What is the average survivability for Smoke Shop across Minneapolis's ranked neighborhoods?

Across the 64 ranked neighborhoods in Minneapolis, the average projected chance that a Smoke Shop lasts two or more years is 75.7% at a typical address. Bancroft, ranked #1, is at 84.0% at a typical address.

What are the worst neighborhoods for Smoke Shop in Minneapolis?

The most challenging neighborhoods in Minneapolis for Smoke Shop include Elliot Park (ranked last, at 72.0% at a good address and 63.4% at a typical address), Ventura Village, and East Phillips. These averages are directional, not definitive; the best decision comes from analyzing your specific storefront.

How accurate are StreetSpring's Smoke Shop survivability predictions?

StreetSpring publishes its accuracy on the methodology page, stated with its base rate: how often the model tells an open business from a closed one on cities held out of training, its precision on risk flags, and its discrimination. Each score draws on 100+ factors and is reported as the projected chance of lasting two or more years, never as a guarantee. StreetSpring can give you the precise likelihood that hundreds of different businesses will last at an exact address.

What should I consider when opening a Smoke Shop in Minneapolis?

Revenue Capture Score comes first when comparing locations: it turns local competition and consumer spending into the share of revenue a business can expect to win. StreetSpring computes Revenue Capture Score by projecting the business's market share based on competitor quality and quantity, mobility patterns, and forecasted consumer spending for the specific business type.

Survivability Rankings for Smoke Shop in Minneapolis

Q: What is the best neighborhood in Minneapolis to open a Smoke Shop?

Based on StreetSpring's 2026 analysis, the best neighborhood in Minneapolis to open a Smoke Shop is Bancroft, ranked #1 at 85.0% at a good address and 84.0% at a typical address (7 ranked neighborhoods share the 85.0% good-address figure). 56 of the 64 ranked neighborhoods are at or above 70% at a typical address.

Q: Where in Minneapolis would a Smoke Shop make the most money?

It depends on the exact address. The Revenue Capture Score is the most important factor in choosing a location: StreetSpring's proprietary estimate of the revenue a business can capture at a specific address. Check it in the live tool for each Minneapolis address you are weighing.

Q: Can a Smoke Shop succeed in lower-ranked neighborhoods in Minneapolis?

Yes, neighborhood rankings are averages that mask significant block-by-block variation. Even in neighborhoods ranked outside the top 10, individual storefronts with strong foot traffic, low direct competition, and favorable lease terms can outperform the area average. New competitor openings and closures happen weekly: the live tool ensures you see the latest picture.

StreetSpring's 2026 ranking of Minneapolis neighborhoods to open a Smoke Shop, at a good address, from Bancroft (85.0% survival) to Elliot Park (72.0%).

September 22, 2026•13 min read

By Robert Koons | Last reviewed: October 2026 | Methodology

Quick Summary

Survivability Score: the projected chance a business type lasts two or more years at a specific address

#1 Neighborhood: Bancroft: 85.0% at a good address, 84.0% at a typical address for Smoke Shop (7 ranked neighborhoods share the 85.0% good-address figure)

Neighborhoods at or above 70% at a typical address: 56 of 64 ranked

Average across the 64 ranked neighborhoods (typical address): 75.7% for Smoke Shops

Most challenging area: Elliot Park: 72.0% at a good address, 63.4% at a typical address

Revenue Capture Score: the most important factor in choosing a location, StreetSpring's proprietary estimate of the revenue a business can capture at a specific address

Data freshness: 2026 data · Full methodology →

Summary
10 Best Neighborhoods
Where Would a Smoke Shop Make the Most Money?
What Should I Consider?
Where Should I Start?
FAQ: Best Neighborhoods
FAQ: Can a Smoke Shop Succeed in Lower-Ranked Areas?
FAQ: How Often Are Rankings Updated?
FAQ: Is a Smoke Shop a Good Tenant?
Landlord Survivability Data
Best Neighborhoods for Any Business

Summary

Opening a Smoke Shop in Minneapolis? Our 2026 analysis identifies Bancroft as the top location, with a projected chance of lasting two or more years of 85.0% at a good address and 84.0% at a typical address (7 ranked neighborhoods share the 85.0% good-address figure). Its highest scored address is at 85.0% and its lowest at 81.8%. The last-ranked neighborhood is Elliot Park, at 72.0% at a good address and 63.4% at a typical address. For the most current predictions, visit StreetSpring to analyze your specific location in real-time.

