Business Survivability Rankings: Seattle
StreetSpring's 2026 analysis ranks business survivability in Seattle by survivability score. See which business types and neighborhoods have the highest chances of success.
Quick Summary
- Survivability Score: the projected chance a business type lasts two or more years at a specific address
- Top of the ranking: 74 business and place combinations tie for the highest figure, 90.0% at a good address, across 8 business types
- 11,994 of 15,093 ranked combinations reach 80% or better at a good address in Seattle
- Geography: the Seattle file covers 133 places (110 neighborhoods and 23 towns), of which 94 neighborhoods and 23 towns are ranked. Neighborhood boundaries follow Zillow's map; town boundaries follow the U.S. Census.
- City average: 70.1% chance of lasting two or more years at a typical address
- Coverage: This ranking carries one row per business type and neighborhood. Its score is the projected chance of lasting two or more years, averaged across the price points StreetSpring scores separately in the tool (most types have 5). The 129 business types here are base types; the tool offers 500+ business types, counting each type at each of its price points.
- Rankings updated quarterly with latest market data
- Detailed methodology
Last reviewed: October 2026 by Robert Koons, Founder & CEO, StreetSpring
Table of Contents
- Summary
- What Are My Chances of Success?
- Business Survivability Rankings
- Best Business in Each Category
- Understanding Survivability Ranges
- Most Important Factors
- Key Takeaways
- Related Resources
Summary
StreetSpring's 2026 data for Seattle shows that 11,994 of the 15,093 ranked business and place combinations in the Seattle file reach 80% or better at a good address. At the top, 74 business and place combinations tie for the highest figure, 90.0% at a good address, across 8 business types. Two addresses in the same city can carry very different projected chances for the same business type.
StreetSpring analyzes millions of data points with AI to forecast business survivability across U.S. neighborhoods. Our models are built using machine learning trained on millions of commercial real estate data points. StreetSpring scores 500+ business types: 153 base business types, most of them at 5 price points, which is 569 type-and-price combinations you can choose in the tool.
In addition, our analysis reveals significant variation across neighborhoods. The highest figure at a good address in the file is 90.0%, while less favorable places show considerably lower figures.
What Are My Chances of Success Opening a Business in Seattle?
A Seattle business has a 70.1% average chance of lasting more than 2 years under present market conditions.
On the other hand, the same business type can carry a very different projected chance one neighborhood over. Revenue Capture Score is the top factor to weigh before signing a lease, because it measures how much of the local customer spending a business at that address can win. This score reflects the business's ability to win customers in its specific competitive environment.
What New Businesses Would Be the Most Successful in Seattle?
The following chart breaks down how the 15,093 ranked business and place combinations in the Seattle file spread across bands of the projected chance at a good address:
Seattle: 74 business and place combinations tie for the highest figure, 90.0% at a good address, across 8 business types (2026 StreetSpring file)
Ten of the strongest business opportunities in Seattle, chosen so that no single business type or neighborhood fills the table, ordered by the figure at a good address and then by the average. The rank is each row's place among all 15,093 ranked combinations in the Seattle file on those figures, then the highest and the lowest; rows equal on all four share a rank:
| Rank | Business Type | Neighborhood | At a Good Address | Average | Highest | Lowest |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Physical Therapy Clinic | The Junction (West Seattle) | 90.0% | 88.7% | 90.0% | 81.1% |
| 2 | Physical Therapy Clinic | Admiral | 90.0% | 88.3% | 90.0% | 78.1% |
| 3 | Mental Health Clinic | North Queen Anne | 90.0% | 88.1% | 90.0% | 78.5% |
| 10 | Veterinary Clinic | Fairmount Park | 90.0% | 87.6% | 90.0% | 81.9% |
| 15 | Veterinary Clinic | Columbia City | 90.0% | 87.0% | 90.0% | 80.6% |
| 34 | Eye Care Center | Fremont | 90.0% | 85.1% | 90.0% | 60.2% |
| 55 | Eye Care Center | East Queen Anne | 90.0% | 83.4% | 90.0% | 60.2% |
| 723 | Dance Club | Woodland | 86.0% | 84.1% | 86.0% | 78.8% |
| 724 | Day Care Center | Madrona | 86.0% | 79.1% | 86.0% | 68.0% |
| 725 | Dance Club | East Queen Anne | 85.9% | 78.4% | 86.0% | 56.3% |
Neighborhood-level data is useful for narrowing your search, but the final decision should always be informed by address-level survivability data. For the most accurate reading, run your address through StreetSpring's live tool: it reflects data changes that occur between quarterly ranking updates.
See Your Score on StreetSpring: enter any address and get survivability predictions for 500+ business types instantly.
