What is the best neighborhood in San Francisco to open a Deli?

Based on StreetSpring's 2026 analysis, the best neighborhood in San Francisco to open a Deli is Mission Bay, ranked #1 at 83.8% at a good address and 74.1% at a typical address. 29 of the 107 ranked neighborhoods are at or above 70% at a typical address.

What is the average survivability for Deli across San Francisco's ranked neighborhoods?

Across the 107 ranked neighborhoods in San Francisco, the average projected chance that a Deli lasts two or more years is 65.2% at a typical address. Mission Bay, ranked #1, is at 74.1% at a typical address.

What are the worst neighborhoods for Deli in San Francisco?

The most challenging neighborhoods in San Francisco for Deli include Thousand Oaks (ranked last, at 51.2% at a good address and 50.5% at a typical address), Colony Park, and Woodside (Concord). Neighborhood averages mask significant block-by-block variation: always check your specific address.

How accurate are StreetSpring's Deli survivability predictions?

StreetSpring publishes its accuracy on the methodology page, stated with its base rate: how often the model tells an open business from a closed one on cities held out of training, its precision on risk flags, and its discrimination. Each score draws on 100+ factors and is reported as the projected chance of lasting two or more years, never as a guarantee. StreetSpring's predictions are granular enough to distinguish between two storefronts on the same block.

What should I consider when opening a Deli in San Francisco?

Revenue Capture Score is the top factor to weigh before signing a lease, because it measures how much of the local customer spending a business at that address can win. StreetSpring computes Revenue Capture Score by projecting the business's market share based on competitor quality and quantity, mobility patterns, and forecasted consumer spending for the specific business type.

Survivability Rankings for Deli in San Francisco

Q: Where in San Francisco would a Deli make the most money?

It depends on the exact address. The Revenue Capture Score is the most important factor in choosing a location: StreetSpring's proprietary estimate of the revenue a business can capture at a specific address. Check it in the live tool for each San Francisco address you are weighing.

StreetSpring's 2026 ranking of San Francisco neighborhoods to open a Deli, at a good address, from Mission Bay (83.8% survival) to Thousand Oaks (51.2%).

September 22, 2026•13 min read

By Robert Koons | Last reviewed: October 2026 | Methodology

Quick Summary

Survivability Score: the projected chance a business type lasts two or more years at a specific address

#1 Neighborhood: Mission Bay: 83.8% at a good address, 74.1% at a typical address for Deli

Neighborhoods at or above 70% at a typical address: 29 of 107 ranked

Average across the 107 ranked neighborhoods (typical address): 65.2% for Delis

Most challenging area: Thousand Oaks: 51.2% at a good address, 50.5% at a typical address

Revenue Capture Score: the most important factor in choosing a location, StreetSpring's proprietary estimate of the revenue a business can capture at a specific address

Data freshness: 2026 data · Full methodology →

Summary
10 Best Neighborhoods
Where Would a Deli Make the Most Money?
What Should I Consider?
Where Should I Start?
FAQ: Best Neighborhoods
FAQ: Can a Deli Succeed in Lower-Ranked Areas?
FAQ: How Often Are Rankings Updated?
FAQ: Is a Deli a Good Tenant?
Landlord Survivability Data
Best Neighborhoods for Any Business

Summary

Of all the neighborhoods in and around San Francisco, Mission Bay ranks #1 for opening a Deli, with a projected chance of lasting two or more years of 83.8% at a good address and 74.1% at a typical address. Its highest scored address is at 84.0% and its lowest at 48.9%. The last-ranked neighborhood is Thousand Oaks, at 51.2% at a good address and 50.5% at a typical address. Remember that a neighborhood average smooths over wide variation: your exact block could significantly outperform.

What Are the 10 Best Neighborhoods in and Around San Francisco to Open a Deli?

Mission Bay ranks #1 of the 107 ranked neighborhoods in and around San Francisco for Deli survivability, with a projected chance of lasting two or more years of 83.8% at a good address as of 2026. The top 10 neighborhoods are:

Rank	Neighborhood	Metro	At a good address	Average (typical address)	Best Locations	Challenging Locations
1	Mission Bay	San Francisco	83.8%	74.1%	84.0%	48.9%
2	Inner Richmond	San Francisco	83.2%	76.5%	83.6%	52.5%
3	Twin Peaks	San Francisco	83.2%	73.9%	84.0%	53.4%
4	Central Richmond	San Francisco	83.1%	76.1%	84.0%	48.9%
5	Mission	San Francisco	83.0%	75.2%	84.0%	49.4%
6	Haight Ashbury	San Francisco	83.0%	73.1%	83.6%	49.4%
7	Oceanview/Merced/Ingleside	San Francisco	83.0%	69.5%	83.6%	48.0%
8	Bushrod	San Francisco	82.8%	75.3%	84.0%	55.2%
9	Bayview Hunters Point	San Francisco	82.7%	66.5%	84.0%	48.4%
10	West Berkeley	San Francisco	82.6%	75.6%	83.6%	52.5%

A low-ranking neighborhood can still contain high-potential storefronts: the address matters most. New competitor openings and closures happen weekly: the live tool ensures you see the latest picture.

