What is the best neighborhood in Tampa Bay to open a Day Care Center?

Based on StreetSpring's 2026 analysis, the best neighborhood in Tampa Bay to open a Day Care Center is South Seminole Heights, ranked #1 at 85.6% at a good address and 80.1% at a typical address (3 ranked neighborhoods share the 85.6% good-address figure). 10 of the 13 ranked neighborhoods are at or above 70% at a typical address.

What is the average survivability for Day Care Center across Tampa Bay's ranked neighborhoods?

Across the 13 ranked neighborhoods in Tampa Bay, the average projected chance that a Day Care Center lasts two or more years is 74.4% at a typical address. South Seminole Heights, ranked #1, is at 80.1% at a typical address.

What are the worst neighborhoods for Day Care Center in Tampa Bay?

The most challenging neighborhoods in Tampa Bay for Day Care Center include North Tampa (ranked last, at 79.7% at a good address and 68.1% at a typical address), Terrace Park, and Bayshore Beautiful. These averages are directional, not definitive; the best decision comes from analyzing your specific storefront.

What should I consider when opening a Day Care Center in Tampa Bay?

The Revenue Capture Score is the most important factor in choosing a location: it is StreetSpring's estimate of the revenue a business can capture at that address. StreetSpring computes Revenue Capture Score by projecting the business's market share based on competitor quality and quantity, mobility patterns, and forecasted consumer spending for the specific business type.

How accurate are StreetSpring's Day Care Center survivability predictions?

StreetSpring publishes its accuracy on the methodology page, stated with its base rate: how often the model tells an open business from a closed one on cities held out of training, its precision on risk flags, and its discrimination. Each score draws on 100+ factors and is reported as the projected chance of lasting two or more years, never as a guarantee. StreetSpring generates location-specific predictions tailored to your exact site.

Survivability Rankings for Day Care Center in Tampa Bay

Q: Where in Tampa Bay would a Day Care Center make the most money?

It depends on the exact address. The Revenue Capture Score is the most important factor in choosing a location: StreetSpring's proprietary estimate of the revenue a business can capture at a specific address. Check it in the live tool for each Tampa Bay address you are weighing.

2026 ranking of Tampa Bay neighborhoods to open a Day Care Center, at a good address, from South Seminole Heights (85.6% survival) to North Tampa.

September 22, 2026•14 min read

By Robert Koons | Last reviewed: October 2026 | Methodology

Quick Summary

Survivability Score: the projected chance a business type lasts two or more years at a specific address

#1 Neighborhood: South Seminole Heights: 85.6% at a good address, 80.1% at a typical address for Day Care Center (3 ranked neighborhoods share the 85.6% good-address figure)

Neighborhoods at or above 70% at a typical address: 10 of 13 ranked

Average across the 13 ranked neighborhoods (typical address): 74.4% for Day Care Centers

Most challenging area: North Tampa: 79.7% at a good address, 68.1% at a typical address

Revenue Capture Score: the most important factor in choosing a location, StreetSpring's proprietary estimate of the revenue a business can capture at a specific address

Data freshness: 2026 data · Full methodology →

Summary
10 Best Neighborhoods
Where Would a Day Care Center Make the Most Money?
What Should I Consider?
Where Should I Start?
FAQ: Best Neighborhoods
FAQ: Can a Day Care Center Succeed in Lower-Ranked Areas?
FAQ: How Often Are Rankings Updated?
FAQ: Is a Day Care Center a Good Tenant?
Landlord Survivability Data
Best Neighborhoods for Any Business

Summary

StreetSpring's 2026 analysis shows the best neighborhood in and around Tampa Bay to open a Day Care Center is South Seminole Heights, with a projected chance of lasting two or more years of 85.6% at a good address and 80.1% at a typical address (3 ranked neighborhoods share the 85.6% good-address figure). Its highest scored address is at 85.6% and its lowest at 68.0%. The last-ranked neighborhood is North Tampa, at 79.7% at a good address and 68.1% at a typical address. However, individual locations vary widely, and even in lower-scoring neighborhoods there are pockets that perform exceptionally well.

