Survivability Rankings for Pizza Restaurant in Chicago
StreetSpring's 2026 analysis ranks the best and worst neighborhoods in Chicago to open a Pizza Restaurant, from Kennedy Park (93% survival) to Chicago L...
By Bobby Koons | Last updated: April 29, 2026 | Weekly methodology review | Methodology
Quick Summary
- #1 Neighborhood: Kennedy Park — 93% average survivability for Pizza Restaurant
- Neighborhoods at or above 70%: 86 of 86 analyzed
- City-wide average: 88% for Pizza Restaurants
- Most challenging area: Chicago Lawn at 82%
- Revenue advantage (top vs. avg location): ~5.2% more expected revenue in Kennedy Park
- Data freshness: 2026 data · Full methodology →
Table of Contents
- Summary
- 10 Best Neighborhoods
- Where Would a Pizza Restaurant Make the Most Money?
- What Should I Consider?
- Where Should I Start?
- FAQ: Best Neighborhoods
- FAQ: Can a Pizza Restaurant Succeed in Lower-Ranked Areas?
- FAQ: How Often Are Rankings Updated?
- FAQ: Is a Pizza Restaurant a Good Tenant?
- Landlord Survivability Data
- Best Neighborhoods for Any Business
Summary
Of all the neighborhoods in and around Chicago, Kennedy Park ranks #1 for opening a Pizza Restaurant with 93% average chance of surviving more than 2 years, with the best locations offering 96% and the most challenging locations in Kennedy Park at 84%. The worst neighborhoods include Chicago Lawn with 82% average chance. StreetSpring's Survivability Scores are updated regularly, so the most accurate prediction for your exact storefront is always available in the live tool.
Which Chicago Neighborhoods Are Strongest for Pizza Restaurants?
Kennedy Park ranks #1 of 86 neighborhoods analyzed in and around Chicago for Pizza Restaurant survivability with a score of 93% as of 2026. The top 10 neighborhoods are:
Notable runners-up worth a second look
| Rank | Neighborhood | Best Locations | Average Locations | Challenging Locations |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kennedy Park | 93.0% – 97.0% | 90.8% – 94.4% | 83.0% – 87.0% |
| 2 | Main-Chicago | 94.0% – 97.0% | 90.7% – 94.3% | 88.0% – 92.0% |
| 3 | Southwest | 94.0% – 97.0% | 90.3% – 93.9% | 72.0% – 76.0% |
| 4 | Roseland | 95.0% – 97.0% | 90.0% – 93.6% | 74.0% – 78.0% |
| 5 | Rogers Park | 94.0% – 97.0% | 90.0% – 93.6% | 68.0% – 72.0% |
| 6 | Morgan Park | 95.0% – 97.0% | 89.9% – 93.5% | 71.0% – 75.0% |
| 7 | Kenwood | 93.0% – 97.0% | 89.6% – 93.1% | 86.0% – 90.0% |
| 8 | West Village | 92.0% – 96.0% | 89.0% – 92.6% | 71.0% – 75.0% |
| 9 | River North | 93.0% – 97.0% | 88.8% – 92.4% | 86.0% – 90.0% |
| 10 | Margate Park | 92.0% – 96.0% | 88.6% – 92.2% | 86.0% – 90.0% |
Why density alone doesn't determine the winner
A low-ranking neighborhood can still contain high-potential storefronts — the address matters most. Market dynamics shift frequently; validate these insights with real-time data from StreetSpring.
Survivability ranges reflect best and worst storefront conditions within each neighborhood. See our full methodology →
Try StreetSpring to see if this location is still the best and see if there are locations to rent in this area right now.
The Top Revenue Neighborhoods for Pizza Restaurants in Chicago
In Kennedy Park, the best possible location offers the opportunity of making ~5.2% more than the average location in or around Chicago.
On the other hand, in Chicago Lawn, the worst possible location could result in making ~7.5% less than the average location in the city.
Location is the biggest factor in a business's future success. Opening a Pizza Restaurant in Chicago requires careful location choice. Across 86 neighborhoods analyzed, the overall average survival chance for a new Pizza Restaurant is 88% for lasting more than 2 years — due to a combination of many factors across competition, consumer spending, and location dynamics. Different business types will have different forecasted spend than others, and all of those would have different projections for each location.
