Survivability Rankings for Dessert Shop in Chicago
StreetSpring's 2026 ranking of Chicago neighborhoods to open a Dessert Shop, at a good address, from Palmer Square (84.0% survival) to Wildwood (57.0%).
By Robert Koons | Last reviewed: October 2026 | Methodology
Quick Summary
- Survivability Score: the projected chance a business type lasts two or more years at a specific address
- #1 Neighborhood: Palmer Square: 84.0% at a good address, 83.0% at a typical address for Dessert Shop
- Neighborhoods at or above 70% at a typical address: 29 of 99 ranked
- Average across the 99 ranked neighborhoods (typical address): 64.8% for Dessert Shops
- Most challenging area: Wildwood: 57.0% at a good address, 51.5% at a typical address
- Revenue Capture Score: the most important factor in choosing a location, StreetSpring's proprietary estimate of the revenue a business can capture at a specific address
- Data freshness: 2026 data · Full methodology →
Table of Contents
- Summary
- 10 Best Neighborhoods
- Where Would a Dessert Shop Make the Most Money?
- What Should I Consider?
- Where Should I Start?
- FAQ: Best Neighborhoods
- FAQ: Can a Dessert Shop Succeed in Lower-Ranked Areas?
- FAQ: How Often Are Rankings Updated?
- FAQ: Is a Dessert Shop a Good Tenant?
- Landlord Survivability Data
- Best Neighborhoods for Any Business
Summary
Palmer Square leads Chicago's 2026 survivability rankings for Dessert Shop operators, with a projected chance of lasting two or more years of 84.0% at a good address and 83.0% at a typical address. Its highest scored address is at 84.0% and its lowest at 76.4%. The last-ranked neighborhood is Wildwood, at 57.0% at a good address and 51.5% at a typical address. However, individual locations vary widely, and even in lower-scoring neighborhoods there are pockets that perform exceptionally well.
What Are the 10 Best Neighborhoods in and Around Chicago to Open a Dessert Shop?
Palmer Square ranks #1 of the 99 ranked neighborhoods in and around Chicago for Dessert Shop survivability, with a projected chance of lasting two or more years of 84.0% at a good address as of 2026. The top 10 neighborhoods are:
| Rank | Neighborhood | Metro | At a good address | Average (typical address) | Best Locations | Challenging Locations |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palmer Square | Chicago | 84.0% | 83.0% | 84.0% | 76.4% |
| 2 | Cunningham | Chicago | 83.6% | 82.0% | 84.0% | 78.6% |
| 3 | Boulevard District | Chicago | 83.6% | 77.5% | 84.0% | 67.4% |
| 4 | Irving Park | Chicago | 83.6% | 75.3% | 84.0% | 60.2% |
| 5 | Logan Square | Chicago | 83.4% | 78.5% | 84.0% | 62.4% |
| 6 | Avondale | Chicago | 83.1% | 75.5% | 83.6% | 59.7% |
| 7 | Big Woods Marmion | Chicago | 83.1% | 73.9% | 84.0% | 52.0% |
| 8 | Pigeon Hill | Chicago | 83.1% | 72.5% | 83.1% | 51.2% |
| 9 | Uptown | Chicago | 82.8% | 63.1% | 83.6% | 48.9% |
| 10 | Sheffield Neighbors | Chicago | 82.6% | 79.7% | 83.6% | 72.8% |
For the most current predictions, visit StreetSpring to analyze your specific location in real-time. For the most accurate predictions, always check your specific address in StreetSpring's live platform.
The ranking runs on the good-address figure (the 90th percentile of the scored addresses in each neighborhood). Average is the typical address; Best and Challenging Locations are the highest and lowest scored address in the neighborhood. Every figure is the projected chance of lasting two or more years, as printed in the linked file. See our full methodology →
Try StreetSpring to see if this location is still the best and see if there are locations to rent in this area right now.
Where in or Around Chicago Would a Dessert Shop Make the Most Money?
Where a Dessert Shop would make the most money in or around Chicago comes down to the exact address. The Revenue Capture Score is the most important factor in choosing a location: StreetSpring's proprietary estimate of the revenue a business can capture at a specific address.
Palmer Square is ranked #1 for Dessert Shop survivability, at 84.0% at a good address and 83.0% at a typical address; Wildwood is ranked last of the 99, at 57.0% at a good address and 51.5% at a typical address. Revenue at a specific storefront is what the Revenue Capture Score estimates, so check it for each address you are weighing.