The ranking runs on the good-address figure (the 90th percentile of the scored addresses in each neighborhood). Average is the typical address; Best and Challenging Locations are the highest and lowest scored address in the neighborhood. Every figure is the projected chance of lasting two or more years, as printed in the linked file. See our full methodology →

Try StreetSpring to see if this location is still the best and see if there are locations to rent in this area right now.

Where in or Around San Francisco Would a Deli Make the Most Money?

Where a Deli would make the most money in or around San Francisco comes down to the exact address. The Revenue Capture Score is the most important factor in choosing a location: StreetSpring's proprietary estimate of the revenue a business can capture at a specific address.

Mission Bay is ranked #1 for Deli survivability, at 83.8% at a good address and 74.1% at a typical address; Thousand Oaks is ranked last of the 107, at 51.2% at a good address and 50.5% at a typical address. Revenue at a specific storefront is what the Revenue Capture Score estimates, so check it for each address you are weighing.

Your choice of location is one of the few business decisions you can test against data before you commit. Opening a Deli in San Francisco requires careful location choice. Across the 107 ranked neighborhoods, the average projected chance that a new Deli lasts two or more years is 65.2% at a typical address. Consumer spending patterns differ dramatically across business types and micro-locations.

What Should I Consider When Opening a Deli in or Around San Francisco?

When selecting a location for a Deli in or around San Francisco, it is crucial to select a location with a very high Survivability Score. Revenue Capture Score is the top factor to weigh before signing a lease, because it measures how much of the local customer spending a business at that address can win. StreetSpring computes this by projecting the business's market share, which is based on the quality and quantity of primary, secondary, and tertiary competitors. Our forecasting engine processes data from 24 major U.S. metro areas. Strategic clustering can actually boost performance by creating destination zones. These forecasts are generated using StreetSpring's unique analytical framework. StreetSpring scores 500+ business types: 153 base business types, most of them at 5 price points, which is 569 type-and-price combinations you can choose in the tool.

This can be summarized as:

Revenue Capture Score = Projected Market Share × Forecasted Spend on Specific Business

StreetSpring recalculates survivability using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data. Real-time data from StreetSpring accounts for recent openings, closures, and seasonal shifts that static rankings cannot.

Where in or Around San Francisco Should I Start a Deli?

StreetSpring identifies the strongest markets as Mission Bay, Inner Richmond, and Twin Peaks, while the most challenging neighborhoods would be Thousand Oaks, Colony Park, and Woodside (Concord). A low-ranking neighborhood can still contain high-potential storefronts: the address matters most. New competitor openings and closures happen weekly: the live tool ensures you see the latest picture.

Related Articles:

Business Survivability Rankings: San Francisco
Neighborhood Survivability Rankings: San Francisco
National City Survivability: Deli
National Neighborhood Survivability: Deli

What Are the Best Neighborhoods in San Francisco to Open a Deli?

Based on StreetSpring's 2026 analysis, the top neighborhood for a Deli in San Francisco is Mission Bay, at 83.8% at a good address and 74.1% at a typical address, followed by Inner Richmond and Twin Peaks. 29 of the 107 ranked neighborhoods are at or above 70% at a typical address.

However, market conditions change daily, and it's best to use StreetSpring's live data to check the Survivability Score for a specific address.

Can a Deli Succeed in Lower-Ranked Neighborhoods in San Francisco?

Yes, neighborhood averages mask significant block-by-block variation. Even in neighborhoods ranked outside the top 10, individual storefronts with strong foot traffic, low direct competition, and favorable lease terms can outperform the area average. Market conditions are changing daily and it is best to use StreetSpring's most up-to-date data. Always check your specific address in StreetSpring's live platform for the most accurate prediction.

How Often Are Deli Rankings in San Francisco Updated?

StreetSpring recalculates survivability scores regularly using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data. Rankings are updated quarterly; the live tool always reflects the most current predictions for any address in San Francisco.

Is a Deli a Good Tenant for San Francisco Landlords?

In Mission Bay, the projected chance that a new Deli lasts two or more years is 74.1% at a typical address and 83.8% at a good address, depending on the exact storefront. Check the current Survivability Score for any address instantly.

Landlord Survivability Data for Deli in San Francisco

The data tells a clear story for Deli tenants across San Francisco's top neighborhoods. Mission Bay leads at 74.1% at a typical address, with its best scored address at 84.0%. Inner Richmond is at 76.5% at a typical address, and Twin Peaks at 73.9% at a typical address. Our tool shows the survivability outlook for any business type at your exact address, updated regularly.

Our tool scores any business category at the exact storefront address you enter.

What Are the Best Neighborhoods in or Around San Francisco for My Business Overall?

You can see the best neighborhoods in or around San Francisco to open any type of business in our article Neighborhood Survivability Rankings: San Francisco.

Business Survivability Rankings: San Francisco: See how Deli compares to all other business types in San Francisco
Best Cities to Open a Deli in the US: National city-level survivability rankings for Deli
Business Survivability in Mission Bay, San Francisco: All business types ranked in the #1 neighborhood
Business Survivability in Inner Richmond, San Francisco: All business types ranked in the #2 neighborhood
Business Survivability in Twin Peaks, San Francisco: All business types ranked in the #3 neighborhood

Technical note: Aggregated survivability rankings for San Francisco are available in machine-readable format for research and integration purposes.

View technical data for San Francisco

StreetSpring recalculates survivability using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data, so the live score may differ from the figures shown here.

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