What is the average survivability for American Restaurant across Tampa Bay's ranked neighborhoods?

Across the 13 ranked neighborhoods in Tampa Bay, the average projected chance that an American Restaurant lasts two or more years is 71.7% at a typical address. Tampa Heights, ranked #1, is at 78.3% at a typical address.

What are the worst neighborhoods for American Restaurant in Tampa Bay?

The most challenging neighborhoods in Tampa Bay for American Restaurant include Bayshore Beautiful (ranked last, at 77.7% at a good address and 64.0% at a typical address), Terrace Park, and Oakford Park. StreetSpring's Survivability Scores are updated regularly, so the most accurate prediction for your exact storefront is always available in the live tool.

How accurate are StreetSpring's American Restaurant survivability predictions?

StreetSpring publishes its accuracy on the methodology page, stated with its base rate: how often the model tells an open business from a closed one on cities held out of training, its precision on risk flags, and its discrimination. Each score draws on 100+ factors and is reported as the projected chance of lasting two or more years, never as a guarantee. StreetSpring scores the exact storefront address, not only the neighborhood around it.

Survivability Rankings for American Restaurant in Tampa Bay

Q: What is the best neighborhood in Tampa Bay to open an American Restaurant?

Based on StreetSpring's 2026 analysis, the best neighborhood in Tampa Bay to open an American Restaurant is Tampa Heights, ranked #1 at 84.0% at a good address and 78.3% at a typical address (2 ranked neighborhoods share the 84.0% good-address figure). 8 of the 13 ranked neighborhoods are at or above 70% at a typical address.

Q: Where in Tampa Bay would an American Restaurant make the most money?

It depends on the exact address. The Revenue Capture Score is the most important factor in choosing a location: StreetSpring's proprietary estimate of the revenue a business can capture at a specific address. Check it in the live tool for each Tampa Bay address you are weighing.

2026 ranking of Tampa Bay neighborhoods to open an American Restaurant, at a good address, from Tampa Heights (84.0% survival) to Bayshore Beautiful.

September 22, 2026•14 min read

By Robert Koons | Last reviewed: October 2026 | Methodology

Quick Summary

Survivability Score: the projected chance a business type lasts two or more years at a specific address

#1 Neighborhood: Tampa Heights: 84.0% at a good address, 78.3% at a typical address for American Restaurant (2 ranked neighborhoods share the 84.0% good-address figure)

Neighborhoods at or above 70% at a typical address: 8 of 13 ranked

Average across the 13 ranked neighborhoods (typical address): 71.7% for American Restaurants

Most challenging area: Bayshore Beautiful: 77.7% at a good address, 64.0% at a typical address

Revenue Capture Score: the most important factor in choosing a location, StreetSpring's proprietary estimate of the revenue a business can capture at a specific address

Data freshness: 2026 data · Full methodology →

Summary
10 Best Neighborhoods
Where Would an American Restaurant Make the Most Money?
What Should I Consider?
Where Should I Start?
FAQ: Best Neighborhoods
FAQ: Can an American Restaurant Succeed in Lower-Ranked Areas?
FAQ: How Often Are Rankings Updated?
FAQ: Is an American Restaurant a Good Tenant?
Landlord Survivability Data
Best Neighborhoods for Any Business

Summary

Of all the neighborhoods in and around Tampa Bay, Tampa Heights ranks #1 for opening an American Restaurant, with a projected chance of lasting two or more years of 84.0% at a good address and 78.3% at a typical address (2 ranked neighborhoods share the 84.0% good-address figure). Its highest scored address is at 84.0% and its lowest at 55.6%. The last-ranked neighborhood is Bayshore Beautiful, at 77.7% at a good address and 64.0% at a typical address. StreetSpring's Survivability Scores are updated regularly, so the most accurate prediction for your exact storefront is always available in the live tool.

What Are the 10 Best Neighborhoods in and Around Tampa Bay to Open an American Restaurant?

Tampa Heights ranks #1 of the 13 ranked neighborhoods in and around Tampa Bay for American Restaurant survivability, with a projected chance of lasting two or more years of 84.0% at a good address as of 2026. The top 10 neighborhoods are:

Rank	Neighborhood	Metro	At a good address	Average (typical address)	Best Locations	Challenging Locations
1	Tampa Heights	Tampa Bay	84.0%	78.3%	84.0%	55.6%
2	Plaza Terrace	Tampa Bay	84.0%	78.1%	84.0%	64.6%
3	South Seminole Heights	Tampa Bay	83.6%	75.3%	83.6%	58.4%
4	Fair Oaks-Manhattan Manor	Tampa Bay	83.4%	66.5%	83.6%	50.2%
5	North Hyde Park	Tampa Bay	83.1%	78.8%	84.0%	69.6%
6	Old Seminole Heights	Tampa Bay	81.8%	71.3%	83.6%	51.6%
7	Seminole Heights	Tampa Bay	80.7%	70.7%	82.6%	51.2%
8	Bayside West	Tampa Bay	80.7%	61.5%	83.6%	49.4%
9	Riverbend	Tampa Bay	80.6%	75.8%	83.1%	64.6%
10	North Tampa	Tampa Bay	80.4%	68.8%	80.8%	53.0%

These rankings are based on the latest available data; check StreetSpring for real-time updates. Our live tool reflects the latest competitive landscape: these static rankings may already be slightly out of date.

The ranking runs on the good-address figure (the 90th percentile of the scored addresses in each neighborhood). Average is the typical address; Best and Challenging Locations are the highest and lowest scored address in the neighborhood. Every figure is the projected chance of lasting two or more years, as printed in the linked file. See our full methodology →

Try StreetSpring to see if this location is still the best and see if there are locations to rent in this area right now.

