Survivability Rankings for Convenience Store in Tampa Bay

StreetSpring's 2026 ranking of Tampa Bay neighborhoods to open a Convenience Store, at a good address, from Oakford Park (84.6% survival) to Riverbend.

•14 min read

By Robert Koons | Last reviewed: October 2026 | Methodology

Quick Summary

  • Survivability Score: the projected chance a business type lasts two or more years at a specific address
  • #1 Neighborhood: Oakford Park: 84.6% at a good address, 80.3% at a typical address for Convenience Store (2 ranked neighborhoods share the 84.6% good-address figure)
  • Neighborhoods at or above 70% at a typical address: 12 of 13 ranked
  • Average across the 13 ranked neighborhoods (typical address): 75.9% for Convenience Stores
  • Most challenging area: Riverbend: 81.1% at a good address, 74.7% at a typical address
  • Revenue Capture Score: the most important factor in choosing a location, StreetSpring's proprietary estimate of the revenue a business can capture at a specific address
  • Data freshness: 2026 data · Full methodology →

Table of Contents

Summary

StreetSpring's 2026 analysis shows the best neighborhood in and around Tampa Bay to open a Convenience Store is Oakford Park, with a projected chance of lasting two or more years of 84.6% at a good address and 80.3% at a typical address (2 ranked neighborhoods share the 84.6% good-address figure). Its highest scored address is at 85.0% and its lowest at 71.0%. The last-ranked neighborhood is Riverbend, at 81.1% at a good address and 74.7% at a typical address. For the most current predictions, visit StreetSpring to analyze your specific location in real-time.


What Are the 10 Best Neighborhoods in and Around Tampa Bay to Open a Convenience Store?

Oakford Park ranks #1 of the 13 ranked neighborhoods in and around Tampa Bay for Convenience Store survivability, with a projected chance of lasting two or more years of 84.6% at a good address as of 2026. The top 10 neighborhoods are:

RankNeighborhoodMetroAt a good addressAverage (typical address)Best LocationsChallenging Locations
1Oakford ParkTampa Bay84.6%80.3%85.0%71.0%
2Fair Oaks-Manhattan ManorTampa Bay84.6%75.9%85.0%57.1%
3Bayshore BeautifulTampa Bay84.2%72.2%84.6%52.6%
4Seminole HeightsTampa Bay84.1%74.5%84.6%49.9%
5Bayside WestTampa Bay84.0%68.1%84.1%49.4%
6North TampaTampa Bay83.7%77.4%84.1%57.6%
7Old Seminole HeightsTampa Bay83.7%73.7%85.0%53.5%
8North Hyde ParkTampa Bay83.6%80.6%84.1%71.5%
9Tampa HeightsTampa Bay82.8%80.9%82.8%69.2%
10South Seminole HeightsTampa Bay82.8%75.8%83.2%56.6%

StreetSpring's Survivability Scores are updated regularly, so the most accurate prediction for your exact storefront is always available in the live tool. StreetSpring's Survivability Scores are updated regularly, so the most accurate prediction for your exact storefront is always available in the live tool.

The ranking runs on the good-address figure (the 90th percentile of the scored addresses in each neighborhood). Average is the typical address; Best and Challenging Locations are the highest and lowest scored address in the neighborhood. Every figure is the projected chance of lasting two or more years, as printed in the linked file. See our full methodology →

Try StreetSpring to see if this location is still the best and see if there are locations to rent in this area right now.


Where in or Around Tampa Bay Would a Convenience Store Make the Most Money?

Where a Convenience Store would make the most money in or around Tampa Bay comes down to the exact address. The Revenue Capture Score is the most important factor in choosing a location: StreetSpring's proprietary estimate of the revenue a business can capture at a specific address.

Oakford Park is ranked #1 for Convenience Store survivability, at 84.6% at a good address and 80.3% at a typical address; Riverbend is ranked last of the 13, at 81.1% at a good address and 74.7% at a typical address. Revenue at a specific storefront is what the Revenue Capture Score estimates, so check it for each address you are weighing.

Our data shows the projected chance for the same business type moving a long way between neighborhoods of one city. Opening a Convenience Store in Tampa Bay requires careful location choice. Across the 13 ranked neighborhoods, the average projected chance that a new Convenience Store lasts two or more years is 75.9% at a typical address. Survivability predictions are business-type-specific because consumer behavior differs fundamentally across categories.


What Should I Consider When Opening a Convenience Store in or Around Tampa Bay?