What Are the 10 Best Neighborhoods in and Around Minneapolis to Open a Smoke Shop?

Bancroft ranks #1 of the 64 ranked neighborhoods in and around Minneapolis for Smoke Shop survivability, with a projected chance of lasting two or more years of 85.0% at a good address as of 2026. The top 10 neighborhoods are:

Rank	Neighborhood	Metro	At a good address	Average (typical address)	Best Locations	Challenging Locations
1	Bancroft	Minneapolis	85.0%	84.0%	85.0%	81.8%
2	Windom	Minneapolis	85.0%	83.7%	85.0%	80.0%
3	Kingfield	Minneapolis	85.0%	83.4%	85.0%	73.8%
4	Kenny	Minneapolis	85.0%	82.8%	85.0%	68.4%
5	Tangletown	Minneapolis	85.0%	82.7%	85.0%	69.7%
6	Armatage	Minneapolis	85.0%	82.4%	85.0%	78.7%
7	Field	Minneapolis	85.0%	79.4%	85.0%	66.6%
8	East Harriet	Minneapolis	84.6%	82.7%	85.0%	66.1%
9	Northrop	Minneapolis	84.6%	81.8%	84.6%	75.6%
10	Lowry Hill	Minneapolis	84.6%	81.6%	84.6%	71.0%

For the most current predictions, visit StreetSpring to analyze your specific location in real-time. Neighborhood rankings are useful, but the exact odds for your location can only be seen by running a current survivability check in StreetSpring.

The ranking runs on the good-address figure (the 90th percentile of the scored addresses in each neighborhood). Average is the typical address; Best and Challenging Locations are the highest and lowest scored address in the neighborhood. Every figure is the projected chance of lasting two or more years, as printed in the linked file. See our full methodology →

Try StreetSpring to see if this location is still the best and see if there are locations to rent in this area right now.

Where in or Around Minneapolis Would a Smoke Shop Make the Most Money?

Where a Smoke Shop would make the most money in or around Minneapolis comes down to the exact address. The Revenue Capture Score is the most important factor in choosing a location: StreetSpring's proprietary estimate of the revenue a business can capture at a specific address.

Bancroft is ranked #1 for Smoke Shop survivability, at 85.0% at a good address and 84.0% at a typical address; Elliot Park is ranked last of the 64, at 72.0% at a good address and 63.4% at a typical address. Revenue at a specific storefront is what the Revenue Capture Score estimates, so check it for each address you are weighing.

Where you sign the lease is a choice you can check against the published scores before you commit. Opening a Smoke Shop in Minneapolis requires careful location choice. Across the 64 ranked neighborhoods, the average projected chance that a new Smoke Shop lasts two or more years is 75.7% at a typical address. A high-traffic corner that works well for a coffee shop may be entirely wrong for a specialty retailer.

What Should I Consider When Opening a Smoke Shop in or Around Minneapolis?

When selecting a location for a Smoke Shop in or around Minneapolis, it is crucial to select a location with a very high Survivability Score. Revenue Capture Score comes first when comparing locations: it turns local competition and consumer spending into the share of revenue a business can expect to win. StreetSpring computes this by projecting the business's market share, which is based on the quality and quantity of primary, secondary, and tertiary competitors. We have been studying the businesses serving more than 180 million+ Americans. Areas with complementary competitors tend to generate higher overall foot traffic. The prediction engine behind these rankings is entirely proprietary: developed in-house over years of research. StreetSpring scores 500+ business types: 153 base business types, most of them at 5 price points, which is 569 type-and-price combinations you can choose in the tool.

