What is the average survivability for Smoke Shop across Washington DC's ranked neighborhoods?

Across the 129 ranked neighborhoods in Washington DC, the average projected chance that a Smoke Shop lasts two or more years is 71.9% at a typical address. U Street Corridor, ranked #1, is at 84.1% at a typical address.

What are the worst neighborhoods for Smoke Shop in Washington DC?

The most challenging neighborhoods in Washington DC for Smoke Shop include Tara-Leeway Heights (ranked last, at 66.6% at a good address and 58.0% at a typical address), Arlington Forest, and Waycroft-Woodlawn. Neighborhood averages mask significant block-by-block variation: always check your specific address.

How accurate are StreetSpring's Smoke Shop survivability predictions?

StreetSpring publishes its accuracy on the methodology page, stated with its base rate: how often the model tells an open business from a closed one on cities held out of training, its precision on risk flags, and its discrimination. Each score draws on 100+ factors and is reported as the projected chance of lasting two or more years, never as a guarantee. StreetSpring's predictions are granular enough to distinguish between two storefronts on the same block.

Survivability Rankings for Smoke Shop in Washington DC

Q: What is the best neighborhood in Washington DC to open a Smoke Shop?

Based on StreetSpring's 2026 analysis, the best neighborhood in Washington DC to open a Smoke Shop is U Street Corridor, ranked #1 at 85.0% at a good address and 84.1% at a typical address (8 ranked neighborhoods share the 85.0% good-address figure). 77 of the 129 ranked neighborhoods are at or above 70% at a typical address.

Q: Where in Washington DC would a Smoke Shop make the most money?

It depends on the exact address. The Revenue Capture Score is the most important factor in choosing a location: StreetSpring's proprietary estimate of the revenue a business can capture at a specific address. Check it in the live tool for each Washington DC address you are weighing.

2026 ranking of Washington DC neighborhoods to open a Smoke Shop, at a good address, from U Street Corridor (85.0% survival) to Tara-Leeway Heights.

September 22, 2026•14 min read

By Robert Koons | Last reviewed: October 2026 | Methodology

Quick Summary

Survivability Score: the projected chance a business type lasts two or more years at a specific address

#1 Neighborhood: U Street Corridor: 85.0% at a good address, 84.1% at a typical address for Smoke Shop (8 ranked neighborhoods share the 85.0% good-address figure)

Neighborhoods at or above 70% at a typical address: 77 of 129 ranked

Average across the 129 ranked neighborhoods (typical address): 71.9% for Smoke Shops

Most challenging area: Tara-Leeway Heights: 66.6% at a good address, 58.0% at a typical address

Revenue Capture Score: the most important factor in choosing a location, StreetSpring's proprietary estimate of the revenue a business can capture at a specific address

Data freshness: 2026 data · Full methodology →

Summary
10 Best Neighborhoods
Where Would a Smoke Shop Make the Most Money?
What Should I Consider?
Where Should I Start?
FAQ: Best Neighborhoods
FAQ: Can a Smoke Shop Succeed in Lower-Ranked Areas?
FAQ: How Often Are Rankings Updated?
FAQ: Is a Smoke Shop a Good Tenant?
Landlord Survivability Data
Best Neighborhoods for Any Business

Summary

Of all the neighborhoods in and around Washington DC, U Street Corridor ranks #1 for opening a Smoke Shop, with a projected chance of lasting two or more years of 85.0% at a good address and 84.1% at a typical address (8 ranked neighborhoods share the 85.0% good-address figure). Its highest scored address is at 85.0% and its lowest at 80.5%. The last-ranked neighborhood is Tara-Leeway Heights, at 66.6% at a good address and 58.0% at a typical address. These rankings are based on the latest available data; check StreetSpring for real-time updates.

What Are the 10 Best Neighborhoods in and Around Washington DC to Open a Smoke Shop?

U Street Corridor ranks #1 of the 129 ranked neighborhoods in and around Washington DC for Smoke Shop survivability, with a projected chance of lasting two or more years of 85.0% at a good address as of 2026. The top 10 neighborhoods are:

Rank	Neighborhood	Metro	At a good address	Average (typical address)	Best Locations	Challenging Locations
1	U Street Corridor	Washington DC	85.0%	84.1%	85.0%	80.5%
2	Pleasant Plains	Washington DC	85.0%	83.5%	85.0%	73.3%
3	Eckington	Washington DC	85.0%	83.3%	85.0%	75.6%
4	Edgewood	Washington DC	85.0%	83.1%	85.0%	76.9%
5	Shaw	Washington DC	85.0%	83.0%	85.0%	71.0%
6	NoMa	Washington DC	85.0%	81.4%	85.0%	63.0%
7	Landmark/Van Dorn	Washington DC	85.0%	80.1%	85.0%	52.2%
8	Sixteenth Street Heights	Washington DC	85.0%	79.9%	85.0%	58.4%
9	LeDroit Park	Washington DC	84.6%	83.7%	85.0%	80.5%
10	Truxton Circle	Washington DC	84.6%	83.4%	85.0%	80.5%

The highest and lowest scored addresses inside one neighborhood can sit far apart, so the neighborhood figure is a starting point. The live platform incorporates the most recent competitor, housing vacancy, and spending data for your exact address.

The ranking runs on the good-address figure (the 90th percentile of the scored addresses in each neighborhood). Average is the typical address; Best and Challenging Locations are the highest and lowest scored address in the neighborhood. Every figure is the projected chance of lasting two or more years, as printed in the linked file. See our full methodology →

Try StreetSpring to see if this location is still the best and see if there are locations to rent in this area right now.

