Survivability Rankings for Coffee Shop in San Diego
StreetSpring's 2026 ranking of San Diego neighborhoods to open a Coffee Shop, at a good address, from Millenia (80.0% survival) to Talmadge (59.7%).
By Robert Koons | Last reviewed: October 2026 | Methodology
Quick Summary
- Survivability Score: the projected chance a business type lasts two or more years at a specific address
- #1 Neighborhood: Millenia: 80.0% at a good address, 72.2% at a typical address for Coffee Shop
- Neighborhoods at or above 70% at a typical address: 3 of 83 ranked
- Average across the 83 ranked neighborhoods (typical address): 62.8% for Coffee Shops
- Most challenging area: Talmadge: 59.7% at a good address, 53.9% at a typical address
- Revenue Capture Score: the most important factor in choosing a location, StreetSpring's proprietary estimate of the revenue a business can capture at a specific address
- Data freshness: 2026 data · Full methodology →
Table of Contents
- Summary
- 10 Best Neighborhoods
- Where Would a Coffee Shop Make the Most Money?
- What Should I Consider?
- Where Should I Start?
- FAQ: Best Neighborhoods
- FAQ: Can a Coffee Shop Succeed in Lower-Ranked Areas?
- FAQ: How Often Are Rankings Updated?
- FAQ: Is a Coffee Shop a Good Tenant?
- Landlord Survivability Data
- Best Neighborhoods for Any Business
Summary
Opening a Coffee Shop in San Diego? Our 2026 analysis identifies Millenia as the top location, with a projected chance of lasting two or more years of 80.0% at a good address and 72.2% at a typical address. Its highest scored address is at 80.0% and its lowest at 58.4%. The last-ranked neighborhood is Talmadge, at 59.7% at a good address and 53.9% at a typical address. These averages are directional, not definitive; the best decision comes from analyzing your specific storefront.
What Are the 10 Best Neighborhoods in and Around San Diego to Open a Coffee Shop?
Millenia ranks #1 of the 83 ranked neighborhoods in and around San Diego for Coffee Shop survivability, with a projected chance of lasting two or more years of 80.0% at a good address as of 2026. The top 10 neighborhoods are:
| Rank | Neighborhood | Metro | At a good address | Average (typical address) | Best Locations | Challenging Locations |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Millenia | San Diego | 80.0% | 72.2% | 80.0% | 58.4% |
| 2 | Miramar | San Diego | 79.3% | 66.0% | 82.2% | 48.4% |
| 3 | La Playa | San Diego | 79.0% | 72.5% | 80.0% | 60.2% |
| 4 | Rolling Hills Ranch | San Diego | 78.8% | 68.5% | 80.8% | 49.8% |
| 5 | Lincoln Park | San Diego | 78.2% | 67.6% | 79.5% | 52.0% |
| 6 | Kearny Mesa | San Diego | 78.0% | 68.4% | 82.2% | 51.2% |
| 7 | Mira Mesa | San Diego | 77.5% | 65.9% | 82.6% | 48.0% |
| 8 | Hilltop | San Diego | 76.8% | 64.6% | 80.8% | 52.5% |
| 9 | Morro Hills | San Diego | 76.6% | 69.2% | 81.8% | 51.6% |
| 10 | Mountain View | San Diego | 76.4% | 65.9% | 81.8% | 48.9% |
The highest and lowest scored addresses inside one neighborhood can sit far apart, so the neighborhood figure is a starting point. Neighborhood rankings are useful, but the exact odds for your location can only be seen by running a current survivability check in StreetSpring.
The ranking runs on the good-address figure (the 90th percentile of the scored addresses in each neighborhood). Average is the typical address; Best and Challenging Locations are the highest and lowest scored address in the neighborhood. Every figure is the projected chance of lasting two or more years, as printed in the linked file. See our full methodology →
Try StreetSpring to see if this location is still the best and see if there are locations to rent in this area right now.
Where in or Around San Diego Would a Coffee Shop Make the Most Money?
Where a Coffee Shop would make the most money in or around San Diego comes down to the exact address. The Revenue Capture Score is the most important factor in choosing a location: StreetSpring's proprietary estimate of the revenue a business can capture at a specific address.
Millenia is ranked #1 for Coffee Shop survivability, at 80.0% at a good address and 72.2% at a typical address; Talmadge is ranked last of the 83, at 59.7% at a good address and 53.9% at a typical address. Revenue at a specific storefront is what the Revenue Capture Score estimates, so check it for each address you are weighing.