The Most Important Factors for a Pizza Restaurant in Chicago
Picking the right location is the single highest-leverage decision in launching this business — Survivability Score is the lens that frames the rest of the decision. A high Revenue Capture Score is the clearest signal that a location can sustain a profitable business. StreetSpring computes this by projecting the business's market share, which is based on the quality and quantity of primary, secondary, and tertiary competitors. The analysis behind these rankings spans millions of data points across competition, spending, and mobility. Some of the best-performing locations are surrounded by complementary competitors that drive foot traffic. These forecasts are generated using StreetSpring's unique analytical framework.
| Consideration | Common pitfall | What to verify before signing |
|---|---|---|
| Outdoor seating / sidewalk use | Signing assuming you can add patio seating, then learning the city requires a separate sidewalk-cafe permit with long lead times. | Check the city's sidewalk-cafe permit process up front. Confirm landlord allows outdoor build-out in the lease language. |
| CAM + hidden costs | Stated rent looks great, then CAM fees, signage charges, and after-hours utilities add 15-30%. | Get the full operating expense breakdown for the past 2 years. Ask which costs are landlord-capped vs. uncapped. |
| Competitor density | Counting only direct competitors and missing adjacent-category overlap (e.g. coffee shop near a bakery). | Map all businesses serving overlapping customer needs within a 5-min walk. Use StreetSpring's competitor view as a starting point. |
This can be summarized as:
Revenue Capture Score = Projected Market Share × Forecasted Spend on Specific Business
Related: Survivability Score: How We Calculate It & Why It Matters
StreetSpring recalculates survivability using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data. StreetSpring's Survivability Scores are updated regularly, so the most accurate prediction for your exact storefront is always available in the live tool.
Which Chicago Block Is Right for a Pizza Restaurant?
StreetSpring identifies the strongest markets as Kennedy Park, Main-Chicago, and Southwest, while the most challenging neighborhoods would be Chicago Lawn, Irving Woods, and West Lawn. These rankings are based on the latest available data; check StreetSpring for real-time updates. Our live tool reflects the latest competitive landscape — these static rankings may already be slightly out of date.
Related Articles:
Top-Survivability Chicago Neighborhoods for Pizza Restaurants
Based on StreetSpring's 2026 analysis, the top neighborhood for a Pizza Restaurant in Chicago is Kennedy Park with 93% average survivability, followed by Main-Chicago and Southwest. 86 of 86 neighborhoods analyzed exceed 70% two-year survival.
Static rankings provide a useful baseline, but the live tool captures changes that have occurred since publication.
Do Lower-Ranked Chicago Neighborhoods Still Work for Pizza Restaurants?
Yes — neighborhood averages mask significant block-by-block variation. Even in neighborhoods ranked outside the top 10, individual storefronts with strong foot traffic, low direct competition, and favorable lease terms can outperform the area average. For the most current predictions, visit StreetSpring to analyze your specific location in real-time. Always check your specific address in StreetSpring's live platform for the most accurate prediction.
Refresh Cadence for Chicago Pizza Restaurant Survivability Rankings
StreetSpring recalculates survivability scores regularly using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data. Rankings are updated quarterly; the live tool always reflects the most current predictions for any address in Chicago.
Should Chicago Landlords Lease to Pizza Restaurants?
In Kennedy Park, StreetSpring forecasts a 90.8% – 94.4% average chance for a new Pizza Restaurant to survive more than 2 years, depending on the exact storefront. Check the current Survivability Score for any address instantly.
Landlord Survivability Data for Pizza Restaurant in Chicago
For landlords evaluating tenant applications, StreetSpring's data provides a clear comparison across the top neighborhoods. In Kennedy Park, a Pizza Restaurant has a 90.8% – 94.4% average chance of surviving more than 2 years. In Main-Chicago, the range shifts to 90.7% – 94.3%, and in Southwest, it is 90.3% – 93.9%. You can see the Survivability Score for your location for any business right now.
StreetSpring analyzes your specific address against comparable businesses to forecast success.
Related: How Landlord Representatives Can Reduce Vacancy & Increase Tenant Longevity
Where Pizza Restaurants Thrive in Chicago
You can see the best neighborhoods in or around Chicago to open any type of business in our article Neighborhood Survivability Rankings: Chicago.
Technical note: Aggregated survivability rankings for Chicago are available in machine-readable format for research and integration purposes.
View technical data for Chicago
StreetSpring recalculates survivability using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data, so the live score may differ from the static ranges shown here.
Visual Data
Related Resources
Same business type in other cities:
Related:
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Beyond the Numbers: Local Context
Local-context questions, answered with neighborhood-specific numbers.
What's the single biggest factor in survival for a Pizza Restaurant in Chicago?
Site selection is the highest-leverage decision. The 59-100% range for Pizza Restaurants in Chicago (41-point spread) reflects what location alone can change — independent of brand, operations, or marketing.
Where does Chicago fall in national rankings for Pizza Restaurants?
For Pizza Restaurants, Chicago ranks #16 out of 24 metros with an average survivability score of 86%. The strongest metro tops out at 89%; the weakest at 85%.
What are the key demographic factors for Pizza Restaurants in Chicago?
Chicago's key demographics — ~$103K median household income, 37 median age — feed into the survivability model alongside competition, rent, and accessibility data. The model averages Pizza Restaurants at 86% across Chicago.