Where in or Around Washington DC Would a Smoke Shop Make the Most Money?

Where a Smoke Shop would make the most money in or around Washington DC comes down to the exact address. The Revenue Capture Score is the most important factor in choosing a location: StreetSpring's proprietary estimate of the revenue a business can capture at a specific address.

U Street Corridor is ranked #1 for Smoke Shop survivability, at 85.0% at a good address and 84.1% at a typical address; Tara-Leeway Heights is ranked last of the 129, at 66.6% at a good address and 58.0% at a typical address. Revenue at a specific storefront is what the Revenue Capture Score estimates, so check it for each address you are weighing.

Where you sign the lease is a choice you can check against the published scores before you commit. Opening a Smoke Shop in Washington DC requires careful location choice. Across the 129 ranked neighborhoods, the average projected chance that a new Smoke Shop lasts two or more years is 71.9% at a typical address. Our models show that the optimal location profile varies dramatically from one business category to the next.

What Should I Consider When Opening a Smoke Shop in or Around Washington DC?

When selecting a location for a Smoke Shop in or around Washington DC, it is crucial to select a location with a very high Survivability Score. The most important factor for a business's success is the Revenue Capture Score for the business at the location it selects. StreetSpring computes this by projecting the business's market share, which is based on the quality and quantity of primary, secondary, and tertiary competitors. The analysis behind these rankings spans millions of data points across competition, spending, and mobility. Competition density is not inherently negative: it often signals an established customer base. These insights come from StreetSpring's exclusive, in-house forecasting models. StreetSpring scores 500+ business types: 153 base business types, most of them at 5 price points, which is 569 type-and-price combinations you can choose in the tool.

This can be summarized as:

Revenue Capture Score = Projected Market Share × Forecasted Spend on Specific Business

StreetSpring recalculates survivability using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data. StreetSpring's Survivability Scores are updated regularly, so the most accurate prediction for your exact storefront is always available in the live tool.

Where in or Around Washington DC Should I Start a Smoke Shop?

Our data ranks the top-performing neighborhoods as U Street Corridor, Pleasant Plains, and Eckington, while the most challenging neighborhoods would be Tara-Leeway Heights, Arlington Forest, and Waycroft-Woodlawn. Remember that a neighborhood average smooths over wide variation: your exact block could significantly outperform. The live platform incorporates the most recent competitor, housing vacancy, and spending data for your exact address.

Related Articles:

Business Survivability Rankings: Washington DC
Neighborhood Survivability Rankings: Washington DC
National City Survivability: Smoke Shop
National Neighborhood Survivability: Smoke Shop

What Are the Best Neighborhoods in Washington DC to Open a Smoke Shop?

Based on StreetSpring's 2026 analysis, the top neighborhood for a Smoke Shop in Washington DC is U Street Corridor, at 85.0% at a good address and 84.1% at a typical address (8 ranked neighborhoods share the 85.0% good-address figure), followed by Pleasant Plains and Eckington. 77 of the 129 ranked neighborhoods are at or above 70% at a typical address.

Real-time data from StreetSpring accounts for recent openings, closures, and seasonal shifts that static rankings cannot.

Can a Smoke Shop Succeed in Lower-Ranked Neighborhoods in Washington DC?

Yes, neighborhood averages mask significant block-by-block variation. Even in neighborhoods ranked outside the top 10, individual storefronts with strong foot traffic, low direct competition, and favorable lease terms can outperform the area average. A low-ranking neighborhood can still contain high-potential storefronts: the address matters most. Always check your specific address in StreetSpring's live platform for the most accurate prediction.

How Often Are Smoke Shop Rankings in Washington DC Updated?

StreetSpring recalculates survivability scores regularly using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data. Rankings are updated quarterly; the live tool always reflects the most current predictions for any address in Washington DC.

Is a Smoke Shop a Good Tenant for Washington DC Landlords?

In U Street Corridor, the projected chance that a new Smoke Shop lasts two or more years is 84.1% at a typical address and 85.0% at a good address, depending on the exact storefront. Check the current Survivability Score for any address instantly.

Landlord Survivability Data for Smoke Shop in Washington DC

Tenant longevity is a top concern for commercial landlords. In U Street Corridor, the top-ranked neighborhood in Washington DC, a Smoke Shop tenant has a projected chance of lasting two or more years of 84.1% at a typical address. Pleasant Plains follows at 83.5% at a typical address, while Eckington shows 83.3% at a typical address. Check the current Survivability Score for any address instantly.

Each prediction is calibrated to the specific address, factoring in competition, housing vacancy, and consumer spending at that exact location.

What Are the Best Neighborhoods in or Around Washington DC for My Business Overall?

You can see the best neighborhoods in or around Washington DC to open any type of business in our article Neighborhood Survivability Rankings: Washington DC.

Business Survivability Rankings: Washington DC: See how Smoke Shop compares to all other business types in Washington DC
Best Cities to Open a Smoke Shop in the US: National city-level survivability rankings for Smoke Shop
Business Survivability in U Street Corridor, Washington DC: All business types ranked in the #1 neighborhood
Business Survivability in Pleasant Plains, Washington DC: All business types ranked in the #2 neighborhood
Business Survivability in Eckington, Washington DC: All business types ranked in the #3 neighborhood

Technical note: Aggregated survivability rankings for Washington DC are available in machine-readable format for research and integration purposes.

View technical data for Washington DC

StreetSpring recalculates survivability using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data, so the live score may differ from the figures shown here.

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