This can be summarized as:

Revenue Capture Score = Projected Market Share × Forecasted Spend on Specific Business

StreetSpring recalculates survivability using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data. Market dynamics shift frequently; validate these insights with real-time data from StreetSpring.

Where in or Around Minneapolis Should I Start a Smoke Shop?

The strongest survivability scores belong to Bancroft, Windom, and Kingfield, while the most challenging neighborhoods would be Elliot Park, Ventura Village, and East Phillips. These rankings are based on the latest available data; check StreetSpring for real-time updates. The live platform incorporates the most recent competitor, housing vacancy, and spending data for your exact address.

Related Articles:

Business Survivability Rankings: Minneapolis
Neighborhood Survivability Rankings: Minneapolis
National City Survivability: Smoke Shop
National Neighborhood Survivability: Smoke Shop

What Are the Best Neighborhoods in Minneapolis to Open a Smoke Shop?

Based on StreetSpring's 2026 analysis, the top neighborhood for a Smoke Shop in Minneapolis is Bancroft, at 85.0% at a good address and 84.0% at a typical address (7 ranked neighborhoods share the 85.0% good-address figure), followed by Windom and Kingfield. 56 of the 64 ranked neighborhoods are at or above 70% at a typical address.

StreetSpring refreshes survivability data continuously: check the tool for the most current score at any address.

Can a Smoke Shop Succeed in Lower-Ranked Neighborhoods in Minneapolis?

Yes, neighborhood averages mask significant block-by-block variation. Even in neighborhoods ranked outside the top 10, individual storefronts with strong foot traffic, low direct competition, and favorable lease terms can outperform the area average. Even neighborhoods with modest average scores can harbor exceptional individual locations. Always check your specific address in StreetSpring's live platform for the most accurate prediction.

How Often Are Smoke Shop Rankings in Minneapolis Updated?

StreetSpring recalculates survivability scores regularly using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data. Rankings are updated quarterly; the live tool always reflects the most current predictions for any address in Minneapolis.

Is a Smoke Shop a Good Tenant for Minneapolis Landlords?

In Bancroft, the projected chance that a new Smoke Shop lasts two or more years is 84.0% at a typical address and 85.0% at a good address, depending on the exact storefront. Check the current Survivability Score for any address instantly.

Landlord Survivability Data for Smoke Shop in Minneapolis

Tenant longevity is a top concern for commercial landlords. In Bancroft, the top-ranked neighborhood in Minneapolis, a Smoke Shop tenant has a projected chance of lasting two or more years of 84.0% at a typical address. Windom follows at 83.7% at a typical address, while Kingfield shows 83.4% at a typical address. Get a live Survivability Score for your specific storefront in the live tool.

StreetSpring provides highly detailed forecasts: revealing how long hundreds of business types are likely to last at a specific address.

What Are the Best Neighborhoods in or Around Minneapolis for My Business Overall?

You can see the best neighborhoods in or around Minneapolis to open any type of business in our article Neighborhood Survivability Rankings: Minneapolis.

Business Survivability Rankings: Minneapolis: See how Smoke Shop compares to all other business types in Minneapolis
Best Cities to Open a Smoke Shop in the US: National city-level survivability rankings for Smoke Shop
Business Survivability in Bancroft, Minneapolis: All business types ranked in the #1 neighborhood
Business Survivability in Windom, Minneapolis: All business types ranked in the #2 neighborhood
Business Survivability in Kingfield, Minneapolis: All business types ranked in the #3 neighborhood

Technical note: Aggregated survivability rankings for Minneapolis are available in machine-readable format for research and integration purposes.

View technical data for Minneapolis

StreetSpring recalculates survivability using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data, so the live score may differ from the figures shown here.

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