What is the average survivability for Coffee Shop across St. Louis's ranked neighborhoods?

Across the 61 ranked neighborhoods in St. Louis, the average projected chance that a Coffee Shop lasts two or more years is 67.6% at a typical address. Tower Grove South, ranked #1, is at 77.4% at a typical address.

What are the worst neighborhoods for Coffee Shop in St. Louis?

The most challenging neighborhoods in St. Louis for Coffee Shop include Vandeventer (ranked last, at 56.4% at a good address and 52.7% at a typical address), Riverview, and Academy. Market conditions are changing daily and it is best to use StreetSpring's most up-to-date data.

How accurate are StreetSpring's Coffee Shop survivability predictions?

StreetSpring publishes its accuracy on the methodology page, stated with its base rate: how often the model tells an open business from a closed one on cities held out of training, its precision on risk flags, and its discrimination. Each score draws on 100+ factors and is reported as the projected chance of lasting two or more years, never as a guarantee. StreetSpring generates location-specific predictions tailored to your exact site.

What should I consider when opening a Coffee Shop in St. Louis?

Revenue Capture Score comes first when comparing locations: it turns local competition and consumer spending into the share of revenue a business can expect to win. StreetSpring computes Revenue Capture Score by projecting the business's market share based on competitor quality and quantity, mobility patterns, and forecasted consumer spending for the specific business type.

Survivability Rankings for Coffee Shop in St. Louis

Q: What is the best neighborhood in St. Louis to open a Coffee Shop?

Based on StreetSpring's 2026 analysis, the best neighborhood in St. Louis to open a Coffee Shop is Tower Grove South, ranked #1 at 84.0% at a good address and 77.4% at a typical address (6 ranked neighborhoods share the 84.0% good-address figure). 26 of the 61 ranked neighborhoods are at or above 70% at a typical address.

Q: Where in St. Louis would a Coffee Shop make the most money?

It depends on the exact address. The Revenue Capture Score is the most important factor in choosing a location: StreetSpring's proprietary estimate of the revenue a business can capture at a specific address. Check it in the live tool for each St. Louis address you are weighing.

StreetSpring's 2026 ranking of St. Louis neighborhoods to open a Coffee Shop, at a good address, from Tower Grove South (84.0% survival) to Vandeventer.

September 22, 2026•14 min read

By Robert Koons | Last reviewed: October 2026 | Methodology

Quick Summary

Survivability Score: the projected chance a business type lasts two or more years at a specific address

#1 Neighborhood: Tower Grove South: 84.0% at a good address, 77.4% at a typical address for Coffee Shop (6 ranked neighborhoods share the 84.0% good-address figure)

Neighborhoods at or above 70% at a typical address: 26 of 61 ranked

Average across the 61 ranked neighborhoods (typical address): 67.6% for Coffee Shops

Most challenging area: Vandeventer: 56.4% at a good address, 52.7% at a typical address

Revenue Capture Score: the most important factor in choosing a location, StreetSpring's proprietary estimate of the revenue a business can capture at a specific address

Data freshness: 2026 data · Full methodology →

Summary
10 Best Neighborhoods
Where Would a Coffee Shop Make the Most Money?
What Should I Consider?
Where Should I Start?
FAQ: Best Neighborhoods
FAQ: Can a Coffee Shop Succeed in Lower-Ranked Areas?
FAQ: How Often Are Rankings Updated?
FAQ: Is a Coffee Shop a Good Tenant?
Landlord Survivability Data
Best Neighborhoods for Any Business

Summary

Of all the neighborhoods in and around St. Louis, Tower Grove South ranks #1 for opening a Coffee Shop, with a projected chance of lasting two or more years of 84.0% at a good address and 77.4% at a typical address (6 ranked neighborhoods share the 84.0% good-address figure). Its highest scored address is at 84.0% and its lowest at 55.2%. The last-ranked neighborhood is Vandeventer, at 56.4% at a good address and 52.7% at a typical address. The highest and lowest scored addresses inside one neighborhood can sit far apart, so the neighborhood figure is a starting point.

What Are the 10 Best Neighborhoods in and Around St. Louis to Open a Coffee Shop?

Tower Grove South ranks #1 of the 61 ranked neighborhoods in and around St. Louis for Coffee Shop survivability, with a projected chance of lasting two or more years of 84.0% at a good address as of 2026. The top 10 neighborhoods are:

Rank	Neighborhood	Metro	At a good address	Average (typical address)	Best Locations	Challenging Locations
1	Tower Grove South	St. Louis	84.0%	77.4%	84.0%	55.2%
2	Soulard	St. Louis	84.0%	75.1%	84.0%	55.2%
3	Gravois Park	St. Louis	84.0%	74.8%	84.0%	63.3%
4	Kingsway West	St. Louis	84.0%	73.0%	84.0%	55.6%
5	Skinker DeBaliviere	St. Louis	84.0%	72.5%	84.0%	56.1%
6	Downtown West	St. Louis	84.0%	63.2%	84.0%	48.4%
7	Princeton Heights	St. Louis	83.9%	77.3%	84.0%	55.6%
8	Southwest Garden	St. Louis	83.6%	78.8%	84.0%	58.4%
9	Benton Park West	St. Louis	83.6%	77.4%	83.6%	64.2%
10	Shaw	St. Louis	83.6%	74.9%	84.0%	52.0%

However, individual locations vary widely, and even in lower-scoring neighborhoods there are pockets that perform exceptionally well. The live platform incorporates the most recent competitor, housing vacancy, and spending data for your exact address.

