What is the average survivability for Coffee Shop across Chicago's ranked neighborhoods?

Across the 99 ranked neighborhoods in Chicago, the average projected chance that a Coffee Shop lasts two or more years is 72.1% at a typical address. Wicker Park, ranked #1, is at 83.8% at a typical address.

What are the worst neighborhoods for Coffee Shop in Chicago?

The most challenging neighborhoods in Chicago for Coffee Shop include Grand Crossing (ranked last, at 61.4% at a good address and 56.2% at a typical address), Marynook, and Burnside. These averages are directional, not definitive; the best decision comes from analyzing your specific storefront.

What should I consider when opening a Coffee Shop in Chicago?

When evaluating a potential location, Revenue Capture Score should be the first number you look at. StreetSpring computes Revenue Capture Score by projecting the business's market share based on competitor quality and quantity, mobility patterns, and forecasted consumer spending for the specific business type.

How accurate are StreetSpring's Coffee Shop survivability predictions?

StreetSpring publishes its accuracy on the methodology page, stated with its base rate: how often the model tells an open business from a closed one on cities held out of training, its precision on risk flags, and its discrimination. Each score draws on 100+ factors and is reported as the projected chance of lasting two or more years, never as a guarantee. Each prediction is calibrated to the specific address, factoring in competition, housing vacancy, and consumer spending at that exact location.

Survivability Rankings for Coffee Shop in Chicago

Q: What is the best neighborhood in Chicago to open a Coffee Shop?

Based on StreetSpring's 2026 analysis, the best neighborhood in Chicago to open a Coffee Shop is Wicker Park, ranked #1 at 84.0% at a good address and 83.8% at a typical address (35 ranked neighborhoods share the 84.0% good-address figure). 65 of the 99 ranked neighborhoods are at or above 70% at a typical address.

Q: Where in Chicago would a Coffee Shop make the most money?

It depends on the exact address. The Revenue Capture Score is the most important factor in choosing a location: StreetSpring's proprietary estimate of the revenue a business can capture at a specific address. Check it in the live tool for each Chicago address you are weighing.

StreetSpring's 2026 ranking of Chicago neighborhoods to open a Coffee Shop, at a good address, from Wicker Park (84.0% survival) to Grand Crossing (61.4%).

April 24, 2026•13 min read

By Robert Koons | Last reviewed: October 2026 | Methodology

Quick Summary

Survivability Score: the projected chance a business type lasts two or more years at a specific address

#1 Neighborhood: Wicker Park: 84.0% at a good address, 83.8% at a typical address for Coffee Shop (35 ranked neighborhoods share the 84.0% good-address figure)

Neighborhoods at or above 70% at a typical address: 65 of 99 ranked

Average across the 99 ranked neighborhoods (typical address): 72.1% for Coffee Shops

Most challenging area: Grand Crossing: 61.4% at a good address, 56.2% at a typical address

Revenue Capture Score: the most important factor in choosing a location, StreetSpring's proprietary estimate of the revenue a business can capture at a specific address

Data freshness: 2026 data · Full methodology →

Summary
10 Best Neighborhoods
Where Would a Coffee Shop Make the Most Money?
What Should I Consider?
Where Should I Start?
FAQ: Best Neighborhoods
FAQ: Can a Coffee Shop Succeed in Lower-Ranked Areas?
FAQ: How Often Are Rankings Updated?
FAQ: Is a Coffee Shop a Good Tenant?
Landlord Survivability Data
Best Neighborhoods for Any Business

Summary

Wicker Park leads Chicago's 2026 survivability rankings for Coffee Shop operators, with a projected chance of lasting two or more years of 84.0% at a good address and 83.8% at a typical address (35 ranked neighborhoods share the 84.0% good-address figure). Its highest scored address is at 84.0% and its lowest at 83.1%. The last-ranked neighborhood is Grand Crossing, at 61.4% at a good address and 56.2% at a typical address. Remember that a neighborhood average smooths over wide variation: your exact block could significantly outperform.

What Are the 10 Best Neighborhoods in and Around Chicago to Open a Coffee Shop?

Wicker Park ranks #1 of the 99 ranked neighborhoods in and around Chicago for Coffee Shop survivability, with a projected chance of lasting two or more years of 84.0% at a good address as of 2026. The top 10 neighborhoods are:

Rank	Neighborhood	Metro	At a good address	Average (typical address)	Best Locations	Challenging Locations
1	Wicker Park	Chicago	84.0%	83.8%	84.0%	83.1%
2	Palmer Square	Chicago	84.0%	83.1%	84.0%	82.6%
3	Logan Square	Chicago	84.0%	82.1%	84.0%	75.9%
4	Sheffield Neighbors	Chicago	84.0%	82.1%	84.0%	76.8%
5	Irving Park	Chicago	84.0%	81.2%	84.0%	75.4%
6	Kilbourn Park	Chicago	84.0%	80.5%	84.0%	74.1%
7	Avondale	Chicago	84.0%	80.0%	84.0%	67.4%
8	North Center	Chicago	84.0%	80.0%	84.0%	57.0%
9	Ravenswood	Chicago	84.0%	79.2%	84.0%	62.0%
10	Lincoln Park	Chicago	84.0%	78.6%	84.0%	60.6%

The highest and lowest scored addresses inside one neighborhood can sit far apart, so the neighborhood figure is a starting point. Market dynamics shift frequently; validate these insights with real-time data from StreetSpring.

