National Neighborhood Survivability Rankings for Bakery

Name: National Neighborhood Survivability Dataset: Bakeries (2026)
Creator: StreetSpring
Published: 2026-05-18T00:00:00-05:00
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

StreetSpring's 2026 nationwide analysis ranks the top neighborhoods across the 22 US metros in this ranking for Bakeries. See which neighborhoods offer the highest Survivability Scores.

May 18, 2026•19 min read

Blandtown (Atlanta) ranks #1 nationally for Bakery survivability in 2026, with 83.6% survivability at a typical address. The top 25 neighborhoods nationwide span 9 different cities, demonstrating that exceptional opportunities for Bakeries exist across diverse markets. Rankings like this are a strong starting point, but the live survivability score in StreetSpring will reflect the most current competitor data for your exact address.

To understand the methodology behind these rankings, see our detailed guide: Survivability Score: How We Calculate It & Why It Matters.

Last reviewed: 2026-10-05 by Robert Koons, Founder & CEO, StreetSpring

Quick Summary

Survivability Score: the projected chance a business type lasts two or more years at a specific address

#1 Neighborhood: Blandtown, Atlanta: 83.6% survivability at a typical address for Bakery

What the figures measure: every figure in this ranking is the typical address, the neighborhood's average in its metro file, and the ranking orders on it

Ranked neighborhoods: 1,907 across 22 major US cities

Average across the 1,907 ranked neighborhoods: 68.0% at a typical address for Bakeries

Top-25 average: 82.6% at a typical address, 14.6 points above the average across all ranked neighborhoods

Data current as of: 2026 · Full methodology →

How neighborhoods compare nationwide
Top 25 neighborhoods in the US
Geographic patterns
How to use this ranking
Related resources
Frequently asked questions

How do neighborhoods compare across the United States for Bakeries?

Across 1,907 ranked neighborhoods in 22 major US cities, StreetSpring's 2026 data shows the top 25 neighborhoods for Bakeries averaging 82.6% survivability at a typical address, against 68.0% for the average across the 1,907 ranked neighborhoods.

This 14.6-point gap is the distance between those two averages, both at a typical address. It compares projections for neighborhoods; the projection for any one storefront is made at its own address.

The cities with the most top-ranked neighborhoods for Bakeries are Washington DC, Denver and Minneapolis. StreetSpring's model accounts for the distinction between complementary clustering and direct saturation when scoring Bakeries survivability at the address level.

Importantly, top-performing neighborhoods aren't concentrated in just a few cities. The top 25 neighborhoods represent 9 different cities. This means entrepreneurs focused on Bakeries can find exceptional opportunities across the United States, not just in traditionally strong markets.

Location is the part of survivability you can measure in advance: the concept, the pricing and the operator are yours to judge.

What are the best neighborhoods in the United States to open a Bakery?

The first, middle and last neighborhood in the table below, with the same three figures the table prints from each metro file: the box runs from the lowest to the highest address, and the white line is the typical address. Blandtown, Atlanta leads at 83.6% at a typical address in 2026. Full methodology →

The top 25 neighborhoods nationwide for Bakeries are:

Scores for Bakeries run from 48.0% to 84.0% on this scale. The best address in 422 of the 1,907 ranked neighborhoods reaches the 84.0% ceiling, so the Best Locations column often shows that ceiling rather than a difference between places.

Neighborhoods are ordered on the typical address, the file's average for each neighborhood. Best Locations and Challenging Locations are the file's highest and lowest address.

