What is the best neighborhood in Phoenix to open an American Restaurant?

Based on StreetSpring's 2026 analysis, the best neighborhood in Phoenix to open an American Restaurant is Superstition Springs, ranked #1 at 83.1% at a good address and 70.4% at a typical address. 9 of the 28 ranked neighborhoods are at or above 70% at a typical address.

What is the average survivability for American Restaurant across Phoenix's ranked neighborhoods?

Across the 28 ranked neighborhoods in Phoenix, the average projected chance that an American Restaurant lasts two or more years is 67.4% at a typical address. Superstition Springs, ranked #1, is at 70.4% at a typical address.

What are the worst neighborhoods for American Restaurant in Phoenix?

The most challenging neighborhoods in Phoenix for American Restaurant include Rio Vista (ranked last, at 61.1% at a good address and 54.6% at a typical address), Villages of Eastridge, and North Gateway. The highest and lowest scored addresses inside one neighborhood can sit far apart, so the neighborhood figure is a starting point.

How accurate are StreetSpring's American Restaurant survivability predictions?

StreetSpring publishes its accuracy on the methodology page, stated with its base rate: how often the model tells an open business from a closed one on cities held out of training, its precision on risk flags, and its discrimination. Each score draws on 100+ factors and is reported as the projected chance of lasting two or more years, never as a guarantee. StreetSpring provides highly detailed forecasts: revealing how long hundreds of business types are likely to last at a specific address.

Survivability Rankings for American Restaurant in Phoenix

Q: Where in Phoenix would an American Restaurant make the most money?

It depends on the exact address. The Revenue Capture Score is the most important factor in choosing a location: StreetSpring's proprietary estimate of the revenue a business can capture at a specific address. Check it in the live tool for each Phoenix address you are weighing.

Q: Can an American Restaurant succeed in lower-ranked neighborhoods in Phoenix?

Yes, neighborhood rankings are averages that mask significant block-by-block variation. Even in neighborhoods ranked outside the top 10, individual storefronts with strong foot traffic, low direct competition, and favorable lease terms can outperform the area average. The live platform incorporates the most recent competitor, housing vacancy, and spending data for your exact address.

2026 ranking of Phoenix neighborhoods to open an American Restaurant, at a good address, from Superstition Springs (83.1% survival) to Rio Vista.

September 22, 2026•13 min read

By Robert Koons | Last reviewed: October 2026 | Methodology

Quick Summary

Survivability Score: the projected chance a business type lasts two or more years at a specific address

#1 Neighborhood: Superstition Springs: 83.1% at a good address, 70.4% at a typical address for American Restaurant

Neighborhoods at or above 70% at a typical address: 9 of 28 ranked

Average across the 28 ranked neighborhoods (typical address): 67.4% for American Restaurants

Most challenging area: Rio Vista: 61.1% at a good address, 54.6% at a typical address

Revenue Capture Score: the most important factor in choosing a location, StreetSpring's proprietary estimate of the revenue a business can capture at a specific address

Data freshness: 2026 data · Full methodology →

Summary
10 Best Neighborhoods
Where Would an American Restaurant Make the Most Money?
What Should I Consider?
Where Should I Start?
FAQ: Best Neighborhoods
FAQ: Can an American Restaurant Succeed in Lower-Ranked Areas?
FAQ: How Often Are Rankings Updated?
FAQ: Is an American Restaurant a Good Tenant?
Landlord Survivability Data
Best Neighborhoods for Any Business

Summary

StreetSpring's 2026 analysis shows the best neighborhood in and around Phoenix to open an American Restaurant is Superstition Springs, with a projected chance of lasting two or more years of 83.1% at a good address and 70.4% at a typical address. Its highest scored address is at 84.0% and its lowest at 48.9%. The last-ranked neighborhood is Rio Vista, at 61.1% at a good address and 54.6% at a typical address. However, individual locations vary widely, and even in lower-scoring neighborhoods there are pockets that perform exceptionally well.

What Are the 10 Best Neighborhoods in and Around Phoenix to Open an American Restaurant?

Superstition Springs ranks #1 of the 28 ranked neighborhoods in and around Phoenix for American Restaurant survivability, with a projected chance of lasting two or more years of 83.1% at a good address as of 2026. The top 10 neighborhoods are:

Rank	Neighborhood	Metro	At a good address	Average (typical address)	Best Locations	Challenging Locations
1	Superstition Springs	Phoenix	83.1%	70.4%	84.0%	48.9%
2	Dobson Ranch	Phoenix	82.6%	73.8%	84.0%	54.3%
3	Pepperwood	Phoenix	82.6%	73.8%	82.6%	55.2%
4	Escalante	Phoenix	82.5%	72.2%	82.6%	55.6%
5	Ocotillo	Phoenix	81.8%	71.0%	83.1%	50.2%
6	Central City	Phoenix	81.7%	71.0%	84.0%	48.4%
7	Maryvale	Phoenix	81.4%	68.0%	84.0%	48.0%
8	Carino Estates	Phoenix	80.9%	73.2%	82.2%	57.9%
9	Alhambra	Phoenix	80.8%	68.6%	84.0%	48.4%
10	South Mountain	Phoenix	80.7%	69.1%	84.0%	48.0%

The highest and lowest scored addresses inside one neighborhood can sit far apart, so the neighborhood figure is a starting point. Because local conditions evolve weekly, the live survivability tool offers a more current snapshot than any published ranking.