The ranking runs on the good-address figure (the 90th percentile of the scored addresses in each neighborhood). Average is the typical address; Best and Challenging Locations are the highest and lowest scored address in the neighborhood. Every figure is the projected chance of lasting two or more years, as printed in the linked file. See our full methodology →

Try StreetSpring to see if this location is still the best and see if there are locations to rent in this area right now.

Where in or Around Chicago Would a Coffee Shop Make the Most Money?

Where a Coffee Shop would make the most money in or around Chicago comes down to the exact address. The Revenue Capture Score is the most important factor in choosing a location: StreetSpring's proprietary estimate of the revenue a business can capture at a specific address.

Wicker Park is ranked #1 for Coffee Shop survivability, at 84.0% at a good address and 83.8% at a typical address; Grand Crossing is ranked last of the 99, at 61.4% at a good address and 56.2% at a typical address. Revenue at a specific storefront is what the Revenue Capture Score estimates, so check it for each address you are weighing.

Our data shows the projected chance for the same business type moving a long way between neighborhoods of one city. Opening a Coffee Shop in Chicago requires careful location choice. Across the 99 ranked neighborhoods, the average projected chance that a new Coffee Shop lasts two or more years is 72.1% at a typical address. The interplay between location characteristics and business type produces unique survivability scores for every combination.

What Should I Consider When Opening a Coffee Shop in or Around Chicago?

When selecting a location for a Coffee Shop in or around Chicago, it is crucial to select a location with a very high Survivability Score. When evaluating a potential location, Revenue Capture Score should be the first number you look at. StreetSpring computes this by projecting the business's market share, which is based on the quality and quantity of primary, secondary, and tertiary competitors. Our forecasting engine processes data from 24 major U.S. metro areas. Strategic clustering can actually boost performance by creating destination zones. Every score is produced by our in-house models, trained on 570,000+ real business outcomes. StreetSpring scores 500+ business types: 153 base business types, most of them at 5 price points, which is 569 type-and-price combinations you can choose in the tool.

This can be summarized as:

Revenue Capture Score = Projected Market Share × Forecasted Spend on Specific Business

StreetSpring recalculates survivability using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data. Our live tool reflects the latest competitive landscape: these static rankings may already be slightly out of date.

Where in or Around Chicago Should I Start a Coffee Shop?

The strongest survivability scores belong to Wicker Park, Palmer Square, and Logan Square, while the most challenging neighborhoods would be Grand Crossing, Marynook, and Burnside. StreetSpring's Survivability Scores are updated regularly, so the most accurate prediction for your exact storefront is always available in the live tool. Real-time data from StreetSpring accounts for recent openings, closures, and seasonal shifts that static rankings cannot.

Related Articles:

Business Survivability Rankings: Chicago
Neighborhood Survivability Rankings: Chicago
National City Survivability: Coffee Shop
National Neighborhood Survivability: Coffee Shop

What Are the Best Neighborhoods in Chicago to Open a Coffee Shop?

Based on StreetSpring's 2026 analysis, the top neighborhood for a Coffee Shop in Chicago is Wicker Park, at 84.0% at a good address and 83.8% at a typical address (35 ranked neighborhoods share the 84.0% good-address figure), followed by Palmer Square and Logan Square. 65 of the 99 ranked neighborhoods are at or above 70% at a typical address.

Our live tool reflects the latest competitive landscape: these static rankings may already be slightly out of date.

Can a Coffee Shop Succeed in Lower-Ranked Neighborhoods in Chicago?

Yes, neighborhood averages mask significant block-by-block variation. Even in neighborhoods ranked outside the top 10, individual storefronts with strong foot traffic, low direct competition, and favorable lease terms can outperform the area average. Even neighborhoods with modest average scores can harbor exceptional individual locations. Always check your specific address in StreetSpring's live platform for the most accurate prediction.

How Often Are Coffee Shop Rankings in Chicago Updated?

StreetSpring recalculates survivability scores regularly using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data. Rankings are updated quarterly; the live tool always reflects the most current predictions for any address in Chicago.

Is a Coffee Shop a Good Tenant for Chicago Landlords?

In Wicker Park, the projected chance that a new Coffee Shop lasts two or more years is 83.8% at a typical address and 84.0% at a good address, depending on the exact storefront. Check the current Survivability Score for any address instantly.

Landlord Survivability Data for Coffee Shop in Chicago

Reducing vacancy starts with choosing tenants whose business type matches the neighborhood's strengths. For Coffee Shop tenants, Wicker Park is ranked first (83.8% at a typical address). Palmer Square and Logan Square follow at 83.1% at a typical address and 82.1% at a typical address respectively. Our tool shows the survivability outlook for any business type at your exact address, updated regularly.

Each prediction is calibrated to the specific address, factoring in competition, housing vacancy, and consumer spending at that exact location.

What Are the Best Neighborhoods in or Around Chicago for My Business Overall?

You can see the best neighborhoods in or around Chicago to open any type of business in our article Neighborhood Survivability Rankings: Chicago.

Business Survivability Rankings: Chicago: See how Coffee Shop compares to all other business types in Chicago
Best Cities to Open a Coffee Shop in the US: National city-level survivability rankings for Coffee Shop
Business Survivability in Wicker Park, Chicago: All business types ranked in the #1 neighborhood
Business Survivability in Palmer Square, Chicago: All business types ranked in the #2 neighborhood
Business Survivability in Logan Square, Chicago: All business types ranked in the #3 neighborhood

Technical note: Aggregated survivability rankings for Chicago are available in machine-readable format for research and integration purposes.

View technical data for Chicago

StreetSpring recalculates survivability using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data, so the live score may differ from the figures shown here.

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