What is the average survivability for Grocery Store across New York City's ranked neighborhoods?

Across the 180 ranked neighborhoods in New York City, the average projected chance that a Grocery Store lasts two or more years is 60.0% at a typical address. Greenpoint, ranked #1, is at 77.5% at a typical address.

What are the worst neighborhoods for Grocery Store in New York City?

The most challenging neighborhoods in New York City for Grocery Store include Gerritsen Beach (ranked last, at 51.6% at a good address and 50.3% at a typical address), Tudor City, and Flatlands. Even neighborhoods with modest average scores can harbor exceptional individual locations.

How accurate are StreetSpring's Grocery Store survivability predictions?

StreetSpring publishes its accuracy on the methodology page, stated with its base rate: how often the model tells an open business from a closed one on cities held out of training, its precision on risk flags, and its discrimination. Each score draws on 100+ factors and is reported as the projected chance of lasting two or more years, never as a guarantee. StreetSpring can give you the precise likelihood that hundreds of different businesses will last at an exact address.

What should I consider when opening a Grocery Store in New York City?

When evaluating a potential location, Revenue Capture Score should be the first number you look at. StreetSpring computes Revenue Capture Score by projecting the business's market share based on competitor quality and quantity, mobility patterns, and forecasted consumer spending for the specific business type.

Survivability Rankings for Grocery Store in New York City

Q: What is the best neighborhood in New York City to open a Grocery Store?

Based on StreetSpring's 2026 analysis, the best neighborhood in New York City to open a Grocery Store is Greenpoint, ranked #1 at 84.6% at a good address and 77.5% at a typical address (2 ranked neighborhoods share the 84.6% good-address figure). 14 of the 180 ranked neighborhoods are at or above 70% at a typical address.

Q: Where in New York City would a Grocery Store make the most money?

It depends on the exact address. The Revenue Capture Score is the most important factor in choosing a location: StreetSpring's proprietary estimate of the revenue a business can capture at a specific address. Check it in the live tool for each New York City address you are weighing.

Q: Can a Grocery Store succeed in lower-ranked neighborhoods in New York City?

Yes, neighborhood rankings are averages that mask significant block-by-block variation. Even in neighborhoods ranked outside the top 10, individual storefronts with strong foot traffic, low direct competition, and favorable lease terms can outperform the area average. Market dynamics shift frequently; validate these insights with real-time data from StreetSpring.

StreetSpring's 2026 ranking of New York City neighborhoods to open a Grocery Store, at a good address, from Greenpoint (84.6% survival) to Gerritsen Beach.

September 22, 2026•14 min read

By Robert Koons | Last reviewed: October 2026 | Methodology

Quick Summary

Survivability Score: the projected chance a business type lasts two or more years at a specific address

#1 Neighborhood: Greenpoint: 84.6% at a good address, 77.5% at a typical address for Grocery Store (2 ranked neighborhoods share the 84.6% good-address figure)

Neighborhoods at or above 70% at a typical address: 14 of 180 ranked

Average across the 180 ranked neighborhoods (typical address): 60.0% for Grocery Stores

Most challenging area: Gerritsen Beach: 51.6% at a good address, 50.3% at a typical address

Revenue Capture Score: the most important factor in choosing a location, StreetSpring's proprietary estimate of the revenue a business can capture at a specific address

Data freshness: 2026 data · Full methodology →

Summary
10 Best Neighborhoods
Where Would a Grocery Store Make the Most Money?
What Should I Consider?
Where Should I Start?
FAQ: Best Neighborhoods
FAQ: Can a Grocery Store Succeed in Lower-Ranked Areas?
FAQ: How Often Are Rankings Updated?
FAQ: Is a Grocery Store a Good Tenant?
Landlord Survivability Data
Best Neighborhoods for Any Business

Summary

Opening a Grocery Store in New York City? Our 2026 analysis identifies Greenpoint as the top location, with a projected chance of lasting two or more years of 84.6% at a good address and 77.5% at a typical address (2 ranked neighborhoods share the 84.6% good-address figure). Its highest scored address is at 85.0% and its lowest at 50.4%. The last-ranked neighborhood is Gerritsen Beach, at 51.6% at a good address and 50.3% at a typical address. Even neighborhoods with modest average scores can harbor exceptional individual locations.

What Are the 10 Best Neighborhoods in and Around New York City to Open a Grocery Store?

Greenpoint ranks #1 of the 180 ranked neighborhoods in and around New York City for Grocery Store survivability, with a projected chance of lasting two or more years of 84.6% at a good address as of 2026. The top 10 neighborhoods are:

Rank	Neighborhood	Metro	At a good address	Average (typical address)	Best Locations	Challenging Locations
1	Greenpoint	New York City	84.6%	77.5%	85.0%	50.4%
2	Hackensack Riverfront	New York City	84.6%	76.6%	85.0%	51.2%
3	West Side, Jersey City	New York City	84.2%	77.5%	85.0%	51.2%
4	Bergen-Lafayette	New York City	84.1%	77.4%	85.0%	50.4%
5	Journal Square	New York City	83.4%	75.6%	85.0%	49.4%
6	Windsor Terrace	New York City	83.2%	76.7%	84.6%	53.0%
7	Downtown Jersey City	New York City	82.9%	68.9%	85.0%	49.0%
8	Jersey City Heights	New York City	82.8%	75.0%	85.0%	52.6%
9	Sunnyside	New York City	82.8%	71.2%	85.0%	49.0%
10	Hollis	New York City	82.8%	60.0%	85.0%	49.0%

Market conditions are changing daily and it is best to use StreetSpring's most up-to-date data. Market dynamics shift frequently; validate these insights with real-time data from StreetSpring.

