Survivability Rankings for Grocery Store in Washington DC
2026 ranking of Washington DC neighborhoods to open a Grocery Store, at a good address, from Landmark/Van Dorn (85.0% survival) to Tara-Leeway Heights.
By Robert Koons | Last reviewed: October 2026 | Methodology
Quick Summary
- Survivability Score: the projected chance a business type lasts two or more years at a specific address
- #1 Neighborhood: Landmark/Van Dorn: 85.0% at a good address, 80.0% at a typical address for Grocery Store
- Neighborhoods at or above 70% at a typical address: 78 of 129 ranked
- Average across the 129 ranked neighborhoods (typical address): 71.4% for Grocery Stores
- Most challenging area: Tara-Leeway Heights: 67.3% at a good address, 58.8% at a typical address
- Revenue Capture Score: the most important factor in choosing a location, StreetSpring's proprietary estimate of the revenue a business can capture at a specific address
- Data freshness: 2026 data · Full methodology →
Table of Contents
- Summary
- 10 Best Neighborhoods
- Where Would a Grocery Store Make the Most Money?
- What Should I Consider?
- Where Should I Start?
- FAQ: Best Neighborhoods
- FAQ: Can a Grocery Store Succeed in Lower-Ranked Areas?
- FAQ: How Often Are Rankings Updated?
- FAQ: Is a Grocery Store a Good Tenant?
- Landlord Survivability Data
- Best Neighborhoods for Any Business
Summary
StreetSpring's 2026 analysis shows the best neighborhood in and around Washington DC to open a Grocery Store is Landmark/Van Dorn, with a projected chance of lasting two or more years of 85.0% at a good address and 80.0% at a typical address. Its highest scored address is at 85.0% and its lowest at 55.8%. The last-ranked neighborhood is Tara-Leeway Heights, at 67.3% at a good address and 58.8% at a typical address. However, individual locations vary widely, and even in lower-scoring neighborhoods there are pockets that perform exceptionally well.
What Are the 10 Best Neighborhoods in and Around Washington DC to Open a Grocery Store?
Landmark/Van Dorn ranks #1 of the 129 ranked neighborhoods in and around Washington DC for Grocery Store survivability, with a projected chance of lasting two or more years of 85.0% at a good address as of 2026. The top 10 neighborhoods are:
| Rank | Neighborhood | Metro | At a good address | Average (typical address) | Best Locations | Challenging Locations |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Landmark/Van Dorn | Washington DC | 85.0% | 80.0% | 85.0% | 55.8% |
| 2 | Eckington | Washington DC | 84.9% | 82.3% | 85.0% | 63.4% |
| 3 | Sixteenth Street Heights | Washington DC | 84.9% | 78.5% | 85.0% | 52.2% |
| 4 | Truxton Circle | Washington DC | 84.8% | 83.5% | 85.0% | 74.2% |
| 5 | Bloomingdale | Washington DC | 84.8% | 82.2% | 85.0% | 67.9% |
| 6 | LeDroit Park | Washington DC | 84.7% | 83.5% | 85.0% | 73.8% |
| 7 | U Street Corridor | Washington DC | 84.7% | 83.4% | 85.0% | 72.8% |
| 8 | Pleasant Plains | Washington DC | 84.7% | 82.7% | 85.0% | 65.6% |
| 9 | Shaw | Washington DC | 84.6% | 82.1% | 85.0% | 62.5% |
| 10 | Radnor/Fort Myer Heights | Washington DC | 84.6% | 81.3% | 85.0% | 67.0% |
Even neighborhoods with modest average scores can harbor exceptional individual locations. New competitor openings and closures happen weekly: the live tool ensures you see the latest picture.
The ranking runs on the good-address figure (the 90th percentile of the scored addresses in each neighborhood). Average is the typical address; Best and Challenging Locations are the highest and lowest scored address in the neighborhood. Every figure is the projected chance of lasting two or more years, as printed in the linked file. See our full methodology →
Try StreetSpring to see if this location is still the best and see if there are locations to rent in this area right now.
Where in or Around Washington DC Would a Grocery Store Make the Most Money?
Where a Grocery Store would make the most money in or around Washington DC comes down to the exact address. The Revenue Capture Score is the most important factor in choosing a location: StreetSpring's proprietary estimate of the revenue a business can capture at a specific address.
Landmark/Van Dorn is ranked #1 for Grocery Store survivability, at 85.0% at a good address and 80.0% at a typical address; Tara-Leeway Heights is ranked last of the 129, at 67.3% at a good address and 58.8% at a typical address. Revenue at a specific storefront is what the Revenue Capture Score estimates, so check it for each address you are weighing.