#	Neighborhood	City	Avg Survival (Typical Address)	Tier	Best Locations	Challenging Locations
1	Blandtown	Atlanta	83.6%	Great	84.0%	81.3%
2	LeDroit Park	Washington DC	83.4%	Great	84.0%	81.8%
3	City Park West	Denver	83.3%	Great	84.0%	79.5%
3	Platt Park	Denver	83.3%	Great	84.0%	79.0%
5	Truxton Circle	Washington DC	83.2%	Great	84.0%	80.8%
5	U Street Corridor	Washington DC	83.2%	Great	84.0%	80.8%
7	Palmer Square	Chicago	83.1%	Great	84.0%	76.4%
8	North Charlotte	Charlotte	82.8%	Great	84.0%	80.0%
9	Bancroft	Minneapolis	82.7%	Great	84.0%	78.6%
10	Colonial Town Center	Orlando	82.6%	Great	84.0%	76.8%
10	Highland	Denver	82.6%	Great	84.0%	73.2%
12	Tangletown	Minneapolis	82.5%	Great	84.0%	73.6%
13	Eckington	Washington DC	82.4%	Great	84.0%	75.0%
13	Kingfield	Minneapolis	82.4%	Great	84.0%	72.8%
13	Grant Park	Atlanta	82.4%	Great	84.0%	69.2%
13	Northrop	Minneapolis	82.4%	Good	84.0%	76.4%
17	Woodland	Seattle	82.3%	Great	84.0%	77.2%
17	Windom	Minneapolis	82.3%	Great	84.0%	75.9%
17	Pleasant Plains	Washington DC	82.3%	Great	84.0%	75.0%
17	Cunningham	Chicago	82.3%	Great	84.0%	78.6%
21	Heritage Eagle Bend	Denver	82.2%	Great	84.0%	76.8%
21	Shaw	Washington DC	82.2%	Great	84.0%	72.8%
23	Jefferson Park	Denver	82.1%	Great	84.0%	76.4%
23	Bloomingdale	Washington DC	82.1%	Great	84.0%	75.0%
23	Magoun Square	Boston	82.1%	Great	84.0%	69.2%

Even within top-ranked neighborhoods, survivability varies by address, as the Best Locations and Challenging Locations columns show.

For a full explanation of how survivability scores and ranges are calculated, see Survivability Score: How We Calculate It & Why It Matters.

What patterns emerge from the top-performing neighborhoods nationwide?

City Concentration

The top 25 neighborhoods span 9 different cities, with Washington DC claiming 7 of the top spots (28%).

Breakdown of top 25 neighborhoods by city:

Washington DC: 7 neighborhoods (28% of top 25): View city guide
Denver: 5 neighborhoods (20% of top 25)
Minneapolis: 5 neighborhoods (20% of top 25): View city guide
Atlanta: 2 neighborhoods (8% of top 25): View city guide
Chicago: 2 neighborhoods (8% of top 25): View city guide
Charlotte: 1 neighborhood (4% of top 25): View city guide
Orlando: 1 neighborhood (4% of top 25): View city guide
Seattle: 1 neighborhood (4% of top 25): View city guide
Boston: 1 neighborhood (4% of top 25): View city guide

This distribution has practical implications for Bakeries operators: cities with multiple neighborhoods in the top 25 offer more site options within a single market, reducing relocation or expansion cost. Cities with a single top-25 neighborhood require more precise site selection: the advantage is concentrated in one area rather than spread across the metro.

The relatively even distribution of top neighborhoods across the 9 cities represented in the top 25 is consistent with a category where consumer demand is broadly distributed rather than concentrated in specific metros. For Bakeries operators, this means strong site opportunities exist in multiple markets: the key variable is neighborhood-level competitive conditions rather than city-level market size.

How can I use this neighborhood ranking to find the best location for a Bakery?

Use this ranking to shortlist neighborhoods, then drill down to specific addresses. StreetSpring's survivability scores are built on a 30-factor competitive analysis framework, giving landlords, tenants, and agents a precision instrument for site selection. The difference between the best and worst blocks within a single top-ranked neighborhood can be as large as the gap between the #1 and #25 neighborhoods on this list.

For the most accurate assessment:

Consider neighborhoods in the top 25 as strong starting points
Examine city-specific guides for additional neighborhood options in your target markets
Use StreetSpring's address-level tool to evaluate specific storefronts within these neighborhoods
Factor in your budget, operational requirements, and target demographics

Each neighborhood has detailed analysis available through its city guide, providing block-by-block survivability data for Bakeries.

