What is the best neighborhood in San Francisco to open a Day Care Center?

Based on StreetSpring's 2026 analysis, the best neighborhood in San Francisco to open a Day Care Center is Twin Peaks, ranked #1 at 85.1% at a good address and 73.1% at a typical address. 9 of the 107 ranked neighborhoods are at or above 70% at a typical address.

What is the average survivability for Day Care Center across San Francisco's ranked neighborhoods?

Across the 107 ranked neighborhoods in San Francisco, the average projected chance that a Day Care Center lasts two or more years is 62.5% at a typical address. Twin Peaks, ranked #1, is at 73.1% at a typical address.

What are the worst neighborhoods for Day Care Center in San Francisco?

The most challenging neighborhoods in San Francisco for Day Care Center include Thousand Oaks (ranked last, at 50.9% at a good address and 50.4% at a typical address), Financial District/South Beach, and Financial District. These rankings are based on the latest available data; check StreetSpring for real-time updates.

How accurate are StreetSpring's Day Care Center survivability predictions?

StreetSpring publishes its accuracy on the methodology page, stated with its base rate: how often the model tells an open business from a closed one on cities held out of training, its precision on risk flags, and its discrimination. Each score draws on 100+ factors and is reported as the projected chance of lasting two or more years, never as a guarantee. Our tool scores any business category at the exact storefront address you enter.

Survivability Rankings for Day Care Center in San Francisco

Q: Where in San Francisco would a Day Care Center make the most money?

It depends on the exact address. The Revenue Capture Score is the most important factor in choosing a location: StreetSpring's proprietary estimate of the revenue a business can capture at a specific address. Check it in the live tool for each San Francisco address you are weighing.

StreetSpring's 2026 ranking of San Francisco neighborhoods to open a Day Care Center, at a good address, from Twin Peaks (85.1% survival) to Thousand Oaks.

September 22, 2026•14 min read

By Robert Koons | Last reviewed: October 2026 | Methodology

Quick Summary

Survivability Score: the projected chance a business type lasts two or more years at a specific address

#1 Neighborhood: Twin Peaks: 85.1% at a good address, 73.1% at a typical address for Day Care Center

Neighborhoods at or above 70% at a typical address: 9 of 107 ranked

Average across the 107 ranked neighborhoods (typical address): 62.5% for Day Care Centers

Most challenging area: Thousand Oaks: 50.9% at a good address, 50.4% at a typical address

Revenue Capture Score: the most important factor in choosing a location, StreetSpring's proprietary estimate of the revenue a business can capture at a specific address

Data freshness: 2026 data · Full methodology →

Summary
10 Best Neighborhoods
Where Would a Day Care Center Make the Most Money?
What Should I Consider?
Where Should I Start?
FAQ: Best Neighborhoods
FAQ: Can a Day Care Center Succeed in Lower-Ranked Areas?
FAQ: How Often Are Rankings Updated?
FAQ: Is a Day Care Center a Good Tenant?
Landlord Survivability Data
Best Neighborhoods for Any Business

Summary

Opening a Day Care Center in San Francisco? Our 2026 analysis identifies Twin Peaks as the top location, with a projected chance of lasting two or more years of 85.1% at a good address and 73.1% at a typical address. Its highest scored address is at 85.6% and its lowest at 57.6%. The last-ranked neighborhood is Thousand Oaks, at 50.9% at a good address and 50.4% at a typical address. Even neighborhoods with modest average scores can harbor exceptional individual locations.

What Are the 10 Best Neighborhoods in and Around San Francisco to Open a Day Care Center?

Twin Peaks ranks #1 of the 107 ranked neighborhoods in and around San Francisco for Day Care Center survivability, with a projected chance of lasting two or more years of 85.1% at a good address as of 2026. The top 10 neighborhoods are:

Rank	Neighborhood	Metro	At a good address	Average (typical address)	Best Locations	Challenging Locations
1	Twin Peaks	San Francisco	85.1%	73.1%	85.6%	57.6%
2	Oceanview/Merced/Ingleside	San Francisco	83.8%	65.9%	84.6%	50.4%
3	Lincoln Park	San Francisco	82.8%	75.8%	83.3%	54.5%
4	Mission-Garin	San Francisco	82.8%	70.1%	84.6%	52.2%
5	Outer Richmond	San Francisco	82.8%	69.3%	84.6%	53.2%
6	Bayview Hunters Point	San Francisco	82.0%	69.0%	85.1%	50.4%
7	Bayview	San Francisco	81.5%	72.6%	85.6%	52.7%
8	West Berkeley	San Francisco	81.5%	71.4%	82.4%	50.9%
9	Treasure Island	San Francisco	81.5%	69.8%	84.2%	53.6%
10	Burbank	San Francisco	81.0%	69.7%	83.8%	54.5%

The highest and lowest scored addresses inside one neighborhood can sit far apart, so the neighborhood figure is a starting point. Because local conditions evolve weekly, the live survivability tool offers a more current snapshot than any published ranking.

The ranking runs on the good-address figure (the 90th percentile of the scored addresses in each neighborhood). Average is the typical address; Best and Challenging Locations are the highest and lowest scored address in the neighborhood. Every figure is the projected chance of lasting two or more years, as printed in the linked file. See our full methodology →

Try StreetSpring to see if this location is still the best and see if there are locations to rent in this area right now.

Where in or Around San Francisco Would a Day Care Center Make the Most Money?