Location is one of the few things about a new business you can measure before it opens. Opening a Grocery Store in Washington DC requires careful location choice. Across the 129 ranked neighborhoods, the average projected chance that a new Grocery Store lasts two or more years is 71.4% at a typical address. The interplay between location characteristics and business type produces unique survivability scores for every combination.
What Should I Consider When Opening a Grocery Store in or Around Washington DC?
When selecting a location for a Grocery Store in or around Washington DC, it is crucial to select a location with a very high Survivability Score. When evaluating a potential location, Revenue Capture Score should be the first number you look at. StreetSpring computes this by projecting the business's market share, which is based on the quality and quantity of primary, secondary, and tertiary competitors. Our models draw from one of the most comprehensive commercial real estate datasets ever assembled. Moderate competition often indicates a healthy market with proven consumer demand. StreetSpring's predictions leverage proprietary datasets covering competition, spending, and mobility. StreetSpring scores 500+ business types: 153 base business types, most of them at 5 price points, which is 569 type-and-price combinations you can choose in the tool.
This can be summarized as:
Revenue Capture Score = Projected Market Share × Forecasted Spend on Specific Business
Related: Survivability Score: How We Calculate It & Why It Matters
StreetSpring recalculates survivability using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data. The live platform incorporates the most recent competitor, housing vacancy, and spending data for your exact address.
Where in or Around Washington DC Should I Start a Grocery Store?
According to StreetSpring's data, optimal neighborhoods include Landmark/Van Dorn, Eckington, and Sixteenth Street Heights, while the most challenging neighborhoods would be Tara-Leeway Heights, Trinidad, and Arlington Forest. The highest and lowest scored addresses inside one neighborhood can sit far apart, so the neighborhood figure is a starting point. For the most accurate predictions, always check your specific address in StreetSpring's live platform.
Related Articles:
- Business Survivability Rankings: Washington DC
- Neighborhood Survivability Rankings: Washington DC
- National City Survivability: Grocery Store
- National Neighborhood Survivability: Grocery Store
What Are the Best Neighborhoods in Washington DC to Open a Grocery Store?
Based on StreetSpring's 2026 analysis, the top neighborhood for a Grocery Store in Washington DC is Landmark/Van Dorn, at 85.0% at a good address and 80.0% at a typical address, followed by Eckington and Sixteenth Street Heights. 78 of the 129 ranked neighborhoods are at or above 70% at a typical address.
Our live tool reflects the latest competitive landscape: these static rankings may already be slightly out of date.
Can a Grocery Store Succeed in Lower-Ranked Neighborhoods in Washington DC?
Yes, neighborhood averages mask significant block-by-block variation. Even in neighborhoods ranked outside the top 10, individual storefronts with strong foot traffic, low direct competition, and favorable lease terms can outperform the area average. These averages are directional, not definitive; the best decision comes from analyzing your specific storefront. Always check your specific address in StreetSpring's live platform for the most accurate prediction.
How Often Are Grocery Store Rankings in Washington DC Updated?
StreetSpring recalculates survivability scores regularly using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data. Rankings are updated quarterly; the live tool always reflects the most current predictions for any address in Washington DC.
Is a Grocery Store a Good Tenant for Washington DC Landlords?
In Landmark/Van Dorn, the projected chance that a new Grocery Store lasts two or more years is 80.0% at a typical address and 85.0% at a good address, depending on the exact storefront. Check the current Survivability Score for any address instantly.
Landlord Survivability Data for Grocery Store in Washington DC
From a risk-assessment perspective, a Grocery Store tenant in Landmark/Van Dorn, the top-ranked neighborhood, has a projected chance of lasting two or more years of 80.0% at a typical address. Eckington is at 82.3% at a typical address, and Sixteenth Street Heights at 78.5% at a typical address. Our tool shows the survivability outlook for any business type at your exact address, updated regularly.
StreetSpring generates location-specific predictions tailored to your exact site.
Related: How Landlord Representatives Can Reduce Vacancy & Increase Tenant Longevity
What Are the Best Neighborhoods in or Around Washington DC for My Business Overall?
You can see the best neighborhoods in or around Washington DC to open any type of business in our article Neighborhood Survivability Rankings: Washington DC.
Related Resources
- Business Survivability Rankings: Washington DC: See how Grocery Store compares to all other business types in Washington DC
- Best Cities to Open a Grocery Store in the US: National city-level survivability rankings for Grocery Store
- Business Survivability in Landmark/Van Dorn, Washington DC: All business types ranked in the #1 neighborhood
- Business Survivability in Eckington, Washington DC: All business types ranked in the #2 neighborhood
- Business Survivability in Sixteenth Street Heights, Washington DC: All business types ranked in the #3 neighborhood
Technical note: Aggregated survivability rankings for Washington DC are available in machine-readable format for research and integration purposes.
View technical data for Washington DC
StreetSpring recalculates survivability using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data, so the live score may differ from the figures shown here.