The ranking runs on the good-address figure (the 90th percentile of the scored addresses in each neighborhood). Average is the typical address; Best and Challenging Locations are the highest and lowest scored address in the neighborhood. Every figure is the projected chance of lasting two or more years, as printed in the linked file. See our full methodology →

Try StreetSpring to see if this location is still the best and see if there are locations to rent in this area right now.

Where in or Around Phoenix Would an American Restaurant Make the Most Money?

Where an American Restaurant would make the most money in or around Phoenix comes down to the exact address. The Revenue Capture Score is the most important factor in choosing a location: StreetSpring's proprietary estimate of the revenue a business can capture at a specific address.

Superstition Springs is ranked #1 for American Restaurant survivability, at 83.1% at a good address and 70.4% at a typical address; Rio Vista is ranked last of the 28, at 61.1% at a good address and 54.6% at a typical address. Revenue at a specific storefront is what the Revenue Capture Score estimates, so check it for each address you are weighing.

Location is one of the few things about a new business you can measure before it opens. Opening an American Restaurant in Phoenix requires careful location choice. Across the 28 ranked neighborhoods, the average projected chance that a new American Restaurant lasts two or more years is 67.4% at a typical address. Consumer spending patterns differ dramatically across business types and micro-locations.

What Should I Consider When Opening an American Restaurant in or Around Phoenix?

When selecting a location for an American Restaurant in or around Phoenix, it is crucial to select a location with a very high Survivability Score. When evaluating a potential location, Revenue Capture Score should be the first number you look at. StreetSpring computes this by projecting the business's market share, which is based on the quality and quantity of primary, secondary, and tertiary competitors. We have been studying the businesses serving more than 180 million+ Americans. Clustering works when it draws more customers to the area than any single business could alone. These forecasts are generated using StreetSpring's unique analytical framework. StreetSpring scores 500+ business types: 153 base business types, most of them at 5 price points, which is 569 type-and-price combinations you can choose in the tool.

This can be summarized as:

Revenue Capture Score = Projected Market Share × Forecasted Spend on Specific Business

StreetSpring recalculates survivability using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data. Because local conditions evolve weekly, the live survivability tool offers a more current snapshot than any published ranking.

Where in or Around Phoenix Should I Start an American Restaurant?

For this business type, the highest-ranked neighborhoods are Superstition Springs, Dobson Ranch, and Pepperwood, while the most challenging neighborhoods would be Rio Vista, Villages of Eastridge, and North Gateway. These averages are directional, not definitive; the best decision comes from analyzing your specific storefront. New competitor openings and closures happen weekly: the live tool ensures you see the latest picture.

Related Articles:

Business Survivability Rankings: Phoenix
Neighborhood Survivability Rankings: Phoenix
National City Survivability: American Restaurant
National Neighborhood Survivability: American Restaurant

What Are the Best Neighborhoods in Phoenix to Open an American Restaurant?

Based on StreetSpring's 2026 analysis, the top neighborhood for an American Restaurant in Phoenix is Superstition Springs, at 83.1% at a good address and 70.4% at a typical address, followed by Dobson Ranch and Pepperwood. 9 of the 28 ranked neighborhoods are at or above 70% at a typical address.

Our live tool reflects the latest competitive landscape: these static rankings may already be slightly out of date.

Can an American Restaurant Succeed in Lower-Ranked Neighborhoods in Phoenix?

Yes, neighborhood averages mask significant block-by-block variation. Even in neighborhoods ranked outside the top 10, individual storefronts with strong foot traffic, low direct competition, and favorable lease terms can outperform the area average. For the most current predictions, visit StreetSpring to analyze your specific location in real-time. Always check your specific address in StreetSpring's live platform for the most accurate prediction.

How Often Are American Restaurant Rankings in Phoenix Updated?

StreetSpring recalculates survivability scores regularly using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data. Rankings are updated quarterly; the live tool always reflects the most current predictions for any address in Phoenix.

Is an American Restaurant a Good Tenant for Phoenix Landlords?

In Superstition Springs, the projected chance that a new American Restaurant lasts two or more years is 70.4% at a typical address and 83.1% at a good address, depending on the exact storefront. Check the current Survivability Score for any address instantly.

Landlord Survivability Data for American Restaurant in Phoenix

For American Restaurant tenants in Phoenix's three top-ranked neighborhoods, the projected chance of lasting two or more years at a typical address is:

Superstition Springs: 70.4%
Dobson Ranch: 73.8%
Pepperwood: 73.8%

Get a live Survivability Score for your specific storefront in the live tool.

Our models produce survivability scores at the individual address level, not just neighborhood averages.

What Are the Best Neighborhoods in or Around Phoenix for My Business Overall?

You can see the best neighborhoods in or around Phoenix to open any type of business in our article Neighborhood Survivability Rankings: Phoenix.

Business Survivability Rankings: Phoenix: See how American Restaurant compares to all other business types in Phoenix
Best Cities to Open an American Restaurant in the US: National city-level survivability rankings for American Restaurant
Business Survivability in Superstition Springs, Phoenix: All business types ranked in the #1 neighborhood
Business Survivability in Dobson Ranch, Phoenix: All business types ranked in the #2 neighborhood
Business Survivability in Pepperwood, Phoenix: All business types ranked in the #3 neighborhood

Technical note: Aggregated survivability rankings for Phoenix are available in machine-readable format for research and integration purposes.

View technical data for Phoenix

StreetSpring recalculates survivability using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data, so the live score may differ from the figures shown here.

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