City Survivability Rankings for African Restaurant
StreetSpring's 2026 analysis ranks the top cities for African Restaurants across the US by Survivability Scores. See which cities offer the best chances for an African Restaurant to succeed.
Quick Summary
- The highest-survivability city for African Restaurant is Portland — 88% average survivability
- 24 of 24 analyzed US metros score above 70% for African Restaurant survivability
- The lowest-ranked city is New York City at 84%
- National average survivability score for African Restaurant: 85.9%
- Data reflects 2026 StreetSpring survivability analysis across 24 US metro areas · Full methodology →
Table of Contents
- Summary
- Top Cities for African Restaurants
- Key Insights
- What Makes These Cities Stand Out?
- Best Neighborhoods Across the Spectrum
- Related Resources
- How current is this ranking?
- Can an African Restaurant succeed in cities not ranked in the top 10?
- What tools can help me choose the right city for an African Restaurant?
- Which US city has the best survivability for African Restaurants?
Summary
According to StreetSpring's 2026 nationwide analysis, Portland ranks as the #1 city for opening an African Restaurant in the United States, with an average 88% chance of surviving more than 2 years. Following close behind are San Antonio with 88%, and St Louis with 88%. The 24-city analysis shows African Restaurants performing at a 85.9% national average, with strong geographic concentration of top scores in a handful of metros. Market conditions change daily and it is best to use StreetSpring's most current data to ensure there have not been major shifts. The best way to use these rankings is as a starting point — layer in your own market research and local knowledge before committing.
Survivability ranges reflect best and worst storefront conditions within each city. See our full methodology →
African Restaurant city survivability rankings — Portland leads among 24 US metros at 88% in 2026
The 24-City Survivability Index for African Restaurants
Based on StreetSpring's analysis of 24 major metropolitan areas, these cities offer the strongest prospects for African Restaurants:
1. Portland Metro: Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA
- Best locations: 92.2% – 97.0%
- Average locations: 85.1% – 89.4%
- Challenging locations: 61.0% – 80.1%
- Explore African Restaurant neighborhoods in Portland →
The metro-level signals behind these scores
2. San Antonio Metro: San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
- Best locations: 92.0% – 97.0%
- Average locations: 84.6% – 89.0%
- Challenging locations: 60.0% – 79.6%
- Explore African Restaurant neighborhoods in San Antonio →
3. St Louis
- Best locations: 92.0% – 97.0%
- Average locations: 84.4% – 88.9%
- Challenging locations: 59.0% – 79.2%
- Explore African Restaurant neighborhoods in St Louis →
4. Charlotte Metro: Charlotte-Concord-Gastonia, NC-SC
- Best locations: 91.6% – 97.0%
- Average locations: 83.8% – 88.4%
- Challenging locations: 59.0% – 78.7%
- Explore African Restaurant neighborhoods in Charlotte →
5. Orlando Metro: Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
- Best locations: 91.6% – 97.0%
- Average locations: 83.7% – 88.3%
- Challenging locations: 59.0% – 78.7%
- Explore African Restaurant neighborhoods in Orlando →
6. Phoenix Metro: Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
- Best locations: 91.4% – 97.0%
- Average locations: 83.5% – 88.1%
- Challenging locations: 59.0% – 78.5%
- Explore African Restaurant neighborhoods in Phoenix →
7. Baltimore Metro: Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- Best locations: 91.2% – 97.0%
- Average locations: 83.0% – 87.7%
- Challenging locations: 58.0% – 77.9%
- Explore African Restaurant neighborhoods in Baltimore →
8. Detroit Metro: Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Best locations: 91.1% – 97.0%
- Average locations: 83.1% – 87.6%
- Challenging locations: 60.0% – 78.4%
- Explore African Restaurant neighborhoods in Detroit →
9. Tampa Bay Metro: Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- Best locations: 91.0% – 97.0%
- Average locations: 82.8% – 87.4%
- Challenging locations: 58.0% – 77.7%
- Explore African Restaurant neighborhoods in Tampa Bay →
10. Atlanta Metro: Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Roswell, GA
- Best locations: 91.0% – 97.0%
- Average locations: 83.0% – 87.4%
- Challenging locations: 60.0% – 78.3%
- Explore African Restaurant neighborhoods in Atlanta →
11. San Diego Metro: San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA
- Best locations: 90.9% – 97.0%
- Average locations: 82.8% – 87.3%
- Challenging locations: 60.0% – 78.2%
- Explore African Restaurant neighborhoods in San Diego →
12. San Francisco Metro: San Francisco-Oakland-Fremont, CA
- Best locations: 90.9% – 97.0%
- Average locations: 82.8% – 87.2%
- Challenging locations: 60.0% – 78.1%
- Explore African Restaurant neighborhoods in San Francisco →