Where you sign the lease is a choice you can check against the published scores before you commit. Opening a Dessert Shop in Chicago requires careful location choice. Across the 99 ranked neighborhoods, the average projected chance that a new Dessert Shop lasts two or more years is 64.8% at a typical address. Our models show that the optimal location profile varies dramatically from one business category to the next.
What Should I Consider When Opening a Dessert Shop in or Around Chicago?
When selecting a location for a Dessert Shop in or around Chicago, it is crucial to select a location with a very high Survivability Score. The Revenue Capture Score is the most important factor in choosing a location: it is StreetSpring's estimate of the revenue a business can capture at that address. StreetSpring computes this by projecting the business's market share, which is based on the quality and quantity of primary, secondary, and tertiary competitors. The analysis behind these rankings spans millions of data points across competition, spending, and mobility. Clustering works when it draws more customers to the area than any single business could alone. StreetSpring's proprietary algorithms power these predictions. StreetSpring scores 500+ business types: 153 base business types, most of them at 5 price points, which is 569 type-and-price combinations you can choose in the tool.
This can be summarized as:
Revenue Capture Score = Projected Market Share × Forecasted Spend on Specific Business
Related: Survivability Score: How We Calculate It & Why It Matters
StreetSpring recalculates survivability using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data. Our live tool reflects the latest competitive landscape: these static rankings may already be slightly out of date.
Where in or Around Chicago Should I Start a Dessert Shop?
The highest-performing areas for this business type are Palmer Square, Cunningham, and Boulevard District, while the most challenging neighborhoods would be Wildwood, West Morgan Park, and Kenwood. These rankings are based on the latest available data; check StreetSpring for real-time updates. New competitor openings and closures happen weekly: the live tool ensures you see the latest picture.
Related Articles:
- Business Survivability Rankings: Chicago
- Neighborhood Survivability Rankings: Chicago
- National City Survivability: Dessert Shop
- National Neighborhood Survivability: Dessert Shop
What Are the Best Neighborhoods in Chicago to Open a Dessert Shop?
Based on StreetSpring's 2026 analysis, the top neighborhood for a Dessert Shop in Chicago is Palmer Square, at 84.0% at a good address and 83.0% at a typical address, followed by Cunningham and Boulevard District. 29 of the 99 ranked neighborhoods are at or above 70% at a typical address.
Market dynamics shift frequently; validate these insights with real-time data from StreetSpring.
Can a Dessert Shop Succeed in Lower-Ranked Neighborhoods in Chicago?
Yes, neighborhood averages mask significant block-by-block variation. Even in neighborhoods ranked outside the top 10, individual storefronts with strong foot traffic, low direct competition, and favorable lease terms can outperform the area average. Neighborhood averages mask significant block-by-block variation: always check your specific address. Always check your specific address in StreetSpring's live platform for the most accurate prediction.
How Often Are Dessert Shop Rankings in Chicago Updated?
StreetSpring recalculates survivability scores regularly using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data. Rankings are updated quarterly; the live tool always reflects the most current predictions for any address in Chicago.
Is a Dessert Shop a Good Tenant for Chicago Landlords?
In Palmer Square, the projected chance that a new Dessert Shop lasts two or more years is 83.0% at a typical address and 84.0% at a good address, depending on the exact storefront. Check the current Survivability Score for any address instantly.
Landlord Survivability Data for Dessert Shop in Chicago
Tenant longevity is a top concern for commercial landlords. In Palmer Square, the top-ranked neighborhood in Chicago, a Dessert Shop tenant has a projected chance of lasting two or more years of 83.0% at a typical address. Cunningham follows at 82.0% at a typical address, while Boulevard District shows 77.5% at a typical address. Check the current Survivability Score for any address instantly.
StreetSpring generates location-specific predictions tailored to your exact site.
Related: How Landlord Representatives Can Reduce Vacancy & Increase Tenant Longevity
What Are the Best Neighborhoods in or Around Chicago for My Business Overall?
You can see the best neighborhoods in or around Chicago to open any type of business in our article Neighborhood Survivability Rankings: Chicago.
Related Resources
- Business Survivability Rankings: Chicago: See how Dessert Shop compares to all other business types in Chicago
- Best Cities to Open a Dessert Shop in the US: National city-level survivability rankings for Dessert Shop
- Business Survivability in Palmer Square, Chicago: All business types ranked in the #1 neighborhood
- Business Survivability in Cunningham, Chicago: All business types ranked in the #2 neighborhood
- Business Survivability in Boulevard District, Chicago: All business types ranked in the #3 neighborhood
Technical note: Aggregated survivability rankings for Chicago are available in machine-readable format for research and integration purposes.
View technical data for Chicago
StreetSpring recalculates survivability using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data, so the live score may differ from the figures shown here.