Survivability Rankings for Dessert Shop in San Diego
StreetSpring's 2026 ranking of San Diego neighborhoods to open a Dessert Shop, at a good address, from Miramar (83.1% survival) to Hillcrest (60.9%).
By Robert Koons | Last reviewed: October 2026 | Methodology
Quick Summary
- Survivability Score: the projected chance a business type lasts two or more years at a specific address
- #1 Neighborhood: Miramar: 83.1% at a good address, 73.0% at a typical address for Dessert Shop
- Neighborhoods at or above 70% at a typical address: 8 of 83 ranked
- Average across the 83 ranked neighborhoods (typical address): 63.5% for Dessert Shops
- Most challenging area: Hillcrest: 60.9% at a good address, 52.5% at a typical address
- Revenue Capture Score: the most important factor in choosing a location, StreetSpring's proprietary estimate of the revenue a business can capture at a specific address
- Data freshness: 2026 data · Full methodology →
Table of Contents
- Summary
- 10 Best Neighborhoods
- Where Would a Dessert Shop Make the Most Money?
- What Should I Consider?
- Where Should I Start?
- FAQ: Best Neighborhoods
- FAQ: Can a Dessert Shop Succeed in Lower-Ranked Areas?
- FAQ: How Often Are Rankings Updated?
- FAQ: Is a Dessert Shop a Good Tenant?
- Landlord Survivability Data
- Best Neighborhoods for Any Business
Summary
Miramar leads San Diego's 2026 survivability rankings for Dessert Shop operators, with a projected chance of lasting two or more years of 83.1% at a good address and 73.0% at a typical address. Its highest scored address is at 84.0% and its lowest at 49.8%. The last-ranked neighborhood is Hillcrest, at 60.9% at a good address and 52.5% at a typical address. Even neighborhoods with modest average scores can harbor exceptional individual locations.
What Are the 10 Best Neighborhoods in and Around San Diego to Open a Dessert Shop?
Miramar ranks #1 of the 83 ranked neighborhoods in and around San Diego for Dessert Shop survivability, with a projected chance of lasting two or more years of 83.1% at a good address as of 2026. The top 10 neighborhoods are:
| Rank | Neighborhood | Metro | At a good address | Average (typical address) | Best Locations | Challenging Locations |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Miramar | San Diego | 83.1% | 73.0% | 84.0% | 49.8% |
| 2 | Rolling Hills Ranch | San Diego | 82.6% | 70.8% | 83.6% | 48.9% |
| 3 | Morro Hills | San Diego | 80.8% | 72.6% | 83.6% | 48.9% |
| 4 | Kearny Mesa | San Diego | 80.8% | 71.3% | 84.0% | 49.4% |
| 5 | Chollas View | San Diego | 80.8% | 67.9% | 82.6% | 55.2% |
| 6 | Millenia | San Diego | 80.4% | 75.5% | 81.8% | 63.3% |
| 7 | Lincoln Park | San Diego | 80.4% | 65.8% | 82.6% | 49.8% |
| 8 | Montecito | San Diego | 79.0% | 64.5% | 82.2% | 48.4% |
| 9 | Midtown | San Diego | 78.9% | 61.7% | 80.4% | 50.2% |
| 10 | Old Town | San Diego | 78.8% | 68.9% | 80.8% | 58.8% |
The highest and lowest scored addresses inside one neighborhood can sit far apart, so the neighborhood figure is a starting point. Because local conditions evolve weekly, the live survivability tool offers a more current snapshot than any published ranking.
The ranking runs on the good-address figure (the 90th percentile of the scored addresses in each neighborhood). Average is the typical address; Best and Challenging Locations are the highest and lowest scored address in the neighborhood. Every figure is the projected chance of lasting two or more years, as printed in the linked file. See our full methodology →
Try StreetSpring to see if this location is still the best and see if there are locations to rent in this area right now.
Where in or Around San Diego Would a Dessert Shop Make the Most Money?
Where a Dessert Shop would make the most money in or around San Diego comes down to the exact address. The Revenue Capture Score is the most important factor in choosing a location: StreetSpring's proprietary estimate of the revenue a business can capture at a specific address.
Miramar is ranked #1 for Dessert Shop survivability, at 83.1% at a good address and 73.0% at a typical address; Hillcrest is ranked last of the 83, at 60.9% at a good address and 52.5% at a typical address. Revenue at a specific storefront is what the Revenue Capture Score estimates, so check it for each address you are weighing.
Location is one of the few things about a new business you can measure before it opens. Opening a Dessert Shop in San Diego requires careful location choice. Across the 83 ranked neighborhoods, the average projected chance that a new Dessert Shop lasts two or more years is 63.5% at a typical address. Our models show that the optimal location profile varies dramatically from one business category to the next.
