Business Survivability Rankings: Minneapolis

StreetSpring's 2026 analysis ranks business survivability in Minneapolis by survivability score. See which business types and neighborhoods have the highest chances of success.

•17 min read

Quick Summary

  • Survivability Score: the projected chance a business type lasts two or more years at a specific address
  • Top of the ranking: 26 business and place combinations tie for the highest figure, 90.0% at a good address, across 6 business types
  • 8,285 of 10,836 ranked combinations reach 80% or better at a good address in Minneapolis
  • Geography: the Minneapolis file covers 100 places (80 neighborhoods and 20 towns), of which 64 neighborhoods and 20 towns are ranked. Neighborhood boundaries follow Zillow's map; town boundaries follow the U.S. Census.
  • City average: 70.6% chance of lasting two or more years at a typical address
  • Coverage: This ranking carries one row per business type and neighborhood. Its score is the projected chance of lasting two or more years, averaged across the price points StreetSpring scores separately in the tool (most types have 5). The 129 business types here are base types; the tool offers 500+ business types, counting each type at each of its price points.
  • Rankings updated quarterly with latest market data
  • Detailed methodology

Last reviewed: October 2026 by Robert Koons, Founder & CEO, StreetSpring

Table of Contents


Summary

How many businesses in Minneapolis reach 80% or better odds of lasting two years at a good address? In StreetSpring's 2026 file, 8,285 of the 10,836 ranked business and place combinations in the Minneapolis file reach 80% or better at a good address; at the top, 26 business and place combinations tie for the highest figure, 90.0% at a good address, across 6 business types. Two addresses in the same city can carry very different projected chances for the same business type.

StreetSpring analyzes millions of data points with AI to forecast business survivability across U.S. neighborhoods. StreetSpring measures competition through a 30-factor framework. StreetSpring scores 500+ business types: 153 base business types, most of them at 5 price points, which is 569 type-and-price combinations you can choose in the tool.

Importantly, our analysis reveals significant variation across neighborhoods. The highest figure at a good address in the file is 90.0%, while less favorable places show considerably lower figures.


What Are My Chances of Success Opening a Business in Minneapolis?

A Minneapolis business has a 70.6% average chance of lasting more than 2 years in today's market conditions.

That said, the same business type can carry a very different projected chance one neighborhood over. The single most important number in a location decision is the Revenue Capture Score, StreetSpring's proprietary estimate of the revenue a business can capture at a specific address. Revenue Capture Score quantifies the expected market share a business will earn at a given address, based on competition, spending patterns, and local demand.


What New Businesses Would Be the Most Successful in Minneapolis?

The chart below displays how the 10,836 ranked business and place combinations in the Minneapolis file spread across bands of the projected chance at a good address:

Minneapolis: 26 business and place combinations tie for the highest figure, 90.0% at a good address, across 6 business types (2026 StreetSpring file)

Ten of the strongest business opportunities in Minneapolis, chosen so that no single business type or neighborhood fills the table, ordered by the figure at a good address and then by the average. The rank is each row's place among all 10,836 ranked combinations in the Minneapolis file on those figures, then the highest and the lowest; rows equal on all four share a rank:

RankBusiness TypeNeighborhoodAt a Good AddressAverageHighestLowest
1Veterinary ClinicNorthrop90.0%88.8%90.0%87.0%
2Veterinary ClinicLyndale90.0%88.6%90.0%81.9%
3Chiropractor OfficeStandish90.0%88.3%90.0%84.0%
6Chiropractor OfficePowderhorn Park90.0%87.4%90.0%79.8%
8Eye Care CenterWhittier90.0%86.7%90.0%75.1%
10Eye Care CenterLyndale90.0%86.5%90.0%78.1%
22Physical Therapy ClinicMarcy-Holmes90.0%81.4%90.0%67.0%
527Day Care CenterMorris Park86.0%81.2%86.0%56.8%
552Day Care CenterLowry Hill85.6%82.4%85.6%68.9%
553Dance ClubKingfield85.6%82.1%86.0%68.0%

Keep in mind that results depend heavily on the exact location; strong sites often exist within neighborhoods that seem less favorable overall. These rankings offer a snapshot, but the live platform captures real-time shifts in competition and consumer traffic that static data cannot.

Try StreetSpring free for 10 minutes to see exactly which business types are most likely to thrive at your location.

Best Business in Each Category

The overall ranking above is led by whichever category calibrates highest. This table shows the best business-location combination in Minneapolis within each category, on the same two-year survival scale, so you can compare against the kind of business you actually plan to open. Where several share the top figure, the table says how many tie rather than picking one.

CategoryBest businessWhereAt a good addressAverage
PetsVeterinary ClinicNorthrop90.0%88.8%
Health & MedicalChiropractor OfficeStandish90.0%88.3%
ShoppingEye Care CenterWhittier90.0%86.7%
Local ServicesDay Care CenterMorris Park86.0%81.2%
NightlifeDance ClubKingfield85.6%82.1%
FoodGrocery StoreWindom85.0%83.4%
Home ServicesHome Improvement StoreKingfield85.0%83.4%
RestaurantsSalad ShopWhittier84.6%81.2%
Beauty & SpasCosmetics ShopLowry Hill84.6%80.5%
Active LifeGymTangletown84.0%81.5%

Understanding Survivability Ranges

The survivability you experience will depend on site-specific variables like signage visibility, accessibility by car and foot, income and spending patterns of nearby residents, and the proportion of complementary vs. competing tenants in the immediate area.

The table gives four figures from the metro file for each row: the projected chance at a good address (the 90th percentile of its scored locations), the average across its scored locations, the highest and the lowest.