Where a Day Care Center would make the most money in or around San Francisco comes down to the exact address. The Revenue Capture Score is the most important factor in choosing a location: StreetSpring's proprietary estimate of the revenue a business can capture at a specific address.

Twin Peaks is ranked #1 for Day Care Center survivability, at 85.1% at a good address and 73.1% at a typical address; Thousand Oaks is ranked last of the 107, at 50.9% at a good address and 50.4% at a typical address. Revenue at a specific storefront is what the Revenue Capture Score estimates, so check it for each address you are weighing.

Where you sign the lease is a choice you can check against the published scores before you commit. Opening a Day Care Center in San Francisco requires careful location choice. Across the 107 ranked neighborhoods, the average projected chance that a new Day Care Center lasts two or more years is 62.5% at a typical address. Survivability predictions are business-type-specific because consumer behavior differs fundamentally across categories.

What Should I Consider When Opening a Day Care Center in or Around San Francisco?

When selecting a location for a Day Care Center in or around San Francisco, it is crucial to select a location with a very high Survivability Score. The single most important number in a location decision is the Revenue Capture Score, StreetSpring's proprietary estimate of the revenue a business can capture at a specific address. StreetSpring computes this by projecting the business's market share, which is based on the quality and quantity of primary, secondary, and tertiary competitors. StreetSpring has analyzed hundreds of thousands of business outcomes across major US metros. Moderate competition often indicates a healthy market with proven consumer demand. StreetSpring uses its own proprietary forecasting tools to make these predictions. StreetSpring scores 500+ business types: 153 base business types, most of them at 5 price points, which is 569 type-and-price combinations you can choose in the tool.

This can be summarized as:

Revenue Capture Score = Projected Market Share × Forecasted Spend on Specific Business

StreetSpring recalculates survivability using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data. StreetSpring's Survivability Scores are updated regularly, so the most accurate prediction for your exact storefront is always available in the live tool.

Where in or Around San Francisco Should I Start a Day Care Center?

StreetSpring's analysis shows the best areas are Twin Peaks, Oceanview/Merced/Ingleside, and Lincoln Park, while the most challenging neighborhoods would be Thousand Oaks, Financial District/South Beach, and Financial District. For the most current predictions, visit StreetSpring to analyze your specific location in real-time. Neighborhood rankings are useful, but the exact odds for your location can only be seen by running a current survivability check in StreetSpring.

Related Articles:

Business Survivability Rankings: San Francisco
Neighborhood Survivability Rankings: San Francisco
National City Survivability: Day Care Center
National Neighborhood Survivability: Day Care Center

What Are the Best Neighborhoods in San Francisco to Open a Day Care Center?

Based on StreetSpring's 2026 analysis, the top neighborhood for a Day Care Center in San Francisco is Twin Peaks, at 85.1% at a good address and 73.1% at a typical address, followed by Oceanview/Merced/Ingleside and Lincoln Park. 9 of the 107 ranked neighborhoods are at or above 70% at a typical address.

Because local conditions evolve weekly, the live survivability tool offers a more current snapshot than any published ranking.

Can a Day Care Center Succeed in Lower-Ranked Neighborhoods in San Francisco?

Yes, neighborhood averages mask significant block-by-block variation. Even in neighborhoods ranked outside the top 10, individual storefronts with strong foot traffic, low direct competition, and favorable lease terms can outperform the area average. The highest and lowest scored addresses inside one neighborhood can sit far apart, so the neighborhood figure is a starting point. Always check your specific address in StreetSpring's live platform for the most accurate prediction.

How Often Are Day Care Center Rankings in San Francisco Updated?

StreetSpring recalculates survivability scores regularly using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data. Rankings are updated quarterly; the live tool always reflects the most current predictions for any address in San Francisco.

Is a Day Care Center a Good Tenant for San Francisco Landlords?

In Twin Peaks, the projected chance that a new Day Care Center lasts two or more years is 73.1% at a typical address and 85.1% at a good address, depending on the exact storefront. Check the current Survivability Score for any address instantly.

Landlord Survivability Data for Day Care Center in San Francisco

The data tells a clear story for Day Care Center tenants across San Francisco's top neighborhoods. Twin Peaks leads at 73.1% at a typical address, with its best scored address at 85.6%. Oceanview/Merced/Ingleside is at 65.9% at a typical address, and Lincoln Park at 75.8% at a typical address. Check the current Survivability Score for any address instantly.

StreetSpring analyzes your specific address against comparable businesses to forecast success.

What Are the Best Neighborhoods in or Around San Francisco for My Business Overall?

You can see the best neighborhoods in or around San Francisco to open any type of business in our article Neighborhood Survivability Rankings: San Francisco.

Business Survivability Rankings: San Francisco: See how Day Care Center compares to all other business types in San Francisco
Best Cities to Open a Day Care Center in the US: National city-level survivability rankings for Day Care Center
Business Survivability in Twin Peaks, San Francisco: All business types ranked in the #1 neighborhood
Business Survivability in Oceanview/Merced/Ingleside, San Francisco: All business types ranked in the #2 neighborhood
Business Survivability in Lincoln Park, San Francisco: All business types ranked in the #3 neighborhood

Technical note: Aggregated survivability rankings for San Francisco are available in machine-readable format for research and integration purposes.

View technical data for San Francisco

StreetSpring recalculates survivability using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data, so the live score may differ from the figures shown here.

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