Business Survivability in Turtle Bay, New York City
StreetSpring's 2026 analysis finds that the best business to open in Turtle Bay is a Convenience Store with a 79.5% chance of surviving at least 2 years across the neighborhood on average.
Quick Summary
- Survivability Score: the projected chance a business type lasts two or more years at a specific address
- Best business: a Convenience Store in Turtle Bay (79.5% average survival rate, 85.0% at best locations)
- Neighborhood rank: #176 of 180 neighborhoods in and around New York City
- Neighborhood average: 54.5% two-year survival across the business types ranked here
- Coverage: This ranking carries one row per business type and neighborhood. Its score is the projected chance of lasting two or more years, averaged across the price points StreetSpring scores separately in the tool (most types have 5). The 10 business types here are base types; the tool offers 500+ business types, counting each type at each of its price points.
- Rankings updated quarterly with latest market data
- Detailed methodology
Last reviewed: October 2026 by Robert Koons, Founder & CEO, StreetSpring
In this article:
- Summary
- Is Turtle Bay a good place to start a business?
- How to find the best location
- Best businesses to open
- How much money could a business make?
- What businesses should open next?
- Frequently Asked Questions
Summary
StreetSpring's 2026 analysis finds that the best business to open in Turtle Bay is a Convenience Store with a 79.5% chance of surviving at least 2 years across the neighborhood on average, with the best locations offering a 85.0% chance; next is a Clothing Store with a 74.3% chance, followed by a Cafe with a 77.4% chance.
Is Turtle Bay a good place to start a business?
In New York City's survivability rankings, Turtle Bay comes in at #176 of 180 neighborhoods, with an average Survivability Score of 54.5% across the business types ranked there.
- At its best addresses in Turtle Bay, the top-ranked business type scores 5.5 points above its own average in the neighborhood.
- However, those high-scoring categories placed at the least-competitive addresses in Turtle Bay often fall well below average. Picking the right block (not just the right neighborhood) is what actually determines survivability.
- Housing vacancy in Turtle Bay sits at 24.9%, a Census figure that StreetSpring's model reads for every business type it scores here.
Employment and housing vacancy figures sourced from the U.S. Census Bureau American Community Survey.
How can you find the best location to open a business in Turtle Bay?
StreetSpring scores each block in Turtle Bay so you can see which ones give a business the best two-year chance. This is the address StreetSpring's 2026 analysis recommends most strongly for a Convenience Store in Turtle Bay:
StreetSpring's 2026 model identifies this area as the highest-survivability location for a Convenience Store in Turtle Bay. These rankings are based on the latest available data; check StreetSpring for real-time updates. The model evaluates hundreds of factors, from primary and secondary competition to forecasted spend, site accessibility, and local market share potential.
Check if this location is still available →
What are the best businesses to open in Turtle Bay?
| # | Business type | Chance of lasting two or more years at a good address |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Convenience Store | 85.0% |
| 2 | Clothing Store | 84.1% |
| 3 | Cafe | 84.0% |
| 4 | Hair Salon | 84.0% |
| 5 | Coffee Shop | 84.0% |
| 6 | Spa | 84.0% |
| 7 | Bar | 84.0% |
| 8 | Gym | 83.6% |
| 9 | Laundromat | 71.0% |
| 10 | Chiropractor Office | 66.2% |
Ties at a good address: Cafe, Hair Salon, Coffee Shop, Spa and Bar are tied. A tie is a tie: the rank column is the published file's order, which looks at the average and the best address next.
Highest Survivability in Turtle Bay
- #1 Opening a Convenience Store in Turtle Bay shows 79.5% average survivability. Top locations reach 85.0%; lower-end sites show 49.0%.
- #2 Clothing Store (Ranked #2): 74.3% average in Turtle Bay. Best-case storefronts: 84.6%. Challenging locations: 49.0%.
- #3 Cafe is ranked #3 for top businesses to open in Turtle Bay: 77.4% chance on average, best at 84.0%, challenging at 48.0%.
- #4 Hair Salon: 75.0% on average across Turtle Bay; best at 84.0%, challenging at 48.4%.
- #5 Opening a Coffee Shop in Turtle Bay shows 74.9% average survivability. Top locations reach 84.0%; lower-end sites show 48.0%.
Strong Performers in Turtle Bay
- #6 Spa (Ranked #6): 72.7% average in Turtle Bay. Best-case storefronts: 84.0%. Challenging locations: 48.0%.