What Are the 10 Best Neighborhoods in and Around Tampa Bay to Open a Day Care Center?

South Seminole Heights ranks #1 of the 13 ranked neighborhoods in and around Tampa Bay for Day Care Center survivability, with a projected chance of lasting two or more years of 85.6% at a good address as of 2026. The top 10 neighborhoods are:

Rank	Neighborhood	Metro	At a good address	Average (typical address)	Best Locations	Challenging Locations
1	South Seminole Heights	Tampa Bay	85.6%	80.1%	85.6%	68.0%
2	Seminole Heights	Tampa Bay	85.6%	77.1%	86.0%	66.6%
3	Tampa Heights	Tampa Bay	85.6%	76.0%	85.6%	54.5%
4	North Hyde Park	Tampa Bay	85.1%	79.0%	85.6%	64.4%
5	Plaza Terrace	Tampa Bay	85.1%	75.8%	86.0%	59.0%
6	Bayside West	Tampa Bay	85.1%	70.2%	86.0%	55.4%
7	Old Seminole Heights	Tampa Bay	84.6%	73.7%	86.0%	51.8%
8	Fair Oaks-Manhattan Manor	Tampa Bay	84.6%	68.7%	86.0%	55.0%
9	Oakford Park	Tampa Bay	83.3%	77.0%	83.8%	66.2%
10	Riverbend	Tampa Bay	82.8%	78.0%	84.6%	68.4%

However, individual locations vary widely, and even in lower-scoring neighborhoods there are pockets that perform exceptionally well. Because local conditions evolve weekly, the live survivability tool offers a more current snapshot than any published ranking.

The ranking runs on the good-address figure (the 90th percentile of the scored addresses in each neighborhood). Average is the typical address; Best and Challenging Locations are the highest and lowest scored address in the neighborhood. Every figure is the projected chance of lasting two or more years, as printed in the linked file. See our full methodology →

Try StreetSpring to see if this location is still the best and see if there are locations to rent in this area right now.

Where in or Around Tampa Bay Would a Day Care Center Make the Most Money?

Where a Day Care Center would make the most money in or around Tampa Bay comes down to the exact address. The Revenue Capture Score is the most important factor in choosing a location: StreetSpring's proprietary estimate of the revenue a business can capture at a specific address.

South Seminole Heights is ranked #1 for Day Care Center survivability, at 85.6% at a good address and 80.1% at a typical address; North Tampa is ranked last of the 13, at 79.7% at a good address and 68.1% at a typical address. Revenue at a specific storefront is what the Revenue Capture Score estimates, so check it for each address you are weighing.

Location is one of the few things about a new business you can measure before it opens. Opening a Day Care Center in Tampa Bay requires careful location choice. Across the 13 ranked neighborhoods, the average projected chance that a new Day Care Center lasts two or more years is 74.4% at a typical address. What makes a location ideal varies by business type: foot traffic patterns, competitor proximity, and consumer demographics all play different roles.

What Should I Consider When Opening a Day Care Center in or Around Tampa Bay?

When selecting a location for a Day Care Center in or around Tampa Bay, it is crucial to select a location with a very high Survivability Score. The Revenue Capture Score is the most important factor in choosing a location: it is StreetSpring's estimate of the revenue a business can capture at that address. StreetSpring computes this by projecting the business's market share, which is based on the quality and quantity of primary, secondary, and tertiary competitors. We incorporate data from thousands of neighborhoods and hundreds of thousands of individual businesses. Some competition is beneficial to attract customers with similar intents to the same area. These results are powered by exclusive algorithms trained on one of the largest commercial real estate datasets in the U.S. StreetSpring scores 500+ business types: 153 base business types, most of them at 5 price points, which is 569 type-and-price combinations you can choose in the tool.

