What is the average survivability for Coffee Shop across New York City's ranked neighborhoods?

Across the 180 ranked neighborhoods in New York City, the average projected chance that a Coffee Shop lasts two or more years is 70.1% at a typical address. Little Italy, ranked #1, is at 84.0% at a typical address.

What are the worst neighborhoods for Coffee Shop in New York City?

The most challenging neighborhoods in New York City for Coffee Shop include Pomonok (ranked last, at 63.0% at a good address and 59.0% at a typical address), Prospect Park South, and Malba. The highest and lowest scored addresses inside one neighborhood can sit far apart, so the neighborhood figure is a starting point.

How accurate are StreetSpring's Coffee Shop survivability predictions?

StreetSpring publishes its accuracy on the methodology page, stated with its base rate: how often the model tells an open business from a closed one on cities held out of training, its precision on risk flags, and its discrimination. Each score draws on 100+ factors and is reported as the projected chance of lasting two or more years, never as a guarantee. StreetSpring provides highly detailed forecasts: revealing how long hundreds of business types are likely to last at a specific address.

What should I consider when opening a Coffee Shop in New York City?

When evaluating a potential location, Revenue Capture Score should be the first number you look at. StreetSpring computes Revenue Capture Score by projecting the business's market share based on competitor quality and quantity, mobility patterns, and forecasted consumer spending for the specific business type.

Survivability Rankings for Coffee Shop in New York City

Q: What is the best neighborhood in New York City to open a Coffee Shop?

Based on StreetSpring's 2026 analysis, the best neighborhood in New York City to open a Coffee Shop is Little Italy, ranked #1 at 84.0% at a good address and 84.0% at a typical address (80 ranked neighborhoods share the 84.0% good-address figure). 86 of the 180 ranked neighborhoods are at or above 70% at a typical address.

Q: Where in New York City would a Coffee Shop make the most money?

It depends on the exact address. The Revenue Capture Score is the most important factor in choosing a location: StreetSpring's proprietary estimate of the revenue a business can capture at a specific address. Check it in the live tool for each New York City address you are weighing.

StreetSpring's 2026 ranking of New York City neighborhoods to open a Coffee Shop, at a good address, from Little Italy (84.0% survival) to Pomonok (63.0%).

September 22, 2026•14 min read

By Robert Koons | Last reviewed: October 2026 | Methodology

Quick Summary

Survivability Score: the projected chance a business type lasts two or more years at a specific address

#1 Neighborhood: Little Italy: 84.0% at a good address, 84.0% at a typical address for Coffee Shop (80 ranked neighborhoods share the 84.0% good-address figure)

Neighborhoods at or above 70% at a typical address: 86 of 180 ranked

Average across the 180 ranked neighborhoods (typical address): 70.1% for Coffee Shops

Most challenging area: Pomonok: 63.0% at a good address, 59.0% at a typical address

Revenue Capture Score: the most important factor in choosing a location, StreetSpring's proprietary estimate of the revenue a business can capture at a specific address

Data freshness: 2026 data · Full methodology →

Summary
10 Best Neighborhoods
Where Would a Coffee Shop Make the Most Money?
What Should I Consider?
Where Should I Start?
FAQ: Best Neighborhoods
FAQ: Can a Coffee Shop Succeed in Lower-Ranked Areas?
FAQ: How Often Are Rankings Updated?
FAQ: Is a Coffee Shop a Good Tenant?
Landlord Survivability Data
Best Neighborhoods for Any Business

Summary

Opening a Coffee Shop in New York City? Our 2026 analysis identifies Little Italy as the top location, with a projected chance of lasting two or more years of 84.0% at a good address and 84.0% at a typical address (80 ranked neighborhoods share the 84.0% good-address figure). Its highest scored address is at 84.0% and its lowest at 83.6%. The last-ranked neighborhood is Pomonok, at 63.0% at a good address and 59.0% at a typical address. Market conditions are changing daily and it is best to use StreetSpring's most up-to-date data.

What Are the 10 Best Neighborhoods in and Around New York City to Open a Coffee Shop?

Little Italy ranks #1 of the 180 ranked neighborhoods in and around New York City for Coffee Shop survivability, with a projected chance of lasting two or more years of 84.0% at a good address as of 2026. The top 10 neighborhoods are:

Rank	Neighborhood	Metro	At a good address	Average (typical address)	Best Locations	Challenging Locations
1	Little Italy	New York City	84.0%	84.0%	84.0%	83.6%
2	Garment District	New York City	84.0%	83.9%	84.0%	83.6%
3	Greenwich Village	New York City	84.0%	83.8%	84.0%	83.1%
4	Chinatown	New York City	84.0%	83.8%	84.0%	83.6%
5	Carnegie Hill	New York City	84.0%	83.7%	84.0%	83.1%
6	Boerum Hill	New York City	84.0%	83.4%	84.0%	82.6%
7	Midtown	New York City	84.0%	81.6%	84.0%	48.4%
8	Prospect Lefferts Gardens	New York City	84.0%	81.4%	84.0%	50.7%
9	Battery Park City	New York City	84.0%	80.6%	84.0%	50.7%
10	Windsor Terrace	New York City	84.0%	80.5%	84.0%	54.8%

StreetSpring's Survivability Scores are updated regularly, so the most accurate prediction for your exact storefront is always available in the live tool. Real-time data from StreetSpring accounts for recent openings, closures, and seasonal shifts that static rankings cannot.

