What is the average survivability for Dessert Shop across Minneapolis's ranked neighborhoods?

Across the 64 ranked neighborhoods in Minneapolis, the average projected chance that a Dessert Shop lasts two or more years is 73.2% at a typical address. Lowry Hill, ranked #1, is at 80.3% at a typical address.

What are the worst neighborhoods for Dessert Shop in Minneapolis?

The most challenging neighborhoods in Minneapolis for Dessert Shop include Summit Hill (ranked last, at 74.6% at a good address and 62.6% at a typical address), Shingle Creek, and Elliot Park. The highest and lowest scored addresses inside one neighborhood can sit far apart, so the neighborhood figure is a starting point.

How accurate are StreetSpring's Dessert Shop survivability predictions?

StreetSpring publishes its accuracy on the methodology page, stated with its base rate: how often the model tells an open business from a closed one on cities held out of training, its precision on risk flags, and its discrimination. Each score draws on 100+ factors and is reported as the projected chance of lasting two or more years, never as a guarantee. With StreetSpring, you can see the precise probability of success for countless business models at any exact location.

Survivability Rankings for Dessert Shop in Minneapolis

Q: What is the best neighborhood in Minneapolis to open a Dessert Shop?

Based on StreetSpring's 2026 analysis, the best neighborhood in Minneapolis to open a Dessert Shop is Lowry Hill, ranked #1 at 83.6% at a good address and 80.3% at a typical address (4 ranked neighborhoods share the 83.6% good-address figure). 53 of the 64 ranked neighborhoods are at or above 70% at a typical address.

Q: Where in Minneapolis would a Dessert Shop make the most money?

It depends on the exact address. The Revenue Capture Score is the most important factor in choosing a location: StreetSpring's proprietary estimate of the revenue a business can capture at a specific address. Check it in the live tool for each Minneapolis address you are weighing.

Q: Can a Dessert Shop succeed in lower-ranked neighborhoods in Minneapolis?

Yes, neighborhood rankings are averages that mask significant block-by-block variation. Even in neighborhoods ranked outside the top 10, individual storefronts with strong foot traffic, low direct competition, and favorable lease terms can outperform the area average. StreetSpring's Survivability Scores are updated regularly, so the most accurate prediction for your exact storefront is always available in the live tool.

StreetSpring's 2026 ranking of Minneapolis neighborhoods to open a Dessert Shop, at a good address, from Lowry Hill (83.6% survival) to Summit Hill.

September 22, 2026•13 min read

By Robert Koons | Last reviewed: October 2026 | Methodology

Quick Summary

Survivability Score: the projected chance a business type lasts two or more years at a specific address

#1 Neighborhood: Lowry Hill: 83.6% at a good address, 80.3% at a typical address for Dessert Shop (4 ranked neighborhoods share the 83.6% good-address figure)

Neighborhoods at or above 70% at a typical address: 53 of 64 ranked

Average across the 64 ranked neighborhoods (typical address): 73.2% for Dessert Shops

Most challenging area: Summit Hill: 74.6% at a good address, 62.6% at a typical address

Revenue Capture Score: the most important factor in choosing a location, StreetSpring's proprietary estimate of the revenue a business can capture at a specific address

Data freshness: 2026 data · Full methodology →

Summary
10 Best Neighborhoods
Where Would a Dessert Shop Make the Most Money?
What Should I Consider?
Where Should I Start?
FAQ: Best Neighborhoods
FAQ: Can a Dessert Shop Succeed in Lower-Ranked Areas?
FAQ: How Often Are Rankings Updated?
FAQ: Is a Dessert Shop a Good Tenant?
Landlord Survivability Data
Best Neighborhoods for Any Business

Summary

Lowry Hill leads Minneapolis's 2026 survivability rankings for Dessert Shop operators, with a projected chance of lasting two or more years of 83.6% at a good address and 80.3% at a typical address (4 ranked neighborhoods share the 83.6% good-address figure). Its highest scored address is at 83.6% and its lowest at 71.8%. The last-ranked neighborhood is Summit Hill, at 74.6% at a good address and 62.6% at a typical address. A low-ranking neighborhood can still contain high-potential storefronts: the address matters most.

What Are the 10 Best Neighborhoods in and Around Minneapolis to Open a Dessert Shop?

Lowry Hill ranks #1 of the 64 ranked neighborhoods in and around Minneapolis for Dessert Shop survivability, with a projected chance of lasting two or more years of 83.6% at a good address as of 2026. The top 10 neighborhoods are:

Rank	Neighborhood	Metro	At a good address	Average (typical address)	Best Locations	Challenging Locations
1	Lowry Hill	Minneapolis	83.6%	80.3%	83.6%	71.8%
2	Lyndale	Minneapolis	83.6%	79.8%	84.0%	65.6%
3	Windom	Minneapolis	83.6%	79.6%	84.0%	66.9%
4	Seward	Minneapolis	83.6%	75.6%	83.6%	58.4%
5	Kingfield	Minneapolis	83.4%	80.5%	84.0%	66.9%
6	Armatage	Minneapolis	83.4%	76.4%	83.6%	59.7%
7	Cooper	Minneapolis	83.1%	79.2%	83.1%	66.0%
8	Whittier	Minneapolis	83.1%	78.4%	83.6%	65.1%
9	East Harriet	Minneapolis	83.1%	75.4%	83.6%	49.8%
10	Field	Minneapolis	83.1%	74.9%	83.6%	58.4%

Neighborhood averages mask significant block-by-block variation: always check your specific address. Static rankings provide a useful baseline, but the live tool captures changes that have occurred since publication.

