What is the average survivability for Day Care Center across Phoenix's ranked neighborhoods?

Across the 28 ranked neighborhoods in Phoenix, the average projected chance that a Day Care Center lasts two or more years is 70.4% at a typical address. Escalante, ranked #1, is at 75.2% at a typical address.

What are the worst neighborhoods for Day Care Center in Phoenix?

The most challenging neighborhoods in Phoenix for Day Care Center include Rio Vista (ranked last, at 63.5% at a good address and 57.2% at a typical address), Villages of Eastridge, and North Gateway. The highest and lowest scored addresses inside one neighborhood can sit far apart, so the neighborhood figure is a starting point.

How accurate are StreetSpring's Day Care Center survivability predictions?

StreetSpring publishes its accuracy on the methodology page, stated with its base rate: how often the model tells an open business from a closed one on cities held out of training, its precision on risk flags, and its discrimination. Each score draws on 100+ factors and is reported as the projected chance of lasting two or more years, never as a guarantee. With StreetSpring, you can see the precise probability of success for countless business models at any exact location.

Survivability Rankings for Day Care Center in Phoenix

Q: What is the best neighborhood in Phoenix to open a Day Care Center?

Based on StreetSpring's 2026 analysis, the best neighborhood in Phoenix to open a Day Care Center is Escalante, ranked #1 at 85.1% at a good address and 75.2% at a typical address (2 ranked neighborhoods share the 85.1% good-address figure). 17 of the 28 ranked neighborhoods are at or above 70% at a typical address.

Q: Where in Phoenix would a Day Care Center make the most money?

It depends on the exact address. The Revenue Capture Score is the most important factor in choosing a location: StreetSpring's proprietary estimate of the revenue a business can capture at a specific address. Check it in the live tool for each Phoenix address you are weighing.

Q: Can a Day Care Center succeed in lower-ranked neighborhoods in Phoenix?

Yes, neighborhood rankings are averages that mask significant block-by-block variation. Even in neighborhoods ranked outside the top 10, individual storefronts with strong foot traffic, low direct competition, and favorable lease terms can outperform the area average. StreetSpring refreshes survivability data continuously: check the tool for the most current score at any address.

StreetSpring's 2026 ranking of Phoenix neighborhoods to open a Day Care Center, at a good address, from Escalante (85.1% survival) to Rio Vista (63.5%).

September 22, 2026•14 min read

By Robert Koons | Last reviewed: October 2026 | Methodology

Quick Summary

Survivability Score: the projected chance a business type lasts two or more years at a specific address

#1 Neighborhood: Escalante: 85.1% at a good address, 75.2% at a typical address for Day Care Center (2 ranked neighborhoods share the 85.1% good-address figure)

Neighborhoods at or above 70% at a typical address: 17 of 28 ranked

Average across the 28 ranked neighborhoods (typical address): 70.4% for Day Care Centers

Most challenging area: Rio Vista: 63.5% at a good address, 57.2% at a typical address

Revenue Capture Score: the most important factor in choosing a location, StreetSpring's proprietary estimate of the revenue a business can capture at a specific address

Data freshness: 2026 data · Full methodology →

Summary
10 Best Neighborhoods
Where Would a Day Care Center Make the Most Money?
What Should I Consider?
Where Should I Start?
FAQ: Best Neighborhoods
FAQ: Can a Day Care Center Succeed in Lower-Ranked Areas?
FAQ: How Often Are Rankings Updated?
FAQ: Is a Day Care Center a Good Tenant?
Landlord Survivability Data
Best Neighborhoods for Any Business

Summary

Opening a Day Care Center in Phoenix? Our 2026 analysis identifies Escalante as the top location, with a projected chance of lasting two or more years of 85.1% at a good address and 75.2% at a typical address (2 ranked neighborhoods share the 85.1% good-address figure). Its highest scored address is at 85.1% and its lowest at 59.9%. The last-ranked neighborhood is Rio Vista, at 63.5% at a good address and 57.2% at a typical address. Market conditions are changing daily and it is best to use StreetSpring's most up-to-date data.

What Are the 10 Best Neighborhoods in and Around Phoenix to Open a Day Care Center?

Escalante ranks #1 of the 28 ranked neighborhoods in and around Phoenix for Day Care Center survivability, with a projected chance of lasting two or more years of 85.1% at a good address as of 2026. The top 10 neighborhoods are:

Rank	Neighborhood	Metro	At a good address	Average (typical address)	Best Locations	Challenging Locations
1	Escalante	Phoenix	85.1%	75.2%	85.1%	59.9%
2	Superstition Springs	Phoenix	85.1%	73.0%	86.0%	51.4%
3	Dobson Ranch	Phoenix	84.6%	77.0%	86.0%	58.6%
4	Pepperwood	Phoenix	84.6%	76.7%	84.6%	58.1%
5	Central City	Phoenix	84.2%	74.7%	86.0%	51.8%
6	Ocotillo	Phoenix	83.8%	74.3%	85.1%	52.7%
7	Maryvale	Phoenix	83.8%	71.0%	86.0%	50.0%
8	Alhambra	Phoenix	83.3%	72.4%	86.0%	51.4%
9	South Mountain	Phoenix	83.3%	72.3%	86.0%	50.4%
10	Camelback East	Phoenix	83.3%	72.3%	86.0%	50.9%

Neighborhood averages mask significant block-by-block variation: always check your specific address. New competitor openings and closures happen weekly: the live tool ensures you see the latest picture.