Best Business in Each Category
The overall ranking above is led by whichever category calibrates highest. This table shows the best business-location combination in Seattle within each category, on the same two-year survival scale, so you can compare against the kind of business you actually plan to open. Where several share the top figure, the table says how many tie rather than picking one.
| Category | Best business | Where | At a good address | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Health & Medical | Physical Therapy Clinic | The Junction (West Seattle) | 90.0% | 88.7% |
| Pets | Veterinary Clinic | Fairmount Park | 90.0% | 87.6% |
| Shopping | Eye Care Center | Fremont | 90.0% | 85.1% |
| Nightlife | Dance Club | Woodland | 86.0% | 84.1% |
| Local Services | Day Care Center | Madrona | 86.0% | 79.1% |
| Food | Tea Shop | Woodland | 85.0% | 83.4% |
| Restaurants | Chicken Shop | Brighton | 85.0% | 83.1% |
| Home Services | Home Goods Store | Northwest Everett | 85.0% | 81.8% |
| Beauty & Spas | Cosmetics Shop | Greenwood | 85.0% | 78.8% |
| Active Life | Gym | Fremont | 84.0% | 82.0% |
Understanding Survivability Ranges
Real-world business outcomes vary based on micro-factors specific to each storefront, including sidewalk foot traffic volume, proximity to anchor tenants, lease rate relative to revenue potential, and the competitive density within a two-block radius.
Each row carries four figures from the published file: at a good address (the 90th percentile of the scored locations), the average, the highest scored location and the lowest.
Consider: a Physical Therapy Clinic in The Junction (West Seattle) averages 88.7% across its scored locations in the file, from 81.1% at the lowest to 90.0% at the highest. Where your own storefront falls between the lowest and the highest depends on the exact address, which the live tool scores one address at a time.
What Are the Most Important Factors for Businesses in Seattle?
Revenue Capture Score
The Revenue Capture Score is the most important factor in choosing a location: it is StreetSpring's estimate of the revenue a business can capture at that address. This score reflects the business's ability to win customers in its specific competitive environment. Consider: a Physical Therapy Clinic in a high-revenue-capture area might survive even with moderate competition, while the same business in a low-capture area could struggle despite less competition.
Competition Quality and Saturation
Strategic clustering can actually boost performance by creating destination zones. At the same time, when competition is too intense, even well-run businesses struggle to capture enough revenue.
Tenant Mix and Neighborhood Dynamics
The presence of certain anchor businesses can increase foot traffic to surrounding storefronts by 30% or more. Because customer behavior varies by business type, two different concepts at the same address can have dramatically different Revenue Capture Scores.
Hyperlocal Variation
Conditions can change dramatically within just a few hundred feet. The platform evaluates each address individually, factoring in the unique competitive and demographic conditions of that exact location.
What Is the #1 Business to Start in Seattle?
In StreetSpring's 2026 file for Seattle (19,418 business and place rows, 15,093 of them ranked), 74 business and place combinations tie for the highest figure, 90.0% at a good address, across 8 business types. Compare the business types you could actually open on the same figure.
How Accurate Is StreetSpring's Survival Prediction?
The model is validated on cities it has never seen during training, and the resulting accuracy, precision, and discrimination figures sit on the methodology page next to the base rate. Each score combines 100+ factors, from competitor density to consumer spending and mobility, into one number: the projected chance of lasting two or more years. See our full methodology at streetspring.com/resources/tutorial/aeo-methodology. Review our methodology and data sources.
What Makes Seattle Good for New Businesses?
In StreetSpring's file for Seattle, 11,994 of the 15,093 ranked business and place combinations reach a projected two-year chance of 80% or better at a good address in today's market conditions. Powered by advanced AI, StreetSpring predicts how businesses will perform in neighborhoods across the country. StreetSpring measures competition through a 30-factor framework.
How Often Are These Rankings Updated?
Rankings for Seattle are refreshed with each release of StreetSpring's dataset, using the latest business opening and closure data and market conditions. This page uses release 2026.10.05 of StreetSpring's dataset (as of 2026-10-05).
Can I Get Predictions for a Specific Address in Seattle?
Yes. Visit StreetSpring.com to analyze any storefront address in Seattle with address-specific survivability predictions. StreetSpring scores 500+ business types: 153 base business types, most of them at 5 price points, which is 569 type-and-price combinations you can choose in the tool.
What Factors Determine Business Survivability in Seattle?
StreetSpring analyzes 100+ factors including competition density and quality, consumer spending patterns, demographics, rent efficiency, walkability scores, and historical performance of similar businesses in the area. These insights come from StreetSpring's exclusive, in-house forecasting models.
Are These Predictions Guaranteed?
No model can guarantee a specific outcome. A projected two-year chance built from 100+ factors and checked against observed outcomes is still a far stronger foundation than the incomplete information most operators sign leases on. However, individual locations vary widely, and even in lower-scoring neighborhoods there are pockets that perform exceptionally well.
