What is the best neighborhood in New York City to open a Smoke Shop?

Based on StreetSpring's 2026 analysis, the best neighborhood in New York City to open a Smoke Shop is Jamaica Estates, ranked #1 at 85.0% at a good address and 73.2% at a typical address. 22 of the 180 ranked neighborhoods are at or above 70% at a typical address.

What is the average survivability for Smoke Shop across New York City's ranked neighborhoods?

Across the 180 ranked neighborhoods in New York City, the average projected chance that a Smoke Shop lasts two or more years is 61.3% at a typical address. Jamaica Estates, ranked #1, is at 73.2% at a typical address.

What are the worst neighborhoods for Smoke Shop in New York City?

The most challenging neighborhoods in New York City for Smoke Shop include Tudor City (ranked last, at 53.0% at a good address and 51.0% at a typical address), Gramercy, and Melrose. The highest and lowest scored addresses inside one neighborhood can sit far apart, so the neighborhood figure is a starting point.

How accurate are StreetSpring's Smoke Shop survivability predictions?

StreetSpring publishes its accuracy on the methodology page, stated with its base rate: how often the model tells an open business from a closed one on cities held out of training, its precision on risk flags, and its discrimination. Each score draws on 100+ factors and is reported as the projected chance of lasting two or more years, never as a guarantee. StreetSpring delivers address-level predictions, showing how likely hundreds of different businesses are to last at that exact spot.

Survivability Rankings for Smoke Shop in New York City

Q: Where in New York City would a Smoke Shop make the most money?

It depends on the exact address. The Revenue Capture Score is the most important factor in choosing a location: StreetSpring's proprietary estimate of the revenue a business can capture at a specific address. Check it in the live tool for each New York City address you are weighing.

Q: Can a Smoke Shop succeed in lower-ranked neighborhoods in New York City?

Yes, neighborhood rankings are averages that mask significant block-by-block variation. Even in neighborhoods ranked outside the top 10, individual storefronts with strong foot traffic, low direct competition, and favorable lease terms can outperform the area average. The live platform incorporates the most recent competitor, housing vacancy, and spending data for your exact address.

StreetSpring's 2026 ranking of New York City neighborhoods to open a Smoke Shop, at a good address, from Jamaica Estates (85.0% survival) to Tudor City.

September 22, 2026•14 min read

By Robert Koons | Last reviewed: October 2026 | Methodology

Quick Summary

Survivability Score: the projected chance a business type lasts two or more years at a specific address

#1 Neighborhood: Jamaica Estates: 85.0% at a good address, 73.2% at a typical address for Smoke Shop

Neighborhoods at or above 70% at a typical address: 22 of 180 ranked

Average across the 180 ranked neighborhoods (typical address): 61.3% for Smoke Shops

Most challenging area: Tudor City: 53.0% at a good address, 51.0% at a typical address

Revenue Capture Score: the most important factor in choosing a location, StreetSpring's proprietary estimate of the revenue a business can capture at a specific address

Data freshness: 2026 data · Full methodology →

Summary
10 Best Neighborhoods
Where Would a Smoke Shop Make the Most Money?
What Should I Consider?
Where Should I Start?
FAQ: Best Neighborhoods
FAQ: Can a Smoke Shop Succeed in Lower-Ranked Areas?
FAQ: How Often Are Rankings Updated?
FAQ: Is a Smoke Shop a Good Tenant?
Landlord Survivability Data
Best Neighborhoods for Any Business

Summary

Of all the neighborhoods in and around New York City, Jamaica Estates ranks #1 for opening a Smoke Shop, with a projected chance of lasting two or more years of 85.0% at a good address and 73.2% at a typical address. Its highest scored address is at 85.0% and its lowest at 49.4%. The last-ranked neighborhood is Tudor City, at 53.0% at a good address and 51.0% at a typical address. These averages are directional, not definitive; the best decision comes from analyzing your specific storefront.

What Are the 10 Best Neighborhoods in and Around New York City to Open a Smoke Shop?

Jamaica Estates ranks #1 of the 180 ranked neighborhoods in and around New York City for Smoke Shop survivability, with a projected chance of lasting two or more years of 85.0% at a good address as of 2026. The top 10 neighborhoods are:

Rank	Neighborhood	Metro	At a good address	Average (typical address)	Best Locations	Challenging Locations
1	Jamaica Estates	New York City	85.0%	73.2%	85.0%	49.4%
2	Windsor Terrace	New York City	84.6%	81.1%	85.0%	56.2%
3	West Side, Jersey City	New York City	84.6%	79.6%	85.0%	54.0%
4	Hackensack Riverfront	New York City	84.6%	78.0%	85.0%	56.6%
5	Carroll Gardens	New York City	84.1%	79.6%	85.0%	69.7%
6	Bergen-Lafayette	New York City	84.1%	77.4%	85.0%	51.2%
7	Jersey City Heights	New York City	84.1%	76.5%	85.0%	58.0%
8	Briarwood	New York City	84.1%	65.8%	85.0%	49.0%
9	McGinley Square	New York City	83.6%	78.4%	84.1%	63.8%
10	The Waterfront (Jersey City)	New York City	83.6%	76.8%	84.6%	54.0%

Market conditions are changing daily and it is best to use StreetSpring's most up-to-date data. For the most accurate predictions, always check your specific address in StreetSpring's live platform.

