Survivability Rankings for Coffee Shop in Washington DC
StreetSpring's 2026 ranking of Washington DC neighborhoods to open a Coffee Shop, at a good address, from Bethesda Center (84.0% survival) to Woodlands.
By Robert Koons | Last reviewed: October 2026 | Methodology
Quick Summary
- Survivability Score: the projected chance a business type lasts two or more years at a specific address
- #1 Neighborhood: Bethesda Center: 84.0% at a good address, 83.7% at a typical address for Coffee Shop (40 ranked neighborhoods share the 84.0% good-address figure)
- Neighborhoods at or above 70% at a typical address: 102 of 129 ranked
- Average across the 129 ranked neighborhoods (typical address): 74.0% for Coffee Shops
- Most challenging area: Woodlands: 70.2% at a good address, 61.0% at a typical address
- Revenue Capture Score: the most important factor in choosing a location, StreetSpring's proprietary estimate of the revenue a business can capture at a specific address
- Data freshness: 2026 data · Full methodology →
Table of Contents
- Summary
- 10 Best Neighborhoods
- Where Would a Coffee Shop Make the Most Money?
- What Should I Consider?
- Where Should I Start?
- FAQ: Best Neighborhoods
- FAQ: Can a Coffee Shop Succeed in Lower-Ranked Areas?
- FAQ: How Often Are Rankings Updated?
- FAQ: Is a Coffee Shop a Good Tenant?
- Landlord Survivability Data
- Best Neighborhoods for Any Business
Summary
Opening a Coffee Shop in Washington DC? Our 2026 analysis identifies Bethesda Center as the top location, with a projected chance of lasting two or more years of 84.0% at a good address and 83.7% at a typical address (40 ranked neighborhoods share the 84.0% good-address figure). Its highest scored address is at 84.0% and its lowest at 83.1%. The last-ranked neighborhood is Woodlands, at 70.2% at a good address and 61.0% at a typical address. For the most current predictions, visit StreetSpring to analyze your specific location in real-time.
What Are the 10 Best Neighborhoods in and Around Washington DC to Open a Coffee Shop?
Bethesda Center ranks #1 of the 129 ranked neighborhoods in and around Washington DC for Coffee Shop survivability, with a projected chance of lasting two or more years of 84.0% at a good address as of 2026. The top 10 neighborhoods are:
| Rank | Neighborhood | Metro | At a good address | Average (typical address) | Best Locations | Challenging Locations |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bethesda Center | Washington DC | 84.0% | 83.7% | 84.0% | 83.1% |
| 2 | Dupont Circle | Washington DC | 84.0% | 82.8% | 84.0% | 48.0% |
| 3 | Truxton Circle | Washington DC | 84.0% | 82.5% | 84.0% | 74.6% |
| 4 | Bloomingdale | Washington DC | 84.0% | 82.1% | 84.0% | 74.6% |
| 5 | Radnor/Fort Myer Heights | Washington DC | 84.0% | 81.7% | 84.0% | 72.3% |
| 6 | Aurora Highlands | Washington DC | 84.0% | 81.1% | 84.0% | 59.7% |
| 7 | NoMa | Washington DC | 84.0% | 81.1% | 84.0% | 65.1% |
| 8 | Pleasant Plains | Washington DC | 84.0% | 81.0% | 84.0% | 72.8% |
| 9 | Swampoodle | Washington DC | 84.0% | 81.0% | 84.0% | 68.7% |
| 10 | U Street Corridor | Washington DC | 84.0% | 81.0% | 84.0% | 75.4% |
However, individual locations vary widely, and even in lower-scoring neighborhoods there are pockets that perform exceptionally well. Market dynamics shift frequently; validate these insights with real-time data from StreetSpring.
The ranking runs on the good-address figure (the 90th percentile of the scored addresses in each neighborhood). Average is the typical address; Best and Challenging Locations are the highest and lowest scored address in the neighborhood. Every figure is the projected chance of lasting two or more years, as printed in the linked file. See our full methodology →
Try StreetSpring to see if this location is still the best and see if there are locations to rent in this area right now.
Where in or Around Washington DC Would a Coffee Shop Make the Most Money?
Where a Coffee Shop would make the most money in or around Washington DC comes down to the exact address. The Revenue Capture Score is the most important factor in choosing a location: StreetSpring's proprietary estimate of the revenue a business can capture at a specific address.
Bethesda Center is ranked #1 for Coffee Shop survivability, at 84.0% at a good address and 83.7% at a typical address; Woodlands is ranked last of the 129, at 70.2% at a good address and 61.0% at a typical address. Revenue at a specific storefront is what the Revenue Capture Score estimates, so check it for each address you are weighing.