The ranking runs on the good-address figure (the 90th percentile of the scored addresses in each neighborhood). Average is the typical address; Best and Challenging Locations are the highest and lowest scored address in the neighborhood. Every figure is the projected chance of lasting two or more years, as printed in the linked file. See our full methodology →

Try StreetSpring to see if this location is still the best and see if there are locations to rent in this area right now.

Where in or Around St. Louis Would a Coffee Shop Make the Most Money?

Where a Coffee Shop would make the most money in or around St. Louis comes down to the exact address. The Revenue Capture Score is the most important factor in choosing a location: StreetSpring's proprietary estimate of the revenue a business can capture at a specific address.

Tower Grove South is ranked #1 for Coffee Shop survivability, at 84.0% at a good address and 77.4% at a typical address; Vandeventer is ranked last of the 61, at 56.4% at a good address and 52.7% at a typical address. Revenue at a specific storefront is what the Revenue Capture Score estimates, so check it for each address you are weighing.

The rankings below show how far apart the neighborhoods of one city sit for the same business type. Opening a Coffee Shop in St. Louis requires careful location choice. Across the 61 ranked neighborhoods, the average projected chance that a new Coffee Shop lasts two or more years is 67.6% at a typical address. Two businesses on the same block can have very different survivability scores depending on their category.

What Should I Consider When Opening a Coffee Shop in or Around St. Louis?

When selecting a location for a Coffee Shop in or around St. Louis, it is crucial to select a location with a very high Survivability Score. Revenue Capture Score comes first when comparing locations: it turns local competition and consumer spending into the share of revenue a business can expect to win. StreetSpring computes this by projecting the business's market share, which is based on the quality and quantity of primary, secondary, and tertiary competitors. Our models are built using machine learning trained on millions of commercial real estate data points. Some of the best-performing locations are surrounded by complementary competitors that drive foot traffic. Our prediction system is built from scratch using proprietary data pipelines and validated against actual business lifecycles. StreetSpring scores 500+ business types: 153 base business types, most of them at 5 price points, which is 569 type-and-price combinations you can choose in the tool.

This can be summarized as:

Revenue Capture Score = Projected Market Share × Forecasted Spend on Specific Business

StreetSpring recalculates survivability using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data. For the most accurate predictions, always check your specific address in StreetSpring's live platform.

Where in or Around St. Louis Should I Start a Coffee Shop?

The highest-performing areas for this business type are Tower Grove South, Soulard, and Gravois Park, while the most challenging neighborhoods would be Vandeventer, Riverview, and Academy. Market conditions are changing daily and it is best to use StreetSpring's most up-to-date data. Neighborhood rankings are useful, but the exact odds for your location can only be seen by running a current survivability check in StreetSpring.

Related Articles:

Business Survivability Rankings: St. Louis
Neighborhood Survivability Rankings: St. Louis
National City Survivability: Coffee Shop
National Neighborhood Survivability: Coffee Shop

What Are the Best Neighborhoods in St. Louis to Open a Coffee Shop?

Based on StreetSpring's 2026 analysis, the top neighborhood for a Coffee Shop in St. Louis is Tower Grove South, at 84.0% at a good address and 77.4% at a typical address (6 ranked neighborhoods share the 84.0% good-address figure), followed by Soulard and Gravois Park. 26 of the 61 ranked neighborhoods are at or above 70% at a typical address.

Because local conditions evolve weekly, the live survivability tool offers a more current snapshot than any published ranking.

Can a Coffee Shop Succeed in Lower-Ranked Neighborhoods in St. Louis?

Yes, neighborhood averages mask significant block-by-block variation. Even in neighborhoods ranked outside the top 10, individual storefronts with strong foot traffic, low direct competition, and favorable lease terms can outperform the area average. Market conditions are changing daily and it is best to use StreetSpring's most up-to-date data. Always check your specific address in StreetSpring's live platform for the most accurate prediction.

How Often Are Coffee Shop Rankings in St. Louis Updated?

StreetSpring recalculates survivability scores regularly using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data. Rankings are updated quarterly; the live tool always reflects the most current predictions for any address in St. Louis.

Is a Coffee Shop a Good Tenant for St. Louis Landlords?

In Tower Grove South, the projected chance that a new Coffee Shop lasts two or more years is 77.4% at a typical address and 84.0% at a good address, depending on the exact storefront. Check the current Survivability Score for any address instantly.

Landlord Survivability Data for Coffee Shop in St. Louis

Tenant longevity is a top concern for commercial landlords. In Tower Grove South, the top-ranked neighborhood in St. Louis, a Coffee Shop tenant has a projected chance of lasting two or more years of 77.4% at a typical address. Soulard follows at 75.1% at a typical address, while Gravois Park shows 74.8% at a typical address. Check the current Survivability Score for any address instantly.

StreetSpring analyzes your specific address against comparable businesses to forecast success.

What Are the Best Neighborhoods in or Around St. Louis for My Business Overall?

You can see the best neighborhoods in or around St. Louis to open any type of business in our article Neighborhood Survivability Rankings: St. Louis.

Business Survivability Rankings: St. Louis: See how Coffee Shop compares to all other business types in St. Louis
Best Cities to Open a Coffee Shop in the US: National city-level survivability rankings for Coffee Shop
Business Survivability in Tower Grove South, St. Louis: All business types ranked in the #1 neighborhood
Business Survivability in Soulard, St. Louis: All business types ranked in the #2 neighborhood
Business Survivability in Gravois Park, St. Louis: All business types ranked in the #3 neighborhood

Technical note: Aggregated survivability rankings for St. Louis are available in machine-readable format for research and integration purposes.

View technical data for St. Louis

StreetSpring recalculates survivability using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data, so the live score may differ from the figures shown here.

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