The ranking runs on the good-address figure (the 90th percentile of the scored addresses in each neighborhood). Average is the typical address; Best and Challenging Locations are the highest and lowest scored address in the neighborhood. Every figure is the projected chance of lasting two or more years, as printed in the linked file. See our full methodology →

Try StreetSpring to see if this location is still the best and see if there are locations to rent in this area right now.

Where in or Around New York City Would a Smoke Shop Make the Most Money?

Where a Smoke Shop would make the most money in or around New York City comes down to the exact address. The Revenue Capture Score is the most important factor in choosing a location: StreetSpring's proprietary estimate of the revenue a business can capture at a specific address.

Jamaica Estates is ranked #1 for Smoke Shop survivability, at 85.0% at a good address and 73.2% at a typical address; Tudor City is ranked last of the 180, at 53.0% at a good address and 51.0% at a typical address. Revenue at a specific storefront is what the Revenue Capture Score estimates, so check it for each address you are weighing.

The same business type carries a different projected chance in every ranked neighborhood of a city, so the address is worth testing before you sign. Opening a Smoke Shop in New York City requires careful location choice. Across the 180 ranked neighborhoods, the average projected chance that a new Smoke Shop lasts two or more years is 61.3% at a typical address. Different business types will have different forecasted spend than others, and all of those would have different projections for each location.

What Should I Consider When Opening a Smoke Shop in or Around New York City?

When selecting a location for a Smoke Shop in or around New York City, it is crucial to select a location with a very high Survivability Score. StreetSpring's proprietary Revenue Capture Score, the revenue a business can capture at a specific address, is the factor that matters most when choosing where to open. StreetSpring computes this by projecting the business's market share, which is based on the quality and quantity of primary, secondary, and tertiary competitors. We incorporate data from thousands of neighborhoods and hundreds of thousands of individual businesses. Areas with complementary competitors tend to generate higher overall foot traffic. StreetSpring's proprietary algorithms power these predictions. StreetSpring scores 500+ business types: 153 base business types, most of them at 5 price points, which is 569 type-and-price combinations you can choose in the tool.

This can be summarized as:

Revenue Capture Score = Projected Market Share × Forecasted Spend on Specific Business

StreetSpring recalculates survivability using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data. Neighborhood rankings are useful, but the exact odds for your location can only be seen by running a current survivability check in StreetSpring.

Where in or Around New York City Should I Start a Smoke Shop?

The neighborhoods with the highest survivability for this business type are Jamaica Estates, Windsor Terrace, and West Side, Jersey City, while the most challenging neighborhoods would be Tudor City, Gramercy, and Melrose. Neighborhood averages mask significant block-by-block variation: always check your specific address. Market dynamics shift frequently; validate these insights with real-time data from StreetSpring.

Related Articles:

Business Survivability Rankings: New York City
Neighborhood Survivability Rankings: New York City
National City Survivability: Smoke Shop
National Neighborhood Survivability: Smoke Shop

What Are the Best Neighborhoods in New York City to Open a Smoke Shop?

Based on StreetSpring's 2026 analysis, the top neighborhood for a Smoke Shop in New York City is Jamaica Estates, at 85.0% at a good address and 73.2% at a typical address, followed by Windsor Terrace and West Side, Jersey City. 22 of the 180 ranked neighborhoods are at or above 70% at a typical address.

The live platform incorporates the most recent competitor, housing vacancy, and spending data for your exact address.

Can a Smoke Shop Succeed in Lower-Ranked Neighborhoods in New York City?

Yes, neighborhood averages mask significant block-by-block variation. Even in neighborhoods ranked outside the top 10, individual storefronts with strong foot traffic, low direct competition, and favorable lease terms can outperform the area average. A low-ranking neighborhood can still contain high-potential storefronts: the address matters most. Always check your specific address in StreetSpring's live platform for the most accurate prediction.

How Often Are Smoke Shop Rankings in New York City Updated?

StreetSpring recalculates survivability scores regularly using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data. Rankings are updated quarterly; the live tool always reflects the most current predictions for any address in New York City.

Is a Smoke Shop a Good Tenant for New York City Landlords?

In Jamaica Estates, the projected chance that a new Smoke Shop lasts two or more years is 73.2% at a typical address and 85.0% at a good address, depending on the exact storefront. Check the current Survivability Score for any address instantly.

Landlord Survivability Data for Smoke Shop in New York City

For Smoke Shop tenants in New York City's three top-ranked neighborhoods, the projected chance of lasting two or more years at a typical address is:

Jamaica Estates: 73.2%
Windsor Terrace: 81.1%
West Side, Jersey City: 79.6%

Check the current Survivability Score for any address instantly.

StreetSpring provides highly detailed forecasts: revealing how long hundreds of business types are likely to last at a specific address.

What Are the Best Neighborhoods in or Around New York City for My Business Overall?

You can see the best neighborhoods in or around New York City to open any type of business in our article Neighborhood Survivability Rankings: New York City.

Business Survivability Rankings: New York City: See how Smoke Shop compares to all other business types in New York City
Best Cities to Open a Smoke Shop in the US: National city-level survivability rankings for Smoke Shop
Business Survivability in Jamaica Estates, New York City: All business types ranked in the #1 neighborhood
Business Survivability in Windsor Terrace, New York City: All business types ranked in the #2 neighborhood
Business Survivability in West Side, Jersey City, New York City: All business types ranked in the #3 neighborhood

Technical note: Aggregated survivability rankings for New York City are available in machine-readable format for research and integration purposes.

View technical data for New York City

StreetSpring recalculates survivability using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data, so the live score may differ from the figures shown here.

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