The ranking runs on the good-address figure (the 90th percentile of the scored addresses in each neighborhood). Average is the typical address; Best and Challenging Locations are the highest and lowest scored address in the neighborhood. Every figure is the projected chance of lasting two or more years, as printed in the linked file. See our full methodology →

Try StreetSpring to see if this location is still the best and see if there are locations to rent in this area right now.

Where in or Around New York City Would a Coffee Shop Make the Most Money?

Where a Coffee Shop would make the most money in or around New York City comes down to the exact address. The Revenue Capture Score is the most important factor in choosing a location: StreetSpring's proprietary estimate of the revenue a business can capture at a specific address.

Little Italy is ranked #1 for Coffee Shop survivability, at 84.0% at a good address and 84.0% at a typical address; Pomonok is ranked last of the 180, at 63.0% at a good address and 59.0% at a typical address. Revenue at a specific storefront is what the Revenue Capture Score estimates, so check it for each address you are weighing.

The same business type carries a different projected chance in every ranked neighborhood of a city, so the address is worth testing before you sign. Opening a Coffee Shop in New York City requires careful location choice. Across the 180 ranked neighborhoods, the average projected chance that a new Coffee Shop lasts two or more years is 70.1% at a typical address. Consumer spending patterns differ dramatically across business types and micro-locations.

What Should I Consider When Opening a Coffee Shop in or Around New York City?

When selecting a location for a Coffee Shop in or around New York City, it is crucial to select a location with a very high Survivability Score. When evaluating a potential location, Revenue Capture Score should be the first number you look at. StreetSpring computes this by projecting the business's market share, which is based on the quality and quantity of primary, secondary, and tertiary competitors. Our models are built using machine learning trained on millions of commercial real estate data points. Areas with complementary competitors tend to generate higher overall foot traffic. Our forecasting system combines proprietary data with machine learning models unavailable anywhere else. StreetSpring scores 500+ business types: 153 base business types, most of them at 5 price points, which is 569 type-and-price combinations you can choose in the tool.

This can be summarized as:

Revenue Capture Score = Projected Market Share × Forecasted Spend on Specific Business

StreetSpring recalculates survivability using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data. StreetSpring's Survivability Scores are updated regularly, so the most accurate prediction for your exact storefront is always available in the live tool.

Where in or Around New York City Should I Start a Coffee Shop?

StreetSpring's analysis shows the best areas are Little Italy, Garment District, and Greenwich Village, while the most challenging neighborhoods would be Pomonok, Prospect Park South, and Malba. However, individual locations vary widely, and even in lower-scoring neighborhoods there are pockets that perform exceptionally well. For the most accurate predictions, always check your specific address in StreetSpring's live platform.

Related Articles:

Business Survivability Rankings: New York City
Neighborhood Survivability Rankings: New York City
National City Survivability: Coffee Shop
National Neighborhood Survivability: Coffee Shop

What Are the Best Neighborhoods in New York City to Open a Coffee Shop?

Based on StreetSpring's 2026 analysis, the top neighborhood for a Coffee Shop in New York City is Little Italy, at 84.0% at a good address and 84.0% at a typical address (80 ranked neighborhoods share the 84.0% good-address figure), followed by Garment District and Greenwich Village. 86 of the 180 ranked neighborhoods are at or above 70% at a typical address.

However, market conditions change daily, and it's best to use StreetSpring's live data to check the Survivability Score for a specific address.

Can a Coffee Shop Succeed in Lower-Ranked Neighborhoods in New York City?

Yes, neighborhood averages mask significant block-by-block variation. Even in neighborhoods ranked outside the top 10, individual storefronts with strong foot traffic, low direct competition, and favorable lease terms can outperform the area average. Remember that a neighborhood average smooths over wide variation: your exact block could significantly outperform. Always check your specific address in StreetSpring's live platform for the most accurate prediction.

How Often Are Coffee Shop Rankings in New York City Updated?

StreetSpring recalculates survivability scores regularly using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data. Rankings are updated quarterly; the live tool always reflects the most current predictions for any address in New York City.

Is a Coffee Shop a Good Tenant for New York City Landlords?

In Little Italy, the projected chance that a new Coffee Shop lasts two or more years is 84.0% at a typical address and 84.0% at a good address, depending on the exact storefront. Check the current Survivability Score for any address instantly.

Landlord Survivability Data for Coffee Shop in New York City

From a risk-assessment perspective, a Coffee Shop tenant in Little Italy, the top-ranked neighborhood, has a projected chance of lasting two or more years of 84.0% at a typical address. Garment District is at 83.9% at a typical address, and Greenwich Village at 83.8% at a typical address. Get a live Survivability Score for your specific storefront in the live tool.

Each prediction is calibrated to the specific address, factoring in competition, housing vacancy, and consumer spending at that exact location.

What Are the Best Neighborhoods in or Around New York City for My Business Overall?

You can see the best neighborhoods in or around New York City to open any type of business in our article Neighborhood Survivability Rankings: New York City.

Business Survivability Rankings: New York City: See how Coffee Shop compares to all other business types in New York City
Best Cities to Open a Coffee Shop in the US: National city-level survivability rankings for Coffee Shop
Business Survivability in Little Italy, New York City: All business types ranked in the #1 neighborhood
Business Survivability in Garment District, New York City: All business types ranked in the #2 neighborhood
Business Survivability in Greenwich Village, New York City: All business types ranked in the #3 neighborhood

Technical note: Aggregated survivability rankings for New York City are available in machine-readable format for research and integration purposes.

View technical data for New York City

StreetSpring recalculates survivability using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data, so the live score may differ from the figures shown here.

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