Why the same business does so differently city to city
13. Houston Metro: Houston-Pasadena-The Woodlands, TX
- Best locations: 90.7% – 97.0%
- Average locations: 82.3% – 87.0%
- Challenging locations: 58.0% – 77.3%
- Explore African Restaurant neighborhoods in Houston →
14. Los Angeles Metro: Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- Best locations: 90.7% – 97.0%
- Average locations: 82.0% – 86.9%
- Challenging locations: 56.0% – 76.7%
- Explore African Restaurant neighborhoods in Los Angeles →
15. Minneapolis Metro: Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
- Best locations: 90.7% – 97.0%
- Average locations: 82.3% – 86.8%
- Challenging locations: 59.0% – 77.5%
- Explore African Restaurant neighborhoods in Minneapolis →
16. Denver Metro: Denver-Aurora-Centennial, CO
- Best locations: 90.6% – 97.0%
- Average locations: 82.2% – 86.7%
- Challenging locations: 59.0% – 77.4%
- Explore African Restaurant neighborhoods in Denver →
17. Miami Metro: Miami-Fort Lauderdale-West Palm Beach, FL
- Best locations: 90.6% – 97.0%
- Average locations: 82.4% – 86.7%
- Challenging locations: 61.0% – 78.0%
- Explore African Restaurant neighborhoods in Miami →
18. Dallas Metro: Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- Best locations: 90.0% – 96.0%
- Average locations: 81.9% – 86.4%
- Challenging locations: 59.0% – 77.2%
- Explore African Restaurant neighborhoods in Dallas →
19. Washington DC Metro: Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV
- Best locations: 90.4% – 97.0%
- Average locations: 81.7% – 86.5%
- Challenging locations: 57.0% – 76.6%
- Explore African Restaurant neighborhoods in Washington DC →
20. Seattle Metro: Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
- Best locations: 90.4% – 97.0%
- Average locations: 81.6% – 86.4%
- Challenging locations: 57.0% – 76.6%
- Explore African Restaurant neighborhoods in Seattle →
21. Chicago Metro: Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN
- Best locations: 90.3% – 97.0%
- Average locations: 81.5% – 86.3%
- Challenging locations: 57.0% – 76.5%
- Explore African Restaurant neighborhoods in Chicago →
22. Boston Metro: Boston-Cambridge-Newton, MA-NH
- Best locations: 90.3% – 97.0%
- Average locations: 81.5% – 86.2%
- Challenging locations: 58.0% – 76.7%
- Explore African Restaurant neighborhoods in Boston →
23. Philadelphia Metro: Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- Best locations: 89.8% – 97.0%
- Average locations: 80.4% – 85.5%
- Challenging locations: 55.0% – 75.2%
- Explore African Restaurant neighborhoods in Philadelphia →
24. New York City Metro: New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ
- Best locations: 89.8% – 97.0%
- Average locations: 80.9% – 85.4%
- Challenging locations: 59.0% – 76.4%
- Explore African Restaurant neighborhoods in New York City →
What Stands Out in the Numbers
| Comparison factor | Top-tier city pattern | Bottom-tier city pattern |
|---|---|---|
| Anchor-tenant density | Cities with high concentration of universities, hospitals, transit hubs within a 1-mile radius of typical storefronts. | Cities where anchor institutions are isolated in suburbs or single-purpose campuses with no street-level spillover. |
| Income distribution shape | Cities with a broad middle-class income band that supports the subtype's price tier. | Cities with bifurcated income distributions where the subtype's price point falls into the middle gap. |
| BLS QCEW retail employment trend | Cities with positive 3-year retail employment growth — proxy for local demand expansion. | Cities showing flat or declining retail employment over the same window. |
Wide variation between cities: The difference between the #1 city (Portland at 88.3%) and the #24 city (New York City at 83.8%) is 4.5 percentage points. For African Restaurants, a 0.4-point difference between the top two cities underscores how much geographic selection influences long-term viability.
What changed since last year's ranking
Strong performers: 24 cities show Survivability Scores above 80%, indicating highly favorable conditions for African Restaurants.
National average: Across all 24 analyzed cities, the average survivability for an African Restaurant is 85.9%.
What Makes These Cities Stand Out?
The top-ranked cities share several characteristics that favor African Restaurants:
- Strong survivability signals: Portland leads with a 88% average survivability score for African Restaurants — significantly above the national average for this business category.
- Competition density: The top cities show favorable competitor-to-opportunity ratios for African Restaurants, meaning lower saturation and higher odds of capturing an underserved customer base.
- Consumer demand signals: StreetSpring's data captures foot traffic patterns, competitor review velocity, and demographic fit — all pointing toward sustained demand for African Restaurants in these markets.