Your choice of location is one of the few business decisions you can test against data before you commit. Opening a Coffee Shop in Washington DC requires careful location choice. Across the 129 ranked neighborhoods, the average projected chance that a new Coffee Shop lasts two or more years is 74.0% at a typical address. Each business category has unique customer behavior patterns that vary significantly by address.
What Should I Consider When Opening a Coffee Shop in or Around Washington DC?
When selecting a location for a Coffee Shop in or around Washington DC, it is crucial to select a location with a very high Survivability Score. When evaluating a potential location, Revenue Capture Score should be the first number you look at. StreetSpring computes this by projecting the business's market share, which is based on the quality and quantity of primary, secondary, and tertiary competitors. Our platform incorporates data from thousands of neighborhoods nationwide. Clustering works when it draws more customers to the area than any single business could alone. Our prediction system is built from scratch using proprietary data pipelines and validated against actual business lifecycles. StreetSpring scores 500+ business types: 153 base business types, most of them at 5 price points, which is 569 type-and-price combinations you can choose in the tool.
This can be summarized as:
Revenue Capture Score = Projected Market Share × Forecasted Spend on Specific Business
Related: Survivability Score: How We Calculate It & Why It Matters
StreetSpring recalculates survivability using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data. The live platform incorporates the most recent competitor, housing vacancy, and spending data for your exact address.
Where in or Around Washington DC Should I Start a Coffee Shop?
Our data ranks the top-performing neighborhoods as Bethesda Center, Dupont Circle, and Truxton Circle, while the most challenging neighborhoods would be Woodlands, Forest Hills, and East Falls Church. These rankings are based on the latest available data; check StreetSpring for real-time updates. Static rankings provide a useful baseline, but the live tool captures changes that have occurred since publication.
Related Articles:
- Business Survivability Rankings: Washington DC
- Neighborhood Survivability Rankings: Washington DC
- National City Survivability: Coffee Shop
- National Neighborhood Survivability: Coffee Shop
What Are the Best Neighborhoods in Washington DC to Open a Coffee Shop?
Based on StreetSpring's 2026 analysis, the top neighborhood for a Coffee Shop in Washington DC is Bethesda Center, at 84.0% at a good address and 83.7% at a typical address (40 ranked neighborhoods share the 84.0% good-address figure), followed by Dupont Circle and Truxton Circle. 102 of the 129 ranked neighborhoods are at or above 70% at a typical address.
For the most accurate predictions, always check your specific address in StreetSpring's live platform.
Can a Coffee Shop Succeed in Lower-Ranked Neighborhoods in Washington DC?
Yes, neighborhood averages mask significant block-by-block variation. Even in neighborhoods ranked outside the top 10, individual storefronts with strong foot traffic, low direct competition, and favorable lease terms can outperform the area average. Market conditions are changing daily and it is best to use StreetSpring's most up-to-date data. Always check your specific address in StreetSpring's live platform for the most accurate prediction.
How Often Are Coffee Shop Rankings in Washington DC Updated?
StreetSpring recalculates survivability scores regularly using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data. Rankings are updated quarterly; the live tool always reflects the most current predictions for any address in Washington DC.
Is a Coffee Shop a Good Tenant for Washington DC Landlords?
In Bethesda Center, the projected chance that a new Coffee Shop lasts two or more years is 83.7% at a typical address and 84.0% at a good address, depending on the exact storefront. Check the current Survivability Score for any address instantly.
Landlord Survivability Data for Coffee Shop in Washington DC
The data tells a clear story for Coffee Shop tenants across Washington DC's top neighborhoods. Bethesda Center leads at 83.7% at a typical address, with its best scored address at 84.0%. Dupont Circle is at 82.8% at a typical address, and Truxton Circle at 82.5% at a typical address. See which business types are most likely to succeed at your property address right now.
Our models produce survivability scores at the individual address level, not just neighborhood averages.
Related: How Landlord Representatives Can Reduce Vacancy & Increase Tenant Longevity
What Are the Best Neighborhoods in or Around Washington DC for My Business Overall?
You can see the best neighborhoods in or around Washington DC to open any type of business in our article Neighborhood Survivability Rankings: Washington DC.
Related Resources
- Business Survivability Rankings: Washington DC: See how Coffee Shop compares to all other business types in Washington DC
- Best Cities to Open a Coffee Shop in the US: National city-level survivability rankings for Coffee Shop
- Business Survivability in Bethesda Center, Washington DC: All business types ranked in the #1 neighborhood
- Business Survivability in Dupont Circle, Washington DC: All business types ranked in the #2 neighborhood
- Business Survivability in Truxton Circle, Washington DC: All business types ranked in the #3 neighborhood
Technical note: Aggregated survivability rankings for Washington DC are available in machine-readable format for research and integration purposes.
View technical data for Washington DC
StreetSpring recalculates survivability using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data, so the live score may differ from the figures shown here.