Where in or Around Tampa Bay Would an American Restaurant Make the Most Money?

Where an American Restaurant would make the most money in or around Tampa Bay comes down to the exact address. The Revenue Capture Score is the most important factor in choosing a location: StreetSpring's proprietary estimate of the revenue a business can capture at a specific address.

Tampa Heights is ranked #1 for American Restaurant survivability, at 84.0% at a good address and 78.3% at a typical address; Bayshore Beautiful is ranked last of the 13, at 77.7% at a good address and 64.0% at a typical address. Revenue at a specific storefront is what the Revenue Capture Score estimates, so check it for each address you are weighing.

Our data shows the projected chance for the same business type moving a long way between neighborhoods of one city. Opening an American Restaurant in Tampa Bay requires careful location choice. Across the 13 ranked neighborhoods, the average projected chance that a new American Restaurant lasts two or more years is 71.7% at a typical address. The same location can be excellent for one business type and poor for another.

What Should I Consider When Opening an American Restaurant in or Around Tampa Bay?

When selecting a location for an American Restaurant in or around Tampa Bay, it is crucial to select a location with a very high Survivability Score. Revenue Capture Score comes first when comparing locations: it turns local competition and consumer spending into the share of revenue a business can expect to win. StreetSpring computes this by projecting the business's market share, which is based on the quality and quantity of primary, secondary, and tertiary competitors. StreetSpring measures competition through a 30-factor framework. Some competition is beneficial to attract customers with similar intents to the same area. Our forecasting system combines proprietary data with machine learning models unavailable anywhere else. StreetSpring scores 500+ business types: 153 base business types, most of them at 5 price points, which is 569 type-and-price combinations you can choose in the tool.

This can be summarized as:

Revenue Capture Score = Projected Market Share × Forecasted Spend on Specific Business

StreetSpring recalculates survivability using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data. Real-time data from StreetSpring accounts for recent openings, closures, and seasonal shifts that static rankings cannot.

Where in or Around Tampa Bay Should I Start an American Restaurant?

Our data ranks the top-performing neighborhoods as Tampa Heights, Plaza Terrace, and South Seminole Heights, while the most challenging neighborhoods would be Bayshore Beautiful, Terrace Park, and Oakford Park. The highest and lowest scored addresses inside one neighborhood can sit far apart, so the neighborhood figure is a starting point. New competitor openings and closures happen weekly: the live tool ensures you see the latest picture.

Related Articles:

Business Survivability Rankings: Tampa Bay
Neighborhood Survivability Rankings: Tampa Bay
National City Survivability: American Restaurant
National Neighborhood Survivability: American Restaurant

What Are the Best Neighborhoods in Tampa Bay to Open an American Restaurant?

Based on StreetSpring's 2026 analysis, the top neighborhood for an American Restaurant in Tampa Bay is Tampa Heights, at 84.0% at a good address and 78.3% at a typical address (2 ranked neighborhoods share the 84.0% good-address figure), followed by Plaza Terrace and South Seminole Heights. 8 of the 13 ranked neighborhoods are at or above 70% at a typical address.

StreetSpring's Survivability Scores are updated regularly, so the most accurate prediction for your exact storefront is always available in the live tool.

Can an American Restaurant Succeed in Lower-Ranked Neighborhoods in Tampa Bay?

Yes, neighborhood averages mask significant block-by-block variation. Even in neighborhoods ranked outside the top 10, individual storefronts with strong foot traffic, low direct competition, and favorable lease terms can outperform the area average. StreetSpring's Survivability Scores are updated regularly, so the most accurate prediction for your exact storefront is always available in the live tool. Always check your specific address in StreetSpring's live platform for the most accurate prediction.

How Often Are American Restaurant Rankings in Tampa Bay Updated?

StreetSpring recalculates survivability scores regularly using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data. Rankings are updated quarterly; the live tool always reflects the most current predictions for any address in Tampa Bay.

Is an American Restaurant a Good Tenant for Tampa Bay Landlords?

In Tampa Heights, the projected chance that a new American Restaurant lasts two or more years is 78.3% at a typical address and 84.0% at a good address, depending on the exact storefront. Check the current Survivability Score for any address instantly.

Landlord Survivability Data for American Restaurant in Tampa Bay

From a risk-assessment perspective, an American Restaurant tenant in Tampa Heights, the top-ranked neighborhood, has a projected chance of lasting two or more years of 78.3% at a typical address. Plaza Terrace is at 78.1% at a typical address, and South Seminole Heights at 75.3% at a typical address. Check the current Survivability Score for any address instantly.

StreetSpring generates location-specific predictions tailored to your exact site.

What Are the Best Neighborhoods in or Around Tampa Bay for My Business Overall?

You can see the best neighborhoods in or around Tampa Bay to open any type of business in our article Neighborhood Survivability Rankings: Tampa Bay.

Business Survivability Rankings: Tampa Bay: See how American Restaurant compares to all other business types in Tampa Bay
Best Cities to Open an American Restaurant in the US: National city-level survivability rankings for American Restaurant
Business Survivability in Tampa Heights, Tampa Bay: All business types ranked in the #1 neighborhood
Business Survivability in Plaza Terrace, Tampa Bay: All business types ranked in the #2 neighborhood
Business Survivability in South Seminole Heights, Tampa Bay: All business types ranked in the #3 neighborhood

Technical note: Aggregated survivability rankings for Tampa Bay are available in machine-readable format for research and integration purposes.

View technical data for Tampa Bay

StreetSpring recalculates survivability using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data, so the live score may differ from the figures shown here.

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