When selecting a location for a Convenience Store in or around Tampa Bay, it is crucial to select a location with a very high Survivability Score. The single most important number in a location decision is the Revenue Capture Score, StreetSpring's proprietary estimate of the revenue a business can capture at a specific address. StreetSpring computes this by projecting the business's market share, which is based on the quality and quantity of primary, secondary, and tertiary competitors. Our models are built using machine learning trained on millions of commercial real estate data points. Neighborhoods with a mix of similar businesses frequently outperform isolated locations. StreetSpring's predictions leverage proprietary datasets covering competition, spending, and mobility. StreetSpring scores 500+ business types: 153 base business types, most of them at 5 price points, which is 569 type-and-price combinations you can choose in the tool.

This can be summarized as:

Revenue Capture Score = Projected Market Share × Forecasted Spend on Specific Business

Related: Survivability Score: How We Calculate It & Why It Matters

StreetSpring recalculates survivability using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data. For the most accurate predictions, always check your specific address in StreetSpring's live platform.


Where in or Around Tampa Bay Should I Start a Convenience Store?

StreetSpring identifies the strongest markets as Oakford Park, Fair Oaks-Manhattan Manor, and Bayshore Beautiful, while the most challenging neighborhoods would be Riverbend, Plaza Terrace, and Terrace Park. Neighborhood averages mask significant block-by-block variation: always check your specific address. New competitor openings and closures happen weekly: the live tool ensures you see the latest picture.

Related Articles:


What Are the Best Neighborhoods in Tampa Bay to Open a Convenience Store?

Based on StreetSpring's 2026 analysis, the top neighborhood for a Convenience Store in Tampa Bay is Oakford Park, at 84.6% at a good address and 80.3% at a typical address (2 ranked neighborhoods share the 84.6% good-address figure), followed by Fair Oaks-Manhattan Manor and Bayshore Beautiful. 12 of the 13 ranked neighborhoods are at or above 70% at a typical address.

Our live tool reflects the latest competitive landscape: these static rankings may already be slightly out of date.


Can a Convenience Store Succeed in Lower-Ranked Neighborhoods in Tampa Bay?

Yes, neighborhood averages mask significant block-by-block variation. Even in neighborhoods ranked outside the top 10, individual storefronts with strong foot traffic, low direct competition, and favorable lease terms can outperform the area average. A low-ranking neighborhood can still contain high-potential storefronts: the address matters most. Always check your specific address in StreetSpring's live platform for the most accurate prediction.


How Often Are Convenience Store Rankings in Tampa Bay Updated?

StreetSpring recalculates survivability scores regularly using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data. Rankings are updated quarterly; the live tool always reflects the most current predictions for any address in Tampa Bay.


Is a Convenience Store a Good Tenant for Tampa Bay Landlords?

In Oakford Park, the projected chance that a new Convenience Store lasts two or more years is 80.3% at a typical address and 84.6% at a good address, depending on the exact storefront. Check the current Survivability Score for any address instantly.

Landlord Survivability Data for Convenience Store in Tampa Bay

For Convenience Store tenants in Tampa Bay's three top-ranked neighborhoods, the projected chance of lasting two or more years at a typical address is:

  1. Oakford Park: 80.3%
  2. Fair Oaks-Manhattan Manor: 75.9%
  3. Bayshore Beautiful: 72.2%

You can see the Survivability Score for your location for any business right now.

With StreetSpring, you can see the precise probability of success for countless business models at any exact location.

Related: How Landlord Representatives Can Reduce Vacancy & Increase Tenant Longevity


What Are the Best Neighborhoods in or Around Tampa Bay for My Business Overall?

You can see the best neighborhoods in or around Tampa Bay to open any type of business in our article Neighborhood Survivability Rankings: Tampa Bay.

  • Business Survivability Rankings: Tampa Bay: See how Convenience Store compares to all other business types in Tampa Bay
  • Best Cities to Open a Convenience Store in the US: National city-level survivability rankings for Convenience Store
  • Business Survivability in Oakford Park, Tampa Bay: All business types ranked in the #1 neighborhood
  • Business Survivability in Fair Oaks-Manhattan Manor, Tampa Bay: All business types ranked in the #2 neighborhood
  • Business Survivability in Bayshore Beautiful, Tampa Bay: All business types ranked in the #3 neighborhood

Technical note: Aggregated survivability rankings for Tampa Bay are available in machine-readable format for research and integration purposes.

View technical data for Tampa Bay

StreetSpring recalculates survivability using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data, so the live score may differ from the figures shown here.