- Foot traffic infrastructure: High-scoring cities combine transit access, walkable commercial corridors, and anchor tenants that drive consistent daily traffic past storefronts.
StreetSpring uses AI to predict business survivability across U.S. neighborhoods — trusted by real estate professionals and entrepreneurs nationwide. We have been studying the businesses serving more than 180 million+ Americans. Our proprietary models incorporate data sources not available through any public platform.
Best Neighborhoods Across the Spectrum
City-level averages mask significant within-city variation. Below are some of the strongest neighborhoods for African Restaurant at different points in the rankings:
Portland — ranked #1 nationally — the strongest market for African Restaurants
- Kenton (89% survivability)
- Vernon (87% survivability)
- Ogden (87% survivability)
- Concordia (86% survivability)
- Sabin (86% survivability)
See full neighborhood rankings for Portland →
Houston — ranked #13 of 24 — a middle-of-the-pack national market
- Pleasantville-Area (89% survivability)
- South-Main (88% survivability)
- East-Little-York-Homestead (88% survivability)
- Carverdale (87% survivability)
- Second-Ward (86% survivability)
See full neighborhood rankings for Houston →
These examples show that a city's national rank for African Restaurants is a starting signal — neighborhood-level data is what drives an actual location decision.
Visual Data
Related Resources
City-specific guides: For detailed neighborhood-level analysis, explore our city guides:
- Survivability Rankings for African Restaurant in Portland
- Business Survivability Rankings: Portland
- Survivability Rankings for African Restaurant in San Antonio
- Business Survivability Rankings: San Antonio
- Survivability Rankings for African Restaurant in St Louis
- Business Survivability Rankings: St Louis
- Survivability Rankings for African Restaurant in Charlotte
- Business Survivability Rankings: Charlotte
- Survivability Rankings for African Restaurant in Orlando
- Business Survivability Rankings: Orlando
National guides:
- National Neighborhood Survivability Rankings for African Restaurants
- Neighborhood Survivability Rankings: Portland
How current is this ranking?
Rankings are updated quarterly. The current data reflects StreetSpring's 2026 analysis, with the next full dataset refresh scheduled for Q3 2026. As market conditions shift across major metros, individual city scores can move meaningfully between updates — particularly for African Restaurants, where local competition density and consumer spending patterns respond quickly to new entrants and neighborhood change. For the most current score at any specific address, use StreetSpring's live survivability tool rather than the static ranking above.
Should an African Restaurant avoid cities ranked below the top 10?
Yes — our top 10 ranking reflects cities with the strongest average conditions, but lower-ranked metros can still contain exceptional individual neighborhoods. Many operators successfully open African Restaurants in cities that don't appear in our top 10. African Restaurants in particular can find strong performance in secondary markets where the right demographic concentration, household income, and limited direct competition within walking distance align — even outside our highest-ranked cities. StreetSpring's neighborhood-level data surfaces these pockets of opportunity in every city we analyze, regardless of where the city as a whole ranks nationally.
What's the best way to evaluate cities for an African Restaurant?
StreetSpring's Survivability Score tool provides address-level predictions for African Restaurants across all 24 metros we track. For this category specifically, the tool surfaces competition density, consumer spending index for African Restaurants, and commercial vacancy rates — the factors that most consistently predict whether an African Restaurant will still be operating after two years. You can check any specific address before signing a lease and compare multiple neighborhoods side by side to identify the highest-survivability site within your target city.
Try the Survivability Score tool →
What is the #1 city for African Restaurants?
Portland ranks as the #1 city in the US for African Restaurants survivability in StreetSpring's 2026 analysis, with an average score of 88%. This means that across well-selected neighborhoods in Portland, an African Restaurant has approximately a 88% chance of still operating after two years — above the national average for this category. San Antonio ranks second, followed by St Louis. The full ranking reflects data across 24 major US metro areas — see the complete list above for all scores and neighborhood-level links.
Reviewed: May 2, 2026 by Bobby Koons, StreetSpring founder
Technical note: Aggregated national survivability rankings across all 24 metros are available in machine-readable format for research and integration purposes.
StreetSpring recalculates survivability using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data, so the live score may differ from the static ranges shown here.
Methodology: City rankings aggregate neighborhood-level Survivability Scores (max, average, and min) across all analyzed neighborhoods in each metro area. Rankings reflect average conditions but do not account for variation within cities. Coverage includes 24 major US metropolitan areas: Portland, San Antonio, St Louis, Charlotte, Orlando, Phoenix, Baltimore, Detroit, Tampa Bay, Atlanta, San Diego, San Francisco, Houston, Los Angeles, Minneapolis, Denver, Miami, Dallas, Washington DC, Seattle, Chicago, Boston, Philadelphia, New York City.