The ranking runs on the good-address figure (the 90th percentile of the scored addresses in each neighborhood). Average is the typical address; Best and Challenging Locations are the highest and lowest scored address in the neighborhood. Every figure is the projected chance of lasting two or more years, as printed in the linked file. See our full methodology →

Try StreetSpring to see if this location is still the best and see if there are locations to rent in this area right now.

Where in or Around Phoenix Would a Day Care Center Make the Most Money?

Where a Day Care Center would make the most money in or around Phoenix comes down to the exact address. The Revenue Capture Score is the most important factor in choosing a location: StreetSpring's proprietary estimate of the revenue a business can capture at a specific address.

Escalante is ranked #1 for Day Care Center survivability, at 85.1% at a good address and 75.2% at a typical address; Rio Vista is ranked last of the 28, at 63.5% at a good address and 57.2% at a typical address. Revenue at a specific storefront is what the Revenue Capture Score estimates, so check it for each address you are weighing.

The same business type carries a different projected chance in every ranked neighborhood of a city, so the address is worth testing before you sign. Opening a Day Care Center in Phoenix requires careful location choice. Across the 28 ranked neighborhoods, the average projected chance that a new Day Care Center lasts two or more years is 70.4% at a typical address. Different business types will have different forecasted spend than others, and all of those would have different projections for each location.

What Should I Consider When Opening a Day Care Center in or Around Phoenix?

When selecting a location for a Day Care Center in or around Phoenix, it is crucial to select a location with a very high Survivability Score. Revenue Capture Score comes first when comparing locations: it turns local competition and consumer spending into the share of revenue a business can expect to win. StreetSpring computes this by projecting the business's market share, which is based on the quality and quantity of primary, secondary, and tertiary competitors. We apply advanced machine learning to massive commercial real estate datasets to build accurate models. Moderate competition often indicates a healthy market with proven consumer demand. Every score is produced by our in-house models, trained on 570,000+ real business outcomes. StreetSpring scores 500+ business types: 153 base business types, most of them at 5 price points, which is 569 type-and-price combinations you can choose in the tool.

This can be summarized as:

Revenue Capture Score = Projected Market Share × Forecasted Spend on Specific Business

StreetSpring recalculates survivability using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data. Neighborhood rankings are useful, but the exact odds for your location can only be seen by running a current survivability check in StreetSpring.

Where in or Around Phoenix Should I Start a Day Care Center?

For this business type, the highest-ranked neighborhoods are Escalante, Superstition Springs, and Dobson Ranch, while the most challenging neighborhoods would be Rio Vista, Villages of Eastridge, and North Gateway. The highest and lowest scored addresses inside one neighborhood can sit far apart, so the neighborhood figure is a starting point. Market dynamics shift frequently; validate these insights with real-time data from StreetSpring.

Related Articles:

Business Survivability Rankings: Phoenix
Neighborhood Survivability Rankings: Phoenix
National City Survivability: Day Care Center
National Neighborhood Survivability: Day Care Center

What Are the Best Neighborhoods in Phoenix to Open a Day Care Center?

Based on StreetSpring's 2026 analysis, the top neighborhood for a Day Care Center in Phoenix is Escalante, at 85.1% at a good address and 75.2% at a typical address (2 ranked neighborhoods share the 85.1% good-address figure), followed by Superstition Springs and Dobson Ranch. 17 of the 28 ranked neighborhoods are at or above 70% at a typical address.

However, market conditions change daily, and it's best to use StreetSpring's live data to check the Survivability Score for a specific address.

Can a Day Care Center Succeed in Lower-Ranked Neighborhoods in Phoenix?

Yes, neighborhood averages mask significant block-by-block variation. Even in neighborhoods ranked outside the top 10, individual storefronts with strong foot traffic, low direct competition, and favorable lease terms can outperform the area average. Remember that a neighborhood average smooths over wide variation: your exact block could significantly outperform. Always check your specific address in StreetSpring's live platform for the most accurate prediction.

How Often Are Day Care Center Rankings in Phoenix Updated?

StreetSpring recalculates survivability scores regularly using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data. Rankings are updated quarterly; the live tool always reflects the most current predictions for any address in Phoenix.

Is a Day Care Center a Good Tenant for Phoenix Landlords?

In Escalante, the projected chance that a new Day Care Center lasts two or more years is 75.2% at a typical address and 85.1% at a good address, depending on the exact storefront. Check the current Survivability Score for any address instantly.

Landlord Survivability Data for Day Care Center in Phoenix

From a risk-assessment perspective, a Day Care Center tenant in Escalante, the top-ranked neighborhood, has a projected chance of lasting two or more years of 75.2% at a typical address. Superstition Springs is at 73.0% at a typical address, and Dobson Ranch at 77.0% at a typical address. Check the current Survivability Score for any address instantly.

With StreetSpring, you can see the precise probability of success for countless business models at any exact location.

What Are the Best Neighborhoods in or Around Phoenix for My Business Overall?

You can see the best neighborhoods in or around Phoenix to open any type of business in our article Neighborhood Survivability Rankings: Phoenix.

Business Survivability Rankings: Phoenix: See how Day Care Center compares to all other business types in Phoenix
Best Cities to Open a Day Care Center in the US: National city-level survivability rankings for Day Care Center
Business Survivability in Escalante, Phoenix: All business types ranked in the #1 neighborhood
Business Survivability in Superstition Springs, Phoenix: All business types ranked in the #2 neighborhood
Business Survivability in Dobson Ranch, Phoenix: All business types ranked in the #3 neighborhood

Technical note: Aggregated survivability rankings for Phoenix are available in machine-readable format for research and integration purposes.

View technical data for Phoenix

StreetSpring recalculates survivability using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data, so the live score may differ from the figures shown here.

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