This can be summarized as:

Revenue Capture Score = Projected Market Share × Forecasted Spend on Specific Business

StreetSpring recalculates survivability using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data. Neighborhood rankings are useful, but the exact odds for your location can only be seen by running a current survivability check in StreetSpring.

Where in or Around Tampa Bay Should I Start a Day Care Center?

Our data ranks the top-performing neighborhoods as South Seminole Heights, Seminole Heights, and Tampa Heights, while the most challenging neighborhoods would be North Tampa, Terrace Park, and Bayshore Beautiful. Even neighborhoods with modest average scores can harbor exceptional individual locations. Neighborhood rankings are useful, but the exact odds for your location can only be seen by running a current survivability check in StreetSpring.

Related Articles:

Business Survivability Rankings: Tampa Bay
Neighborhood Survivability Rankings: Tampa Bay
National City Survivability: Day Care Center
National Neighborhood Survivability: Day Care Center

What Are the Best Neighborhoods in Tampa Bay to Open a Day Care Center?

Based on StreetSpring's 2026 analysis, the top neighborhood for a Day Care Center in Tampa Bay is South Seminole Heights, at 85.6% at a good address and 80.1% at a typical address (3 ranked neighborhoods share the 85.6% good-address figure), followed by Seminole Heights and Tampa Heights. 10 of the 13 ranked neighborhoods are at or above 70% at a typical address.

New competitor openings and closures happen weekly: the live tool ensures you see the latest picture.

Can a Day Care Center Succeed in Lower-Ranked Neighborhoods in Tampa Bay?

Yes, neighborhood averages mask significant block-by-block variation. Even in neighborhoods ranked outside the top 10, individual storefronts with strong foot traffic, low direct competition, and favorable lease terms can outperform the area average. Neighborhood averages mask significant block-by-block variation: always check your specific address. Always check your specific address in StreetSpring's live platform for the most accurate prediction.

How Often Are Day Care Center Rankings in Tampa Bay Updated?

StreetSpring recalculates survivability scores regularly using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data. Rankings are updated quarterly; the live tool always reflects the most current predictions for any address in Tampa Bay.

Is a Day Care Center a Good Tenant for Tampa Bay Landlords?

In South Seminole Heights, the projected chance that a new Day Care Center lasts two or more years is 80.1% at a typical address and 85.6% at a good address, depending on the exact storefront. Check the current Survivability Score for any address instantly.

Landlord Survivability Data for Day Care Center in Tampa Bay

From a risk-assessment perspective, a Day Care Center tenant in South Seminole Heights, the top-ranked neighborhood, has a projected chance of lasting two or more years of 80.1% at a typical address. Seminole Heights is at 77.1% at a typical address, and Tampa Heights at 76.0% at a typical address. Our tool shows the survivability outlook for any business type at your exact address, updated regularly.

Each prediction is calibrated to the specific address, factoring in competition, housing vacancy, and consumer spending at that exact location.

What Are the Best Neighborhoods in or Around Tampa Bay for My Business Overall?

You can see the best neighborhoods in or around Tampa Bay to open any type of business in our article Neighborhood Survivability Rankings: Tampa Bay.

Business Survivability Rankings: Tampa Bay: See how Day Care Center compares to all other business types in Tampa Bay
Best Cities to Open a Day Care Center in the US: National city-level survivability rankings for Day Care Center
Business Survivability in South Seminole Heights, Tampa Bay: All business types ranked in the #1 neighborhood
Business Survivability in Seminole Heights, Tampa Bay: All business types ranked in the #2 neighborhood
Business Survivability in Tampa Heights, Tampa Bay: All business types ranked in the #3 neighborhood

Technical note: Aggregated survivability rankings for Tampa Bay are available in machine-readable format for research and integration purposes.

View technical data for Tampa Bay

StreetSpring recalculates survivability using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data, so the live score may differ from the figures shown here.

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