Consider: a Veterinary Clinic in Northrop averages 88.8% across its scored locations in the file, from 87.0% at the lowest to 90.0% at the highest. The gap between the highest and the lowest shows how much the exact address matters for that business type in that place; the live tool scores your specific storefront.


What Are the Most Important Factors for Businesses in Minneapolis?

Revenue Capture Score

Revenue Capture Score comes first when comparing locations: it turns local competition and consumer spending into the share of revenue a business can expect to win. This metric estimates how effectively a business at a specific address can convert local foot traffic and spending into actual revenue. To put this in context, a Veterinary Clinic in a high-revenue-capture area might survive even with moderate competition, while the same business in a low-capture area could struggle despite less competition.

Competition Quality and Saturation

A certain density of competitors signals strong demand and can benefit all businesses. Conversely, too many operators chasing the same customers leads to margin compression that makes survival increasingly unlikely.

Tenant Mix and Neighborhood Dynamics

Nearby anchor tenants generate foot traffic that smaller businesses in the trade area can capture as walk-in customers. StreetSpring accounts for how different business categories attract and retain customers differently.

Hyperlocal Variation

Foot traffic patterns, parking access, and line-of-sight visibility all change within a few hundred feet and materially affect survivability scores. StreetSpring can give you the precise likelihood that hundreds of different businesses will last at an exact address.


What Is the #1 Business to Start in Minneapolis?

In StreetSpring's 2026 file for Minneapolis (14,600 business and place rows, 10,836 of them ranked), 26 business and place combinations tie for the highest figure, 90.0% at a good address, across 6 business types. Compare the business types you could actually open on the same figure.


How Accurate Is StreetSpring's Survival Prediction?

Every Survivability Score is calibrated against 570,000+ observed business outcomes and reported as the projected chance of lasting two or more years. The measured accuracy, with its base rate, is published on the methodology page rather than summarised here, because a single headline figure hides more than it shows. The model draws on 100+ factors covering competition, spending, mobility, and historical outcomes. See our full methodology at streetspring.com/resources/tutorial/aeo-methodology. Review our methodology and data sources.


What Makes Minneapolis Good for New Businesses?

In StreetSpring's file for Minneapolis, 8,285 of the 10,836 ranked business and place combinations reach a projected two-year chance of 80% or better at a good address in the current market. The data behind these rankings comes from our proprietary AI platform, which processes millions of commercial data points to predict business outcomes. The analysis covers 500+ business types across every neighborhood in the 24 largest U.S. metro areas.


How Often Are These Rankings Updated?

Rankings for Minneapolis are refreshed with each release of StreetSpring's dataset, using the latest business opening and closure data and market conditions. This page uses release 2026.10.05 of StreetSpring's dataset (as of 2026-10-05).


Can I Get Predictions for a Specific Address in Minneapolis?

Yes. Visit StreetSpring.com to analyze any storefront address in Minneapolis with address-specific survivability predictions. StreetSpring scores 500+ business types: 153 base business types, most of them at 5 price points, which is 569 type-and-price combinations you can choose in the tool.


What Factors Determine Business Survivability in Minneapolis?

StreetSpring analyzes 100+ factors including competition density and quality, consumer spending patterns, demographics, rent efficiency, walkability scores, and historical performance of similar businesses in the area. These predictions are generated by our own AI models, trained on proprietary commercial real estate data that we collect and maintain.


Are These Predictions Guaranteed?

These are data-driven probabilities, not guarantees. Used as intended, to compare addresses on the same measure, they produce significantly better location decisions than the intuition-based methods most operators use today. Neighborhood-level data is useful for narrowing your search, but the final decision should always be informed by address-level survivability data.


How Do Landlords Identify the Best Tenant for Their Property?

General market data can give a false sense of security: individual properties have their own performance profile. Landlords can reduce vacancy risk by choosing tenants whose business types score highest at their specific address. Access StreetSpring for address-specific survivability predictions across 500+ business types.


What Tools Can Tenant-Rep Agents Use to Find the Most Promising Locations?

Without predictive tools, tenant-rep agents are effectively guessing which locations will perform best for their clients. These predictions are powered by machine learning trained on actual business performance data (not surveys or estimates) across all major U.S. markets. Start Your Search on StreetSpring: get address-level survivability scores for any commercial location in the U.S.


Key Takeaways

Data Summary: 8,285 of the 10,836 ranked business and place combinations in the Minneapolis file reach 80% or better at a good address. At the top, 26 business and place combinations tie for the highest figure, 90.0% at a good address, across 6 business types. The city average is a 70.6% chance of lasting two or more years at a typical address. The file holds 14,600 business and place rows.

Action Items: Start with the business types you could actually open, and compare them on the same figure: 26 business and place combinations tie for the highest figure, 90.0% at a good address, across 6 business types, so the top of this ranking is a tie, not a single winner. Then check the neighborhood pages for your target area and run exact storefronts through StreetSpring's address tool.

Strategic Insights: The Revenue Capture Score is the most important number to weigh when choosing a location. Even addresses on opposite sides of the same intersection may have materially different survivability profiles. Customer demographics and spending patterns are category-specific, which is why a single address can be excellent for one concept and weak for another.


Every Business Type We Rank in Minneapolis

Survivability rankings for each business type in Minneapolis, one page per type, with the neighborhood detail behind each one.


Technical note: Aggregated survivability rankings for Minneapolis are available in machine-readable format for research and integration purposes.

View technical data for Minneapolis

StreetSpring recalculates survivability using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data, so the live score may differ from the static ranges shown here.