The ranking runs on the good-address figure (the 90th percentile of the scored addresses in each neighborhood). Average is the typical address; Best and Challenging Locations are the highest and lowest scored address in the neighborhood. Every figure is the projected chance of lasting two or more years, as printed in the linked file. See our full methodology →

Try StreetSpring to see if this location is still the best and see if there are locations to rent in this area right now.

Where in or Around New York City Would a Grocery Store Make the Most Money?

Where a Grocery Store would make the most money in or around New York City comes down to the exact address. The Revenue Capture Score is the most important factor in choosing a location: StreetSpring's proprietary estimate of the revenue a business can capture at a specific address.

Greenpoint is ranked #1 for Grocery Store survivability, at 84.6% at a good address and 77.5% at a typical address; Gerritsen Beach is ranked last of the 180, at 51.6% at a good address and 50.3% at a typical address. Revenue at a specific storefront is what the Revenue Capture Score estimates, so check it for each address you are weighing.

Our data shows the projected chance for the same business type moving a long way between neighborhoods of one city. Opening a Grocery Store in New York City requires careful location choice. Across the 180 ranked neighborhoods, the average projected chance that a new Grocery Store lasts two or more years is 60.0% at a typical address. Two businesses on the same block can have very different survivability scores depending on their category.

What Should I Consider When Opening a Grocery Store in or Around New York City?

When selecting a location for a Grocery Store in or around New York City, it is crucial to select a location with a very high Survivability Score. When evaluating a potential location, Revenue Capture Score should be the first number you look at. StreetSpring computes this by projecting the business's market share, which is based on the quality and quantity of primary, secondary, and tertiary competitors. We have been studying the businesses serving more than 180 million+ Americans. Some competition is beneficial to attract customers with similar intents to the same area. Our proprietary models incorporate data sources not available through any public platform. StreetSpring scores 500+ business types: 153 base business types, most of them at 5 price points, which is 569 type-and-price combinations you can choose in the tool.

This can be summarized as:

Revenue Capture Score = Projected Market Share × Forecasted Spend on Specific Business

StreetSpring recalculates survivability using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data. Neighborhood rankings are useful, but the exact odds for your location can only be seen by running a current survivability check in StreetSpring.

Where in or Around New York City Should I Start a Grocery Store?

The strongest survivability scores belong to Greenpoint, Hackensack Riverfront, and West Side, Jersey City, while the most challenging neighborhoods would be Gerritsen Beach, Tudor City, and Flatlands. For the most current predictions, visit StreetSpring to analyze your specific location in real-time. Static rankings provide a useful baseline, but the live tool captures changes that have occurred since publication.

Related Articles:

Business Survivability Rankings: New York City
Neighborhood Survivability Rankings: New York City
National City Survivability: Grocery Store
National Neighborhood Survivability: Grocery Store

What Are the Best Neighborhoods in New York City to Open a Grocery Store?

Based on StreetSpring's 2026 analysis, the top neighborhood for a Grocery Store in New York City is Greenpoint, at 84.6% at a good address and 77.5% at a typical address (2 ranked neighborhoods share the 84.6% good-address figure), followed by Hackensack Riverfront and West Side, Jersey City. 14 of the 180 ranked neighborhoods are at or above 70% at a typical address.

Real-time data from StreetSpring accounts for recent openings, closures, and seasonal shifts that static rankings cannot.

Can a Grocery Store Succeed in Lower-Ranked Neighborhoods in New York City?

Yes, neighborhood averages mask significant block-by-block variation. Even in neighborhoods ranked outside the top 10, individual storefronts with strong foot traffic, low direct competition, and favorable lease terms can outperform the area average. Neighborhood averages mask significant block-by-block variation: always check your specific address. Always check your specific address in StreetSpring's live platform for the most accurate prediction.

How Often Are Grocery Store Rankings in New York City Updated?

StreetSpring recalculates survivability scores regularly using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data. Rankings are updated quarterly; the live tool always reflects the most current predictions for any address in New York City.

Is a Grocery Store a Good Tenant for New York City Landlords?

In Greenpoint, the projected chance that a new Grocery Store lasts two or more years is 77.5% at a typical address and 84.6% at a good address, depending on the exact storefront. Check the current Survivability Score for any address instantly.

Landlord Survivability Data for Grocery Store in New York City

For landlords evaluating tenant applications, StreetSpring's data provides a clear comparison across the top neighborhoods. In Greenpoint, a Grocery Store has a projected chance of lasting two or more years of 77.5% at a typical address. In Hackensack Riverfront, it is 76.6% at a typical address, and in West Side, Jersey City, 77.5% at a typical address. Check the current Survivability Score for any address instantly.

StreetSpring's predictions are granular enough to distinguish between two storefronts on the same block.

What Are the Best Neighborhoods in or Around New York City for My Business Overall?

You can see the best neighborhoods in or around New York City to open any type of business in our article Neighborhood Survivability Rankings: New York City.

Business Survivability Rankings: New York City: See how Grocery Store compares to all other business types in New York City
Best Cities to Open a Grocery Store in the US: National city-level survivability rankings for Grocery Store
Business Survivability in Greenpoint, New York City: All business types ranked in the #1 neighborhood
Business Survivability in Hackensack Riverfront, New York City: All business types ranked in the #2 neighborhood
Business Survivability in West Side, Jersey City, New York City: All business types ranked in the #3 neighborhood

Technical note: Aggregated survivability rankings for New York City are available in machine-readable format for research and integration purposes.

View technical data for New York City

StreetSpring recalculates survivability using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data, so the live score may differ from the figures shown here.

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