See also: Best Cities for Bakery: our city-level comparison ranks which metros offer the strongest overall conditions for Bakeries.

Explore top cities represented in these neighborhoods:

National city rankings: Best cities for Bakeries

Essential resources:

Frequently Asked Questions

How can I compare specific addresses within these top neighborhoods?

StreetSpring's address-level tool allows you to input any commercial address and see predicted survivability for Bakeries. Even within the top-ranked neighborhoods, survivability varies meaningfully by block: address-level scoring is the most precise way to evaluate a specific site.

How does the national ranking for Bakeries compare to city-level rankings?

The national neighborhood ranking for Bakeries identifies the strongest neighborhoods across the 22 metros in this ranking. City-level rankings provide a more granular view of the best neighborhoods within a specific city. In cases where a city has multiple neighborhoods in the national top 25, the city-level guide shows the full ranking of all neighborhoods in that market: including those outside the national top 25 that may still offer strong site-specific opportunities.

Can a Bakery succeed in neighborhoods outside the top 25?

Yes, the top 25 neighborhoods represent standout conditions, but Bakeries can achieve strong survivability in many other neighborhoods as well. What matters is finding a location where competitive density is low enough and consumer spending is strong enough to support the business. StreetSpring's address-level tool identifies high-survivability addresses in any neighborhood, including those not represented in this top-25 list.

Is the competitive environment for Bakeries stronger in some markets than others?

Yes, competition density for Bakeries varies significantly by market. StreetSpring's model reads the number of direct competitors against the consumer spending available to them at each address. StreetSpring's address-level tool shows the exact competitive environment at any specific location.

What makes Blandtown in Atlanta the best neighborhood for Bakeries?

Blandtown in Atlanta ranks #1 for Bakeries with 83.6% survivability at a typical address (the average in each metro file, which is what this ranking orders on). StreetSpring's model weighs competitive dynamics (direct competitors relative to available consumer spending), demographic alignment with Bakery customers and local spending patterns for every ranked neighborhood nationwide.

What type of neighborhood is best for opening a Bakery?

The best neighborhoods for Bakeries share three characteristics: manageable competitive density (few existing direct competitors within the primary trade area), strong consumer spending on this category, and demographic alignment with the typical Bakery customer base. In StreetSpring's 2026 data, the top-ranked neighborhoods for Bakeries combine these factors and score well above the average across the 1,907 ranked neighborhoods, 68.0% at a typical address. Neighborhoods with dense existing competition or low category spending tend to score significantly lower, regardless of overall foot traffic or prestige.

How do I interpret a survivability score?

A survivability score represents the estimated probability that a business of a specific type will still be operating at a given location after 2 years. A score of 80% means StreetSpring's model predicts an 80% chance of the business surviving past the 2-year mark at that address. Scores are calculated at the address level and reflect competitive density, consumer spending patterns, and hundreds of additional factors.

Where can I download the underlying data?

Technical note: Aggregated national survivability rankings across the metros in this ranking are available in machine-readable format for research and integration purposes.

View national technical data

The table above reproduces from these metro files, one per city: Atlanta, Washington DC, Denver, Chicago, Charlotte, Minneapolis, Orlando, Seattle, Boston.

StreetSpring recalculates survivability using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data, so the live score may differ from the static ranges shown here.

Methodology: Neighborhoods are ranked on the typical address: the average Survivability Score for Bakeries across the scored locations within each neighborhood, as its metro file publishes it. The average across all ranked neighborhoods is the plain mean of those figures, not the national average on the city ranking, which averages metros. Rankings represent neighborhood-level conditions but do not account for block-by-block variation. Coverage includes 1907 neighborhoods across 22 major US cities. StreetSpring scores 500+ business types: 153 base business types, most of them at 5 price points, which is 569 type-and-price combinations you can choose in the tool.

Table of Contents