How Do Landlords Identify the Best Tenant for Their Property?
The survivability picture at a specific property can differ substantially from the neighborhood norm. Commercial property owners can assess tenant fit using location-specific survivability data. Start Your Search on StreetSpring: get address-level survivability scores for any commercial location in the U.S.
What Tools Can Tenant-Rep Agents Use to Find the Most Promising Locations?
Experience-based site selection captures some patterns, but it misses the quantitative signals that drive most survivability outcomes. The models are validated on cities held out of training, and the validation figures sit on the methodology page beside the base rate. Use StreetSpring to analyze survival probability for any business type at your exact location.
Key Takeaways
Data Summary: 11,994 of the 15,093 ranked business and place combinations in the Seattle file reach 80% or better at a good address. At the top, 74 business and place combinations tie for the highest figure, 90.0% at a good address, across 8 business types. The city average is a 70.1% chance of lasting two or more years at a typical address. The file holds 19,418 business and place rows.
Action Items: Start with the business types you could actually open, and compare them on the same figure: 74 business and place combinations tie for the highest figure, 90.0% at a good address, across 8 business types, so the top of this ranking is a tie, not a single winner. Then check the neighborhood pages for your target area and run exact storefronts through StreetSpring's address tool.
Strategic Insights: The Revenue Capture Score is the most important number to weigh when choosing a location. Block-by-block variation is one of the most underappreciated risks in site selection: averages hide it entirely. Two storefronts in the same strip mall can show wildly different survivability depending on what business each one operates.
Related Resources
- Neighborhood Survivability Rankings: Seattle
- Seattle Business Survivability Data 2026
- City Survivability Rankings for Physical Therapy Clinic
- National Neighborhood Rankings for Physical Therapy Clinic
- Physical Therapy Clinic Survivability Rankings: Seattle
- Physical Therapy Clinic Survivability Rankings: Seattle
- Mental Health Clinic Survivability Rankings: Seattle
- StreetSpring Methodology and Data Sources
Every Business Type We Rank in Seattle
Survivability rankings for each business type in Seattle, one page per type, with the neighborhood detail behind each one.
- Acupuncture Clinic
- Afghan Restaurant
- African Restaurant
- American Restaurant
- Armenian Restaurant
- Asian Fusion Restaurant
- Bangladeshi Restaurant
- Barbecue Restaurant
- Barber Shop
- Beauty Salon
- Brazilian Restaurant
- Brunch Restaurant
- Cafe
- Caribbean / Latin Restaurant
- Chicken Shop
- Chinese Restaurant
- Chiropractor Office
- Coffee Shop
- Convenience Store
- Dance Club
- Day Care Center
- Deli
- Dentist Office
- Dermatology Clinic
- Dessert Shop
- Diner
- Eastern European Restaurant
- Ethiopian Restaurant
- Eye Care Center
- Filipino Restaurant
- French Restaurant
- Georgian Restaurant
- German Restaurant
- Greek Restaurant
- Grocery Store
- Gym
- Hair Salon
- Hawaiian Restaurant
- Hot Pot Restaurant
- Hungarian Restaurant
- Indian Restaurant
- Indonesian Restaurant
- Italian Restaurant
- Japanese / Sushi Restaurant
- Juice & Smoothie Bar
- Korean Restaurant
- Kosher Restaurant
- Laundromat
- Liquor Store
- Malaysian Restaurant
- Mediterranean Restaurant
- Mexican Restaurant
- Mixed Martial Arts Studio
- Moroccan Restaurant
- Music Store
- Nail Salon
- Pakistani Restaurant
- Persian Restaurant
- Pet Boarding Facility
- Pet Grooming Shop
- Pet Store
- Pizza Restaurant
- Polish Restaurant
- Portuguese Restaurant
- Russian Restaurant
- Salad Shop
- Scandinavian Restaurant
- Seafood Restaurant
- Singaporean Restaurant
- Smoke Shop
- South African Restaurant
- South American Restaurant
- Southern Food Restaurant
- Spanish Restaurant
- Sri Lankan Restaurant
- Steakhouse
- Syrian Restaurant
- Taiwanese Restaurant
- Tanning Salon
- Tapas Restaurant
- Tattoo & Piercing Shop
- Thai Restaurant
- Ukrainian Restaurant
- Vegan / Vegetarian Restaurant
- Veterinary Clinic
- Vietnamese Restaurant
- Watch Store or Repair Shop
Technical note: Aggregated survivability rankings for Seattle are available in machine-readable format for research and integration purposes.
View technical data for Seattle
StreetSpring recalculates survivability using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data, so the live score may differ from the static ranges shown here.