- #7 Bar is ranked #7 for top businesses to open in Turtle Bay: 70.8% chance on average, best at 84.0%, challenging at 48.0%.
- #8 Gym: 64.5% on average across Turtle Bay; best at 83.6%, challenging at 48.0%.
- #9 Opening a Laundromat in Turtle Bay shows 60.6% average survivability. Top locations reach 74.1%; lower-end sites show 48.0%.
- #10 Chiropractor Office (Ranked #10): 60.6% average in Turtle Bay. Best-case storefronts: 89.6%. Challenging locations: 56.0%.
Top 3 Compared Nationally
- Convenience Store: See how this compares to other cities →
- Clothing Store: See how this compares to other cities →
- Cafe: See how this compares to other cities →
How much money could a business in Turtle Bay make?
Best location vs. average location
Based on StreetSpring's 2026 analysis, prioritizing survivability score in your site-selection process in Turtle Bay starts with the Revenue Capture Score, the most important factor in choosing a location: StreetSpring's estimate of the revenue a business can capture at that address.
How StreetSpring calculates location value
- Site selection requires evaluating the specific combination of your business type and the exact address: neighborhood-level data is only the starting point.
- Location is the part of survivability you can measure in advance: the concept, the pricing and the operator are yours to judge.
- The Revenue Capture Score is the most important factor in choosing a location: it is StreetSpring's estimate of the revenue a business can capture at that address.
- StreetSpring scores blocks across each neighborhood and city so you can compare a business's two-year chance between them.
What businesses should open next in Turtle Bay?
The top businesses to open next in Turtle Bay:
- Convenience Stores: 79.5% average survival rate, 85.0% at the best address
- Clothing Stores: 74.3% average survival rate
- Cafes: 77.4% average survival rate
These rankings are based on the latest available data; check StreetSpring for real-time updates. We have been studying the businesses serving more than 180 million+ Americans. StreetSpring scores 500+ business types: 153 base business types, most of them at 5 price points, which is 569 type-and-price combinations you can choose in the tool. Turtle Bay's employment rate (94.4%) and housing vacancy rate (24.9%) are part of the Census context StreetSpring's model reads when it scores each business type at each address. New competitors open and close every week, changing the survivability landscape for every address in Turtle Bay. StreetSpring's regular updates mean you can always see the current score for any available storefront.
See the Survivability Score for your new business
Related Articles:
- See the New York City Business Survivability Rankings
- See the New York City Neighborhood Survivability Rankings
- Explore Convenience Store survivability across New York City neighborhoods
Frequently Asked Questions
Here are the most common questions about opening a business in Turtle Bay.
What type of business should you rent your Turtle Bay storefront to?
Our 2026 survivability data for Turtle Bay shows that Convenience Stores, Clothing Stores, and Cafes rank as the top tenant categories for minimizing vacancy risk.
- Location is the part of survivability you can measure in advance: the concept, the pricing and the operator are yours to judge.
- StreetSpring scores blocks across each neighborhood and city so you can compare a business's two-year chance between them. Run your specific address through StreetSpring to see which tenant categories give you the best odds of stable, long-term occupancy.
Related: See How Landlord Representatives in New York City Can Reduce Vacancy & Increase Tenant Longevity
Should you rent your Turtle Bay storefront to a Convenience Store?
The data shows a Convenience Store in Turtle Bay is the safest long-term bet for a storefront there. Top locations reach 85.0% survivability; lower-end sites show 49.0%.
- StreetSpring scores blocks across each neighborhood and city so you can compare a business's two-year chance between them.
What should I consider when opening a business in Turtle Bay?
Before committing to any location in Turtle Bay, the highest-priority metric to check is the Survivability Score: it encodes every relevant location factor into a single, actionable number.
- The single most important number in a location decision is the Revenue Capture Score, StreetSpring's proprietary estimate of the revenue a business can capture at a specific address.
- Each forecast is specific to the exact address and business type, generated by StreetSpring's internally developed prediction engine.
- StreetSpring offers a free 10-minute trial of its survivability scores: see how your shortlisted Turtle Bay addresses rank right now.
See the best place for your business at StreetSpring.
StreetSpring analyzes millions of data points with AI to forecast business survivability. Aggregated survivability rankings for New York City are available in machine-readable format for research and integration purposes.
Full dataset for New York City: /resources/data/new-york-city-survivability-scores-2026.csv: includes all business subtypes, all neighborhoods, survivability scores, and tier assignments. Licensed under CC BY 4.0.