What Should I Consider When Opening a Dessert Shop in or Around San Diego?
When selecting a location for a Dessert Shop in or around San Diego, it is crucial to select a location with a very high Survivability Score. Revenue Capture Score comes first when comparing locations: it turns local competition and consumer spending into the share of revenue a business can expect to win. StreetSpring computes this by projecting the business's market share, which is based on the quality and quantity of primary, secondary, and tertiary competitors. Our models draw from one of the most comprehensive commercial real estate datasets ever assembled. A certain density of competitors signals strong demand and can benefit all businesses. StreetSpring's predictions leverage proprietary datasets covering competition, spending, and mobility. StreetSpring scores 500+ business types: 153 base business types, most of them at 5 price points, which is 569 type-and-price combinations you can choose in the tool.
This can be summarized as:
Revenue Capture Score = Projected Market Share × Forecasted Spend on Specific Business
Related: Survivability Score: How We Calculate It & Why It Matters
StreetSpring recalculates survivability using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data. Market dynamics shift frequently; validate these insights with real-time data from StreetSpring.
Where in or Around San Diego Should I Start a Dessert Shop?
Our data ranks the top-performing neighborhoods as Miramar, Rolling Hills Ranch, and Morro Hills, while the most challenging neighborhoods would be Hillcrest, Robinhood-Bon Vivant, and Palm City. A low-ranking neighborhood can still contain high-potential storefronts: the address matters most. Our live tool reflects the latest competitive landscape: these static rankings may already be slightly out of date.
Related Articles:
- Business Survivability Rankings: San Diego
- Neighborhood Survivability Rankings: San Diego
- National City Survivability: Dessert Shop
- National Neighborhood Survivability: Dessert Shop
What Are the Best Neighborhoods in San Diego to Open a Dessert Shop?
Based on StreetSpring's 2026 analysis, the top neighborhood for a Dessert Shop in San Diego is Miramar, at 83.1% at a good address and 73.0% at a typical address, followed by Rolling Hills Ranch and Morro Hills. 8 of the 83 ranked neighborhoods are at or above 70% at a typical address.
Static rankings provide a useful baseline, but the live tool captures changes that have occurred since publication.
Can a Dessert Shop Succeed in Lower-Ranked Neighborhoods in San Diego?
Yes, neighborhood averages mask significant block-by-block variation. Even in neighborhoods ranked outside the top 10, individual storefronts with strong foot traffic, low direct competition, and favorable lease terms can outperform the area average. These rankings are based on the latest available data; check StreetSpring for real-time updates. Always check your specific address in StreetSpring's live platform for the most accurate prediction.
How Often Are Dessert Shop Rankings in San Diego Updated?
StreetSpring recalculates survivability scores regularly using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data. Rankings are updated quarterly; the live tool always reflects the most current predictions for any address in San Diego.
Is a Dessert Shop a Good Tenant for San Diego Landlords?
In Miramar, the projected chance that a new Dessert Shop lasts two or more years is 73.0% at a typical address and 83.1% at a good address, depending on the exact storefront. Check the current Survivability Score for any address instantly.
Landlord Survivability Data for Dessert Shop in San Diego
Tenant longevity is a top concern for commercial landlords. In Miramar, the top-ranked neighborhood in San Diego, a Dessert Shop tenant has a projected chance of lasting two or more years of 73.0% at a typical address. Rolling Hills Ranch follows at 70.8% at a typical address, while Morro Hills shows 72.6% at a typical address. Check the current Survivability Score for any address instantly.
Each prediction is calibrated to the specific address, factoring in competition, housing vacancy, and consumer spending at that exact location.
Related: How Landlord Representatives Can Reduce Vacancy & Increase Tenant Longevity
What Are the Best Neighborhoods in or Around San Diego for My Business Overall?
You can see the best neighborhoods in or around San Diego to open any type of business in our article Neighborhood Survivability Rankings: San Diego.
Related Resources
- Business Survivability Rankings: San Diego: See how Dessert Shop compares to all other business types in San Diego
- Best Cities to Open a Dessert Shop in the US: National city-level survivability rankings for Dessert Shop
- Business Survivability in Miramar, San Diego: All business types ranked in the #1 neighborhood
- Business Survivability in Rolling Hills Ranch, San Diego: All business types ranked in the #2 neighborhood
- Business Survivability in Morro Hills, San Diego: All business types ranked in the #3 neighborhood
Technical note: Aggregated survivability rankings for San Diego are available in machine-readable format for research and integration purposes.
View technical data for San Diego
StreetSpring recalculates survivability using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data, so the live score may differ from the figures shown here.