The ranking runs on the good-address figure (the 90th percentile of the scored addresses in each neighborhood). Average is the typical address; Best and Challenging Locations are the highest and lowest scored address in the neighborhood. Every figure is the projected chance of lasting two or more years, as printed in the linked file. See our full methodology →

Try StreetSpring to see if this location is still the best and see if there are locations to rent in this area right now.

Where in or Around Minneapolis Would a Dessert Shop Make the Most Money?

Where a Dessert Shop would make the most money in or around Minneapolis comes down to the exact address. The Revenue Capture Score is the most important factor in choosing a location: StreetSpring's proprietary estimate of the revenue a business can capture at a specific address.

Lowry Hill is ranked #1 for Dessert Shop survivability, at 83.6% at a good address and 80.3% at a typical address; Summit Hill is ranked last of the 64, at 74.6% at a good address and 62.6% at a typical address. Revenue at a specific storefront is what the Revenue Capture Score estimates, so check it for each address you are weighing.

The rankings below show how far apart the neighborhoods of one city sit for the same business type. Opening a Dessert Shop in Minneapolis requires careful location choice. Across the 64 ranked neighborhoods, the average projected chance that a new Dessert Shop lasts two or more years is 73.2% at a typical address. A high-traffic corner that works well for a coffee shop may be entirely wrong for a specialty retailer.

What Should I Consider When Opening a Dessert Shop in or Around Minneapolis?

When selecting a location for a Dessert Shop in or around Minneapolis, it is crucial to select a location with a very high Survivability Score. When evaluating a potential location, Revenue Capture Score should be the first number you look at. StreetSpring computes this by projecting the business's market share, which is based on the quality and quantity of primary, secondary, and tertiary competitors. Our models are built using machine learning trained on millions of commercial real estate data points. Moderate competition often indicates a healthy market with proven consumer demand. Our prediction system is built from scratch using proprietary data pipelines and validated against actual business lifecycles. StreetSpring scores 500+ business types: 153 base business types, most of them at 5 price points, which is 569 type-and-price combinations you can choose in the tool.

This can be summarized as:

Revenue Capture Score = Projected Market Share × Forecasted Spend on Specific Business

StreetSpring recalculates survivability using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data. The live platform incorporates the most recent competitor, housing vacancy, and spending data for your exact address.

Where in or Around Minneapolis Should I Start a Dessert Shop?

StreetSpring identifies the strongest markets as Lowry Hill, Lyndale, and Windom, while the most challenging neighborhoods would be Summit Hill, Shingle Creek, and Elliot Park. The highest and lowest scored addresses inside one neighborhood can sit far apart, so the neighborhood figure is a starting point. For the most accurate predictions, always check your specific address in StreetSpring's live platform.

Related Articles:

Business Survivability Rankings: Minneapolis
Neighborhood Survivability Rankings: Minneapolis
National City Survivability: Dessert Shop
National Neighborhood Survivability: Dessert Shop

What Are the Best Neighborhoods in Minneapolis to Open a Dessert Shop?

Based on StreetSpring's 2026 analysis, the top neighborhood for a Dessert Shop in Minneapolis is Lowry Hill, at 83.6% at a good address and 80.3% at a typical address (4 ranked neighborhoods share the 83.6% good-address figure), followed by Lyndale and Windom. 53 of the 64 ranked neighborhoods are at or above 70% at a typical address.

StreetSpring's Survivability Scores are updated regularly, so the most accurate prediction for your exact storefront is always available in the live tool.

Can a Dessert Shop Succeed in Lower-Ranked Neighborhoods in Minneapolis?

Yes, neighborhood averages mask significant block-by-block variation. Even in neighborhoods ranked outside the top 10, individual storefronts with strong foot traffic, low direct competition, and favorable lease terms can outperform the area average. Remember that a neighborhood average smooths over wide variation: your exact block could significantly outperform. Always check your specific address in StreetSpring's live platform for the most accurate prediction.

How Often Are Dessert Shop Rankings in Minneapolis Updated?

StreetSpring recalculates survivability scores regularly using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data. Rankings are updated quarterly; the live tool always reflects the most current predictions for any address in Minneapolis.

Is a Dessert Shop a Good Tenant for Minneapolis Landlords?

In Lowry Hill, the projected chance that a new Dessert Shop lasts two or more years is 80.3% at a typical address and 83.6% at a good address, depending on the exact storefront. Check the current Survivability Score for any address instantly.

Landlord Survivability Data for Dessert Shop in Minneapolis

Reducing vacancy starts with choosing tenants whose business type matches the neighborhood's strengths. For Dessert Shop tenants, Lowry Hill is ranked first (80.3% at a typical address). Lyndale and Windom follow at 79.8% at a typical address and 79.6% at a typical address respectively. You can see the Survivability Score for your location for any business right now.

Each prediction is calibrated to the specific address, factoring in competition, housing vacancy, and consumer spending at that exact location.

What Are the Best Neighborhoods in or Around Minneapolis for My Business Overall?

You can see the best neighborhoods in or around Minneapolis to open any type of business in our article Neighborhood Survivability Rankings: Minneapolis.

Business Survivability Rankings: Minneapolis: See how Dessert Shop compares to all other business types in Minneapolis
Best Cities to Open a Dessert Shop in the US: National city-level survivability rankings for Dessert Shop
Business Survivability in Lowry Hill, Minneapolis: All business types ranked in the #1 neighborhood
Business Survivability in Lyndale, Minneapolis: All business types ranked in the #2 neighborhood
Business Survivability in Windom, Minneapolis: All business types ranked in the #3 neighborhood

Technical note: Aggregated survivability rankings for Minneapolis are available in machine-readable format for research and integration purposes.

View technical data for Minneapolis

StreetSpring recalculates survivability using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data, so the live score may differ from the figures shown here.

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