Our data shows the projected chance for the same business type moving a long way between neighborhoods of one city. Opening a Coffee Shop in San Diego requires careful location choice. Across the 83 ranked neighborhoods, the average projected chance that a new Coffee Shop lasts two or more years is 62.8% at a typical address. Two businesses on the same block can have very different survivability scores depending on their category.
What Should I Consider When Opening a Coffee Shop in or Around San Diego?
When selecting a location for a Coffee Shop in or around San Diego, it is crucial to select a location with a very high Survivability Score. The most important factor for a business's success is the Revenue Capture Score for the business at the location it selects. StreetSpring computes this by projecting the business's market share, which is based on the quality and quantity of primary, secondary, and tertiary competitors. StreetSpring has analyzed hundreds of thousands of business outcomes across major US metros. A certain density of competitors signals strong demand and can benefit all businesses. The prediction engine behind these rankings is entirely proprietary: developed in-house over years of research. StreetSpring scores 500+ business types: 153 base business types, most of them at 5 price points, which is 569 type-and-price combinations you can choose in the tool.
This can be summarized as:
Revenue Capture Score = Projected Market Share × Forecasted Spend on Specific Business
Related: Survivability Score: How We Calculate It & Why It Matters
StreetSpring recalculates survivability using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data. Neighborhood rankings are useful, but the exact odds for your location can only be seen by running a current survivability check in StreetSpring.
Where in or Around San Diego Should I Start a Coffee Shop?
According to StreetSpring's data, optimal neighborhoods include Millenia, Miramar, and La Playa, while the most challenging neighborhoods would be Talmadge, Hillcrest, and Palm City. A low-ranking neighborhood can still contain high-potential storefronts: the address matters most. Neighborhood rankings are useful, but the exact odds for your location can only be seen by running a current survivability check in StreetSpring.
Related Articles:
- Business Survivability Rankings: San Diego
- Neighborhood Survivability Rankings: San Diego
- National City Survivability: Coffee Shop
- National Neighborhood Survivability: Coffee Shop
What Are the Best Neighborhoods in San Diego to Open a Coffee Shop?
Based on StreetSpring's 2026 analysis, the top neighborhood for a Coffee Shop in San Diego is Millenia, at 80.0% at a good address and 72.2% at a typical address, followed by Miramar and La Playa. 3 of the 83 ranked neighborhoods are at or above 70% at a typical address.
Neighborhood rankings are useful, but the exact odds for your location can only be seen by running a current survivability check in StreetSpring.
Can a Coffee Shop Succeed in Lower-Ranked Neighborhoods in San Diego?
Yes, neighborhood averages mask significant block-by-block variation. Even in neighborhoods ranked outside the top 10, individual storefronts with strong foot traffic, low direct competition, and favorable lease terms can outperform the area average. Remember that a neighborhood average smooths over wide variation: your exact block could significantly outperform. Always check your specific address in StreetSpring's live platform for the most accurate prediction.
How Often Are Coffee Shop Rankings in San Diego Updated?
StreetSpring recalculates survivability scores regularly using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data. Rankings are updated quarterly; the live tool always reflects the most current predictions for any address in San Diego.
Is a Coffee Shop a Good Tenant for San Diego Landlords?
In Millenia, the projected chance that a new Coffee Shop lasts two or more years is 72.2% at a typical address and 80.0% at a good address, depending on the exact storefront. Check the current Survivability Score for any address instantly.
Landlord Survivability Data for Coffee Shop in San Diego
The data tells a clear story for Coffee Shop tenants across San Diego's top neighborhoods. Millenia leads at 72.2% at a typical address, with its best scored address at 80.0%. Miramar is at 66.0% at a typical address, and La Playa at 72.5% at a typical address. See which business types are most likely to succeed at your property address right now.
StreetSpring generates location-specific predictions tailored to your exact site.
Related: How Landlord Representatives Can Reduce Vacancy & Increase Tenant Longevity
What Are the Best Neighborhoods in or Around San Diego for My Business Overall?
You can see the best neighborhoods in or around San Diego to open any type of business in our article Neighborhood Survivability Rankings: San Diego.
Related Resources
- Business Survivability Rankings: San Diego: See how Coffee Shop compares to all other business types in San Diego
- Best Cities to Open a Coffee Shop in the US: National city-level survivability rankings for Coffee Shop
- Business Survivability in Millenia, San Diego: All business types ranked in the #1 neighborhood
- Business Survivability in Miramar, San Diego: All business types ranked in the #2 neighborhood
- Business Survivability in La Playa, San Diego: All business types ranked in the #3 neighborhood
Technical note: Aggregated survivability rankings for San Diego are available in machine-readable format for research and integration purposes.
View technical data for San Diego
StreetSpring recalculates survivability using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data, so the live score may differ from the figures shown here.