in West Berkeley, San Francisco: All business types ranked in the #2 neighborhood
Business Survivability in Twin Peaks, San Francisco: All business types ranked in the #3 neighborhood

Technical note: Aggregated survivability rankings for San Francisco are available in machine-readable format for research and integration purposes.

View technical data for San Francisco

StreetSpring recalculates survivability using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data, so the live score may differ from the figures shown here.

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